English
Related papers

Related papers: Tactical Asset Allocation with Macroeconomic Regim…

200 papers

This work aims to deal with the optimal allocation instability problem of Markowitz's modern portfolio theory in high dimensionality. We propose a combined strategy that considers covariance matrix estimators from Random Matrix Theory~(RMT)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Andrés García-Medina , Benito Rodriguéz-Camejo

Portfolio management remains a crucial challenge in finance, with traditional methods often falling short in complex and volatile market environments. While deep reinforcement approaches have shown promise, they still face limitations in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Fengchen Gu , Zhengyong Jiang , Ángel F. García-Fernández , Angelos Stefanidis , Jionglong Su , Huakang Li

Trajectory Prediction (TP) is an important research topic in computer vision and robotics fields. Recently, many stochastic TP models have been proposed to deal with this problem and have achieved better performance than the traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-11 Chunnan Wang , Chen Liang , Xiang Chen , Hongzhi Wang

In this paper we develop a novel methodology for estimation of risk capital allocation. The methodology is rooted in the theory of risk measures. We work within a general, but tractable class of law-invariant coherent risk measures, with a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

Detecting anomalies has become an increasingly critical function in the financial service industry. Anomaly detection is frequently used in key compliance and risk functions such as financial crime detection fraud and cybersecurity. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Hongda Shen , Eren Kurshan

This paper explores neural network-based approaches for algorithmic trading in cryptocurrency markets. Our approach combines multi-timeframe trend analysis with high-frequency direction prediction networks, achieving positive risk-adjusted…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Wěi Zhāng

This paper presents a deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework for dynamic portfolio optimization under market uncertainty and risk. The proposed model integrates a Sharpe ratio-based reward function with direct risk control mechanisms,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-17 Emmanuel Lwele , Sabuni Emmanuel , Sitali Gabriel Sitali

In a typical stochastic multi-armed bandit problem, the objective is often to maximize the expected sum of rewards over some time horizon $T$. While the choice of a strategy that accomplishes that is optimal with no additional information,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Reda Alami , Mohammed Mahfoud , Mastane Achab

The success of a cross-sectional systematic strategy depends critically on accurately ranking assets prior to portfolio construction. Contemporary techniques perform this ranking step either with simple heuristics or by sorting outputs from…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Daniel Poh , Bryan Lim , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In this paper, we present an artificial neural network framework for portfolio compression of a large portfolio of European options with varying maturities (target portfolio) by a significantly smaller portfolio of European options with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-29 Vikranth Lokeshwar Dhandapani , Shashi Jain

It is well known that quantile regression model minimizes the portfolio extreme risk, whenever the attention is placed on the estimation of the response variable left quantiles. We show that, by considering the entire conditional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-02 Giovanni Bonaccolto , Massimiliano Caporin , Sandra Paterlini

We present a study on portfolio investments in financial applications. We describe a general modeling and simulation framework and study the impact on the use of different metrics to measure the correlation among assets. In particular,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-07-25 Stefano Ferretti

This paper studies a discrete-time mean-variance model based on reinforcement learning. Compared with its continuous-time counterpart in \cite{zhou2020mv}, the discrete-time model makes more general assumptions about the asset's return…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-27 Xiangyu Cui , Xun Li , Yun Shi , Si Zhao

Traditional approaches to financial asset allocation start with returns forecasting followed by an optimization stage that decides the optimal asset weights. Any errors made during the forecasting step reduce the accuracy of the asset…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-06-08 Damian Kisiel , Denise Gorse

Momentum strategies are an important part of alternative investments and are at the heart of commodity trading advisors (CTAs). These strategies have, however, been found to have difficulties adjusting to rapid changes in market conditions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-21 Kieran Wood , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren

This paper presents a theoretical extension of the DeTEcT framework proposed by Sadykhov et al., DeTEcT, where a formal analysis framework was introduced for modelling wealth distribution in token economies. DeTEcT is a framework for…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-17 Rem Sadykhov , Geoffrey Goodell , Philip Treleaven

This paper introduces the MCTS algorithm to the financial world and focuses on solving significant multi-period financial planning models by combining a Monte Carlo Tree Search algorithm with a deep neural network. The MCTS provides an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-19 Afşar Onat Aydınhan , Xiaoyue Li , John M. Mulvey

This paper introduces and examines numerical approximation schemes for computing risk budgeting portfolios associated to positive homogeneous and sub-additive risk measures. We employ Mirror Descent algorithms to determine the optimal risk…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-20 Martin Arnaiz Iglesias , Adil Rengim Cetingoz , Noufel Frikha

In this paper, we introduce EvoPort, a novel evolutionary portfolio optimization method that leverages stochastic exploration over a spectrum of investment pipeline depths. From raw equity data, we employ a randomized feature generation…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-11 Nguyen Van Thanh , Nguyen Thi Hau

The combination of the network theoretic approach with recently available abundant economic data leads to the development of novel analytic and computational tools for modelling and forecasting key economic indicators. The main idea is to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-05 Andreas Joseph , Irena Vodenska , Eugene Stanley , Guanrong Chen