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Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods are powerful computational tools for analysis of complex statistical problems. However, their computational efficiency is highly dependent on the chosen proposal distribution, which is generally…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Isambi S. Mbalawata , Simo Särkkä , Matti Vihola , Heikki Haario

Multiple hypothesis testing is widely used to evaluate scientific studies involving statistical tests. However, for many of these tests, p-values are not available and are thus often approximated using Monte Carlo tests such as permutation…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-17 Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are routinely used to draw samples from distributions with intractable normalization constants. However, standard MCMC algorithms do not apply to doubly-intractable distributions in which there are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-07-02 Iain Murray , Zoubin Ghahramani , David MacKay

State-transition models are essential across epidemiology and ecology, but statistical inference remains challenging owing to high-dimensional latent state spaces, temporal dependence, and intractable likelihood functions. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-12 Alin Morariu , Jess Bridgen , Chris Jewell

A classical approach for approximating expectations of functions w.r.t. partially known distributions is to compute the average of function values along a trajectory of a Metropolis-Hastings (MH) Markov chain. A key part in the MH algorithm…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-20 Daniel Rudolf , Björn Sprungk

We propose a new Metropolis-Hastings (MH) kernel by introducing the Mirror move into the Metropolis adjusted Langevin algorithm (MALA). This new kernel uses the strength of one kernel to overcome the shortcoming of the other, and generates…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-10 Nuo Guan , Xiyun Jiao

The Markov chain Monte Carlo method is a versatile tool in statistical physics to evaluate multi-dimensional integrals numerically. For the method to work effectively, we must consider the following key issues: the choice of ensemble, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-07 Synge Todo , Hidemaro Suwa

In this paper we study the Metropolis algorithm in connection with two mean--field spin systems, the so called mean--field Ising model and the Blume--Emery--Griffiths model. In both this examples the naive choice of proposal chain gives…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Bassetti Federico , Leisen Fabrizio

We introduce a new geometric approach that constructs a transition kernel of Markov chain. Our method always minimizes the average rejection rate and even reduce it to zero in many relevant cases, which cannot be achieved by conventional…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-03 Hidemaro Suwa , Synge Todo

We introduce a modification of the well-known Metropolis importance sampling algorithm by using a methodology inspired on the consideration of the reparametrization invariance of the microcanonical ensemble. The most important feature of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Velazquez , J. C. Castro Palacio

We introduce a Monte Carlo algorithm to efficiently compute transport properties of chaotic dynamical systems. Our method exploits the importance sampling technique that favors trajectories in the tail of the distribution of displacements,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-25 Diego Tapias , David P. Sanders , Eduardo G. Altmann

This paper considers Bayesian parameter estimation of dynamic systems using a Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach. The Metroplis-Hastings (MH) algorithm is employed, and the main contribution of the paper is to examine and illustrate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-18 Johannes Hendriks , Adrian Wills , Brett Ninness , Johan Dahlin

In engineering examples, one often encounters the need to sample from unnormalized distributions with complex shapes that may also be implicitly defined through a physical or numerical simulation model, making it computationally expensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Promit Chakroborty , Michael D. Shields

Couplings play a central role in contemporary Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and in the analysis of their convergence to stationarity. In most cases, a coupling must induce relatively fast meeting between chains to ensure good…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 John O'Leary

Among random sampling methods, Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are foremost. Using a combination of analytical and numerical approaches, we study their convergence properties towards the steady state, within a random walk Metropolis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-08 Alexei D. Chepelianskii , Satya N. Majumdar , Hendrik Schawe , Emmanuel Trizac

We examine the zero-temperature Metropolis Monte Carlo algorithm as a tool for training a neural network by minimizing a loss function. We find that, as expected on theoretical grounds and shown empirically by other authors, Metropolis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-11 Stephen Whitelam , Viktor Selin , Ian Benlolo , Corneel Casert , Isaac Tamblyn

In parameter estimation problems one computes a posterior distribution over uncertain parameters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a model, and noisy data. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is often used for the numerical solution of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-15 Matthias Morzfeld , Marcus S. Day , Ray W. Grout , George Shu Heng Pau , Stefan A. Finsterle , John B. Bell

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a popular Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that generates proposals for a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm by simulating the dynamics of a Hamiltonian system. However, HMC is sensitive to large time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-15 Xiaoyu Lu , Valerio Perrone , Leonard Hasenclever , Yee Whye Teh , Sebastian J. Vollmer

Probability measures supported on submanifolds can be sampled by adding an extra momentum variable to the state of the system, and discretizing the associated Hamiltonian dynamics with some stochastic perturbation in the extra variable. In…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Tony Lelièvre , Mathias Rousset , Gabriel Stoltz

The Metropolis algorithm involves producing a Markov chain to converge to a specified target density $\pi$. In order to improve its efficiency, we can use the Rejection-Free version of the Metropolis algorithm, which avoids the inefficiency…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-20 Sigeng Chen , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal , Aki Dote , Hirotaka Tamura , Ali Sheikholeslami
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