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We give a method for proactively identifying small, plausible shifts in distribution which lead to large differences in model performance. These shifts are defined via parametric changes in the causal mechanisms of observed variables, where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Nikolaj Thams , Michael Oberst , David Sontag

In this paper, we consider a network of processors aiming at cooperatively solving mixed-integer convex programs subject to uncertainty. Each node only knows a common cost function and its local uncertain constraint set. We propose a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-19 Mohammadreza Chamanbaz , Giuseppe Notarstefano , Francesco Sasso , Roland Bouffanais

Despite substantial improvement in the development of forecasting approaches, conditional and dynamic uncertainty estimates ought to be accommodated in decision-making in power system operation and market, in order to yield either…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-20 Faranak Golestaneh , Pierre Pinson , Hoay Beng Gooi

This article presents the complexity of reachability decision problems for parametric Markov decision processes (pMDPs), an extension to Markov decision processes (MDPs) where transitions probabilities are described by polynomials over a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Guillermo A. Pérez , Tobias Winkler

Constrained reinforcement learning is to maximize the expected reward subject to constraints on utilities/costs. However, the training environment may not be the same as the test one, due to, e.g., modeling error, adversarial attack,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Yue Wang , Fei Miao , Shaofeng Zou

In this paper, we discuss the ambiguous chance constrained based portfolio optimization problems, in which the perturbations associated with the input parameters are stochastic in nature, but their distributions are not known precisely. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Pulak Swain , Akshay Kumar Ojha

This paper studies optimal consumption and saving decisions under uncertainty about the transition dynamics of the economic environment. We consider a general optimal savings problem in which the exogenous state governing discounting,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-10 Qingyin Ma , Xinxin Zhang

This paper studies, for the first time, a bilevel polynomial program whose constraints involve uncertain linear constraints and another uncertain linear optimization problem. In the case of box data uncertainty, we present a sum of squares…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-26 T. D. Chuong , V. Jeyakumar

A large class of decision making under uncertainty problems can be described via Markov decision processes (MDPs) or partially observable MDPs (POMDPs), with application to artificial intelligence and operations research, among others.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-09-10 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Ugo Rosolia , Michel D. Ingham , Richard M. Murray , Aaron D. Ames

Stochastic programs where the uncertainty distribution must be inferred from noisy data samples are considered. The stochastic programs are approximated with distributionally-robust optimizations that minimize the worst-case expected cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Farhad Farokhi

Real-world problems typically require the simultaneous optimization of several, often conflicting objectives. Many of these multi-objective optimization problems are characterized by wide ranges of uncertainties in their decision variables…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Faramarz Khosravi , Alexander Raß , Jürgen Teich

We consider the problem of finite-horizon optimal control design under uncertainty for imperfectly observed discrete-time systems with convex costs and constraints. It is known that this problem can be cast as an infinite-dimensional convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Kevin J. Kircher , K. Max Zhang

We consider a bilevel continuous knapsack problem where the leader controls the capacity of the knapsack and the follower chooses an optimal packing according to his own profits, which may differ from those of the leader. To this bilevel…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Christoph Buchheim , Dorothee Henke

We consider a network design and expansion problem, where we need to make a capacity investment now, such that uncertain future demand can be satisfied as closely as possible. To use a robust optimization approach, we need to construct an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-03 Francis Garuba , Marc Goerigk , Peter Jacko

This paper studies motion planning of a mobile robot under uncertainty. The control objective is to synthesize a {finite-memory} control policy, such that a high-level task specified as a Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) formula is satisfied…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-10-24 Meng Guo , Michael M. Zavlanos

The main goal of this paper is to discuss several approaches to formulation of distributionally robust counterparts of Markov Decision Processes, where the transition kernels are not specified exactly but rather are assumed to be elements…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Yan Li , Alexander Shapiro

Robust Markov decision processes (MDPs) are used for applications of dynamic optimization in uncertain environments and have been studied extensively. Many of the main properties and algorithms of MDPs, such as value iteration and policy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-14 Julien Grand-Clément , Marek Petrik

This paper deals with a robust recoverable approach to 0-1 programming problems. It is assumed that a solution constructed in the first stage can be modified to some extent in the second stage. This modification consists in choosing a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Mmikita Hradovich , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

We consider a class of partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) with uncertain transition and/or observation probabilities. The uncertainty takes the form of probability intervals. Such uncertain POMDPs can be used, for…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-12 Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Murat Cubuktepe , Nils Jansen , Ufuk Topcu