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This paper considers a Markovian model of a limit order book where time-dependent rates are allowed. With the objective of understanding the mechanisms through which a microscopic model of an orderbook can converge to more general diffusion…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-03 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas

This work presents the first systematic development of Stein's method for matrix distributions. We establish the basic essential ingredients of Stein's method for matrix normal approximation: we derive a generator-based Stein identity from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Robert E. Gaunt , Frédéric Ouimet , Donald Richards

We develop the first exact Bayesian methodology for the problem of inference in discretely observed regime switching diffusions. Switching diffusion models extend ordinary diffusions by allowing for jumps in instantaneous drift and…

Generative models realized with machine learning techniques are powerful tools to infer complex and unknown data distributions from a finite number of training samples in order to produce new synthetic data. Diffusion models are an emerging…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-18 Marco Parigi , Stefano Martina , Filippo Caruso

In this work, nonparametric statistical inference is provided for the continuous-time M/G/1 queueing model from a Bayesian point of view. The inference is based on observations of the inter-arrival and service times. Beside other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-22 Cornelia Wichelhaus , Moritz von Rohrscheidt

We extend the ideas of (Barbour 1990) and use Stein's method to obtain a bound on the distance between a scaled time-changed random walk and a time-changed Brownian Motion. We then apply this result to bound the distance between a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Mikolaj J. Kasprzak

Following recent developments in the application of Stein's method in queueing theory, this paper is intended to be a short treatment showing how Stein's method can be developed and applied to the single server queue in heavy traffic. Here…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-28 Robert E. Gaunt , Neil Walton

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Botond Cseke , David Schnoerr , Manfred Opper , Guido Sanguinetti

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

This study connects two methods for modeling reaction times (RTs) in choice tasks: (1) the first-hitting time of a simple diffusion model with a single barrier, representing the cognitive process leading to a response, and (2) Generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-20 Mauricio Tejo , Cristian Meza , Fernando Marmolejo-Ramos

Diffusion models, a powerful and universal generative AI technology, have achieved tremendous success in computer vision, audio, reinforcement learning, and computational biology. In these applications, diffusion models provide flexible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Minshuo Chen , Song Mei , Jianqing Fan , Mengdi Wang

We consider the problem of simulating diffusion bridges, which are diffusion processes that are conditioned to initialize and terminate at two given states. The simulation of diffusion bridges has applications in diverse scientific fields…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-19 Jeremy Heng , Valentin De Bortoli , Arnaud Doucet , James Thornton

This tutorial provides an in-depth guide on inference-time guidance and alignment methods for optimizing downstream reward functions in diffusion models. While diffusion models are renowned for their generative modeling capabilities,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Masatoshi Uehara , Yulai Zhao , Chenyu Wang , Xiner Li , Aviv Regev , Sergey Levine , Tommaso Biancalani

We develop a heavy traffic diffusion limit theorem under nonstandard spatial scaling for the queue length process in a single server queue employing shortest remaining processing time (SRPT). For processing time distributions with unbounded…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-29 Amber L. Puha

We examine a generalised queuing model which we call the G/G/n/G/+ model, which encompasses the G/G/n and G/G/n/s models as special cases. Our model accommodates useful generalisations in user behaviour and limitations on the facilities for…

Computation · Statistics 2021-11-16 Ben O'Neill

We provide a general method to analyze the asymptotic properties of a variety of estimators of continuous time diffusion processes when the data are not only discretely sampled in time but the time separating successive observations may…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Yacine Ait-Sahalia , Per A. Mykland

We consider the heavy-traffic approximation to the $GI/M/s$ queueing system in the Halfin-Whitt regime, where both the number of servers $s$ and the arrival rate $\lambda$ grow large (taking the service rate as unity), with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Brian H. Fralix , Charles Knessl , Johan S. H. van Leeuwaarden

In this paper continuity theorems are established for the number of losses during a busy period of the $M/M/1/n$ queue. We consider an $M/GI/1/n$ queueing system where the service time probability distribution, slightly different in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-01 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

We propose a discrete time discrete space Markov chain approximation with a Brownian bridge correction for computing curvilinear boundary crossing probabilities of a general diffusion process on a finite time interval. For broad classes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Vincent Liang , Konstantin Borovkov

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais
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