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Reasoning models improve their problem-solving ability through inference-time scaling, allocating more compute via longer token budgets. Identifying which reasoning traces are likely to succeed remains a key opportunity: reliably predicting…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Martina G. Vilas , Safoora Yousefi , Besmira Nushi , Eric Horvitz , Vidhisha Balachandran

We introduce the "Belief State Transformer", a next-token predictor that takes both a prefix and suffix as inputs, with a novel objective of predicting both the next token for the prefix and the previous token for the suffix. The Belief…

Is it possible to understand the intricacies of a dynamical system not solely from its input/output pattern, but also by observing the behavior of other systems within the same class? This central question drives the study presented in this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-21 Marco Forgione , Filippo Pura , Dario Piga

Standard next-token prediction (NTP) supervises language models solely through discrete labels in the output logit space. We argue that this sparse one-hot supervision leaves the latent representation space under-constrained, allowing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Xiangdong Zhang , Debing Zhang , Shaofeng Zhang , Xiaohan Qin , Yu Cheng , Junchi Yan

In complex processes, various events can happen in different sequences. The prediction of the next event given an a-priori process state is of importance in such processes. Recent methods have proposed deep learning techniques such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-04 Julian Theis , Houshang Darabi

Machine learning algorithms aim at minimizing the number of false decisions and increasing the accuracy of predictions. However, the high predictive power of advanced algorithms comes at the costs of transparency. State-of-the-art methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-30 Klaus Broelemann , Gjergji Kasneci

The widespread use of neural networks across different scientific domains often involves constraining them to satisfy certain symmetries, conservation laws, or other domain knowledge. Such constraints are often imposed as soft penalties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Sifan Wang , Yujun Teng , Paris Perdikaris

Continual learning studies how models can adapt to new tasks while retaining previously acquired knowledge. Although a broad spectrum of methods has been proposed to mitigate catastrophic forgetting, the field remains predominantly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Katarzyna Filus , Kamil Faber , Roberto Corizzo , Christopher Kanan

Recent advances in interpretability suggest we can project weights and hidden states of transformer-based language models (LMs) to their vocabulary, a transformation that makes them more human interpretable. In this paper, we investigate LM…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Shahar Katz , Yonatan Belinkov

We present a novel predictive model architecture based on the principles of predictive coding that enables open loop prediction of future observations over extended horizons. There are two key innovations. First, whereas current methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Brian Gaudet , Richard Linares , Roberto Furfaro

In network representation learning we learn how to represent heterogeneous information networks in a low-dimensional space so as to facilitate effective search, classification, and prediction solutions. Previous network representation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-19 Yang Fang , Xiang Zhao , Yifan Chen , Weidong Xiao , Maarten de Rijke

Extracting time-varying latent variables from computational cognitive models is a key step in model-based neural analysis, which aims to understand the neural correlates of cognitive processes. However, existing methods only allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-01 Ti-Fen Pan , Jing-Jing Li , Bill Thompson , Anne Collins

A pseudo independent (PI) model is a probabilistic domain model (PDM) where proper subsets of a set of collectively dependent variables display marginal independence. PI models cannot be learned correctly by many algorithms that rely on a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-08 Jun Hu , Yang Xiang

As sequential neural architectures become deeper and more complex, uncertainty estimation is more and more challenging. Efforts in quantifying uncertainty often rely on specific training procedures, and bear additional computational costs…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-06 Max Cohen , Maurice Charbit , Sylvain Le Corff

The performance of deep neural networks improves with more annotated data. The problem is that the budget for annotation is limited. One solution to this is active learning, where a model asks human to annotate data that it perceived as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Donggeun Yoo , In So Kweon

Ambiguity is inherently present in many machine learning tasks, but especially for sequential models seldom accounted for, as most only output a single prediction. In this work we propose an extension of the Multiple Hypothesis Prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-24 Alessandro Berlati , Oliver Scheel , Luigi Di Stefano , Federico Tombari

In contrast to RNNs, which compress their history into a single hidden state, Transformers can attend to all past tokens directly. However, standard Transformers rely solely on the hidden state from the previous layer to represent the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Gleb Gerasimov , Yaroslav Aksenov , Nikita Balagansky , Viacheslav Sinii , Daniil Gavrilov

While pre-trained language models (LMs) have brought great improvements in many NLP tasks, there is increasing attention to explore capabilities of LMs and interpret their predictions. However, existing works usually focus only on a certain…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Yaozong Shen , Lijie Wang , Ying Chen , Xinyan Xiao , Jing Liu , Hua Wu

Speculative decoding has emerged as a pivotal technique to accelerate LLM inference by employing a lightweight draft model to generate candidate tokens that are subsequently verified by the target model in parallel. However, while this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Yuetao Chen , Xuliang Wang , Xinzhou Zheng , Ming Li , Peng Wang , Hong Xu

Understanding neural networks is challenging in part because of the dense, continuous nature of their hidden states. We explore whether we can train neural networks to have hidden states that are sparse, discrete, and more interpretable by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Alex Tamkin , Mohammad Taufeeque , Noah D. Goodman
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