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It is often critical for prediction models to be robust to distributional shifts between training and testing data. From a causal perspective, the challenge is to distinguish the stable causal relationships from the unstable spurious…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Shuxi Zeng , Murat Ali Bayir , Joesph J. Pfeiffer , Denis Charles , Emre Kiciman

In consensus clustering, a clustering algorithm is used in combination with a subsampling procedure to detect stable clusters. Previous studies on both simulated and real data suggest that consensus clustering outperforms native algorithms.…

This paper studies the covariance matrix estimation for high-dimensional time series within a new framework that combines low-rank factor and latent variable-specific cluster structures. The popular methods based on assuming the sparse…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Dong Li , Xinghao Qiao , Cheng Yu

Clustering uncertain data has emerged as a challenging task in uncertain data management and mining. Thanks to a computational complexity advantage over other clustering paradigms, partitional clustering has been particularly studied and a…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-03-30 Francesco Gullo , Andrea Tagarelli

This paper applies conformal prediction techniques to compute simultaneous prediction bands and clustering trees for functional data. These tools can be used to detect outliers and clusters. Both our prediction bands and clustering trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-27 Jing Lei , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

We develop a theoretical framework for the analysis of oblique decision trees, where the splits at each decision node occur at linear combinations of the covariates (as opposed to conventional tree constructions that force axis-aligned…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-01 Matias D. Cattaneo , Rajita Chandak , Jason M. Klusowski

In this paper, error estimates of classification Random Forests are quantitatively assessed. Based on the initial theoretical framework built by Bates et al. (2023), the true error rate and expected error rate are theoretically and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-09 Ian Krupkin , Johanna Hardin

Random Forests (RF) is a popular machine learning method for classification and regression problems. It involves a bagging application to decision tree models. One of the primary advantages of the Random Forests model is the reduction in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-06 Sai K Popuri

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods provide an elaborate approach to Bayesian inference on complex models, including model choice. Both theoretical arguments and simulation experiments indicate, however, that model posterior…

We study various types of consistency of honest decision trees and random forests in the regression setting. In contrast to related literature, our proofs are elementary and follow the classical arguments used for smoothing methods. Under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-21 Martin Bladt , Rasmus Frigaard Lemvig

Random forests construct each tree with a different, randomised representation of the feature space. Their uniform voting cannot correct errors in regions where trees with incorrect representations probabilistically outnumber correct ones,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Youngjoon Park

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

The study of algorithmic fairness received growing attention recently. This stems from the awareness that bias in the input data for machine learning systems may result in discriminatory outputs. For clustering tasks, one of the most…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Katrin Casel , Tobias Friedrich , Martin Schirneck , Simon Wietheger

A novel nonparametric clustering algorithm is proposed using the interpoint distances between the members of the data to reveal the inherent clustering structure existing in the given set of data, where we apply the classical nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-02 Soumita Modak

Comparative and evolutive ecologists are interested in the distribution of quantitative traits among related species. The classical framework for these distributions consists of a random process running along the branches of a phylogenetic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-24 Paul Bastide , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

Capturing the conditional covariances or correlations among the elements of a multivariate response vector based on covariates is important to various fields including neuroscience, epidemiology and biomedicine. We propose a new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Cansu Alakus , Denis Larocque , Aurelie Labbe

It is known that reinforcement learning (RL) is data-hungry. To improve sample-efficiency of RL, it has been proposed that the learning algorithm utilize data from 'approximately similar' processes. However, since the process models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-24 Vinay Kanakeri , Shivam Bajaj , Ashwin Verma , Vijay Gupta , Aritra Mitra

We study contextual chance-constrained programming under decision-dependent uncertainty. In this setting, a decision not only needs to satisfy constraints but also alters the distribution of uncertain outcomes. This dependency makes the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Xiangting Liu , Shengran Wang , Kaile Yan , Zhi-Hai Zhang

We introduce a modified model of random walk, and then develop two novel clustering algorithms based on it. In the algorithms, each data point in a dataset is considered as a particle which can move at random in space according to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-10-31 Qiang Li , Yan He , Jing-ping Jiang

We consider finding a counterfactual explanation for a classification or regression forest, such as a random forest. This requires solving an optimization problem to find the closest input instance to a given instance for which the forest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Miguel Á. Carreira-Perpiñán , Suryabhan Singh Hada