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This paper develops a Bayesian approach for assessing equivalence and non-inferiority hypotheses in two-arm trials using relative belief ratios. A relative belief ratio is a measure of statistical evidence and can indicate evidence either…

Applications · Statistics 2014-01-20 Saman Muthukumarana , Michael Evans

While many studies have previously conducted direct comparisons between results obtained from frequentist and Bayesian models, our research introduces a novel perspective by examining these models in the context of a small dataset…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-19 Georgios P. Georgiou

Conjoint analysis is a popular experimental design used to measure multidimensional preferences. Researchers examine how varying a factor of interest, while controlling for other relevant factors, influences decision-making. Currently,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-20 Dae Woong Ham , Kosuke Imai , Lucas Janson

Empirical analysis serves as an important complement to theoretical analysis for studying practical Bayesian optimization. Often empirical insights expose strengths and weaknesses inaccessible to theoretical analysis. We define two metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-04-01 Ian Dewancker , Michael McCourt , Scott Clark , Patrick Hayes , Alexandra Johnson , George Ke

Bayes factor, defined as the ratio of the marginal likelihood functions of two competing models, is the natural Bayesian procedure for model selection. Marginal likelihoods are usually computationally demanding and complex. This scenario is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Gabriel Calvo , Carmen Armero , Luigi Spezia , Maria Grazia Pennino

Understanding of the pathophysiology of obstructive lung disease (OLD) is limited by available methods to examine the relationship between multi-omic molecular phenomena and clinical outcomes. Integrative factorization methods for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-01 Sarah Samorodnitsky , Chris H. Wendt , Eric F. Lock

The parametric bootstrap can be used for the efficient computation of Bayes posterior distributions. Importance sampling formulas take on an easy form relating to the deviance in exponential families and are particularly simple starting…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-15 Bradley Efron

Combining the outputs of multiple classifiers or experts into a single probabilistic classification is a fundamental task in machine learning with broad applications from classifier fusion to expert opinion pooling. Here we present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Susanne Trick , Constantin A. Rothkopf

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for inferring how covariates affect specific percentiles of the response distribution. Existing methods either estimate conditional quantiles separately for each quantile of interest or estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Daniel Kowal

Computer experiments are becoming increasingly important in scientific investigations. In the presence of uncertainty, analysts employ probabilistic sensitivity methods to identify the key-drivers of change in the quantities of interest.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos , Emanuele Borgonovo , Xuefei Lu

Significance testing aims to determine whether a proposition about the population distribution is the truth or not given observations. However, traditional significance testing often needs to derive the distribution of the testing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-25 Zehua Liu , Zimeng Li , Jingyuan Wang , Yue He

We present a new functional Bayes classifier that uses principal component (PC) or partial least squares (PLS) scores from the common covariance function, that is, the covariance function marginalized over groups. When the groups have…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-20 Wentian Huang , David Ruppert

The Bayes factor is the gold-standard figure of merit for comparing fits of models to data, for hypothesis selection and parameter estimation. However it is little used because it is computationally very intensive. Here it is shown how…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-07-21 David J. Dunstan , Joel Crowne , Alan J. Drew

Causal discovery is crucial for understanding complex systems and informing decisions. While observational data can uncover causal relationships under certain assumptions, it often falls short, making active interventions necessary. Current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-18 Yuxuan Wang , Mingzhou Liu , Xinwei Sun , Wei Wang , Yizhou Wang

Multiple testing of a single hypothesis and testing multiple hypotheses are usually done in terms of p-values. In this paper we replace p-values with their natural competitor, e-values, which are closely related to betting, Bayes factors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Vladimir Vovk , Ruodu Wang

Testing hypotheses is an issue of primary importance in the scientific research, as well as in many other human activities. Much clarification about it can be achieved if the process of learning from data is framed in a stochastic model of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

Ideally, any statistical inference should be robust to local influences. Although there are simple ways to check about leverage points in independent and linear problems, more complex models require more sophisticated methods.…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-09 Ian M Danilevicz , Ricardo S Ehlers

We consider the problem of empirical Bayes estimation of multiple variances when provided with sample variances. Assuming an arbitrary prior on the variances, we derive different versions of the Bayes estimators using different loss…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Yeil Kwon , Zhigen Zhao

Functional factor analysis is an important dimension reduction method for functional and longitudinal data. Factor loadings give insight into patterns of variability of the observations, while latent factors provide a low-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-29 James Matuk , Amy H. Herring , David B. Dunson

This article is motivated by the problem of inference on interactions among chemical exposures impacting human health outcomes. Chemicals often co-occur in the environment or in synthetic mixtures and as a result exposure levels can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-09 Federico Ferrari , David B Dunson