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The forecasting problem for a stationary and ergodic binary time series $\{X_n\}_{n=0}^{\infty}$ is to estimate the probability that $X_{n+1}=1$ based on the observations $X_i$, $0\le i\le n$ without prior knowledge of the distribution of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Gusztav Morvai , Benjamin Weiss

In this paper, we study stochastic ordering results between two finite mixtures with single and multiple outliers, assuming subpopulations follow general exponentiated location-scale distributions. For single-outlier mixtures, several…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Raju Bhakta , Kaushik Gupta , Ghobad Saadat Kia , Suchandan Kayal

We consider a linear Hamiltonian system consisting of a classical particle and a scalar field describing by the wave or Klein-Gordon equations with variable coefficients. The initial data of the system are supposed to be a random function…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2017-10-03 T. V. Dudnikova

Of stochastic differential equations, diffusion processes have been adopted in numerous applications, as more relevant and flexible models. This paper studies diffusion processes in a different setting, where for a given stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Saber Jafarizadeh

The fragmentation of a projectile into a number of pieces can lead to the creation of many resonances in different nuclei. We discuss application of the invariant-mass method to the products from such reactions to find some of the most…

Nuclear Experiment · Physics 2023-04-04 Robert Charity , Lee Sobotka

In this paper we address the statistical problem of testing if a stationary process is Gaussian. The observation consists in a finite sample path of the process. Using a random projection technique introduced and studied in Cuesta-Albertos…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-19 Juan . A. Cuesta-Albertos , Fabrice Gamboa Alicia Nieto-Reyes

Density level sets can be estimated using plug-in methods, excess mass algorithms or a hybrid of the two previous methodologies. The plug-in algorithms are based on replacing the unknown density by some nonparametric estimator, usually the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-26 A. Rodríguez-Casal , P. Saavedra-Nieves

The rate at which dependencies between future and past observations decay in a random process may be quantified in terms of mixing coefficients. The latter in turn appear in strong laws of large numbers and concentration of measure results…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-08 Leonid , Kontorovich

In this article, we prove the cutoff phenomenon for a general class of the discrete-time nonlinear recombination models. This system models the evolution of a probability measure on a finite product space $S^n$ representing the state of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Junho Kim , Insuk Seo

We present a methodology for the study of the dispersion of trajectories of stochastic processes in reconstructed phase spaces from observed data. The methodology allows to find ensembles of analog states, i.e. states that are close in the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-02-18 Carlos Granero-Belinchon

We study stochastic perturbations of linear systems of the form $$ dv(t)+Av(t)dt = \epsilon P(v(t))dt+\sqrt{\epsilon}B(v(t)) dW (t), v\in\mathbb{R}^{D}, (*) $$ where $A$ is a linear operator with non-zero imaginary spectrum. It is assumed…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Guan Huang , Sergei Kuksin

Based on a novel dynamic Whittle likelihood approximation for locally stationary processes, a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating the time-varying spectral density is proposed. This dynamic frequency-domain based likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-22 Yifu Tang , Claudia Kirch , Jeong Eun Lee , Renate Meyer

In this paper we consider the problem of computing the stationary distribution of nearly completely decomposable Markov processes, a well-established area in the classical theory of Markov processes with broad applications in the design,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Vasileios Kalantzis , Mark S. Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

We present a machine learning model for the analysis of randomly generated discrete signals, modeled as the points of an inhomogeneous, compound Poisson point process. Like the wavelet scattering transform introduced by Mallat, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Michael Perlmutter , Jieqian He , Matthew Hirn

Finite-precision floating point arithmetic unavoidably introduces rounding errors which are traditionally bounded using a worst-case analysis. However, worst-case analysis might be overly conservative because worst-case errors can be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-11 Fredrik Dahlqvist , Rocco Salvia , George A Constantinides

We consider a class of piecewise-deterministic Markov processes where the state evolves according to a linear dynamical system. This continuous time evolution is interspersed by discrete events that occur at random times and change (reset)…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Mohammad Soltani , Abhyudai Singh

We consider a finite or countable collection of one-dimensional Brownian particles whose dynamics at any point in time is determined by their rank in the entire particle system. Using Transportation Cost Inequalities for stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Soumik Pal , Mykhaylo Shkolnikov

We observe a random measure $N$ and aim at estimating its intensity $s$. This statistical framework allows to deal simultaneously with the problems of estimating a density, the marginals of a multivariate distribution, the mean of a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Yannick Baraud

In this paper, we revisit the original ideas of Stein and propose an estimator of the intensity parameter of a homogeneous Poisson point process defined in $\R^d$ and observed in a bounded window. The procedure is based on a new general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Marianne Clausel , Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jérôme Lelong

We consider estimating the parameters of a Gaussian mixture density with a given number of components best representing a given set of weighted samples. We adopt a density interpretation of the samples by viewing them as a discrete Dirac…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-03 Daniel Frisch , Uwe D. Hanebeck
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