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The ability to model and predict ego-vehicle's surrounding traffic is crucial for autonomous pilots and intelligent driver-assistance systems. Acceleration prediction is important as one of the major components of traffic prediction. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Jianyu Su , Peter A. Beling , Rui Guo , Kyungtae Han

Objective: Navigation through tortuous and deformable vessels using catheters with limited steering capability underscores the need for reliable path planning. State-of-the-art path planners do not fully account for the deformable nature of…

Many traffic prediction applications rely on uncertainty estimates instead of the mean prediction. Statistical traffic prediction literature has a complete subfield devoted to uncertainty modelling, but recent deep learning traffic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-10 Tijs Maas , Peter Bloem

This paper presents a novel probabilistic forecasting method called ensemble conformalized quantile regression (EnCQR). EnCQR constructs distribution-free and approximately marginally valid prediction intervals (PIs), which are suitable for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Vilde Jensen , Filippo Maria Bianchi , Stian Norman Anfinsen

Prediction of road users' behaviors in the context of autonomous driving has gained considerable attention by the scientific community in the last years. Most works focus on predicting behaviors based on kinematic information alone, a…

A case-based reasoning (CBR) system solves a new problem by retrieving `cases' that are similar to the given problem. If such a system can achieve high accuracy, it is appealing owing to its simplicity, interpretability, and scalability. In…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Rajarshi Das , Ameya Godbole , Nicholas Monath , Manzil Zaheer , Andrew McCallum

Human motion is stochastic and ensuring safe robot navigation in a pedestrian-rich environment requires proactive decision-making. Past research relied on incorporating deterministic future states of surrounding pedestrians which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian

Trajectory prediction models that can infer both finite future trajectories and their associated uncertainties of the target vehicles in an online setting (e.g., real-world application scenarios) is crucial for ensuring the safe and robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Huiqun Huang , Sihong He , Fei Miao

We present a novel statistical approach to incorporating uncertainty awareness in model-free distributional reinforcement learning involving quantile regression-based deep Q networks. The proposed algorithm, $\textit{Calibrated Evidential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Alex Christopher Stutts , Danilo Erricolo , Theja Tulabandhula , Amit Ranjan Trivedi

Supervised graph prediction addresses regression problems where the outputs are structured graphs. Although several approaches exist for graph-valued prediction, principled uncertainty quantification remains limited. We propose a conformal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-30 Gabriel Melo , Thibaut de Saivre , Anna Calissano , Florence d'Alché-Buc

The rapidly growing traffic demands in fiber-optical networks require flexibility and accuracy in configuring lightpaths, for which fast and accurate quality of transmission (QoT) estimation is of pivotal importance. This paper introduces a…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2023-05-15 Jasper Müller , Sai Kireet Patri , Tobias Fehenberger , Helmut Griesser , Jörg-Peter Elbers , Carmen Mas-Machuca

Accurate trajectory prediction is critical for safe autonomous navigation in crowded environments. While many trajectory predictors output Gaussian distributions to represent the multi-modal distribution over future pedestrian positions,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Fatemeh Cheraghi Pouria , Mahsa Golchoubian , Katherine Driggs-Campbell

In unstructured environments, obstacles are diverse and lack lane markings, making trajectory planning for intelligent vehicles a challenging task. Traditional trajectory planning methods typically involve multiple stages, including path…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Sumin Zhang , Kuo Li , Rui He , Zhiwei Meng , Yupeng Chang , Xiaosong Jin , Ri Bai

Graph autoencoders (GAEs) are powerful tools in representation learning for graph embedding. However, the performance of GAEs is very dependent on the quality of the graph structure, i.e., of the adjacency matrix. In other words, GAEs would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Rui Zhang , Yunxing Zhang , Xuelong Li

The significant increase in world population and urbanisation has brought several important challenges, in particular regarding the sustainability, maintenance and planning of urban mobility. At the same time, the exponential increase of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 João Rico , José Barateiro , Arlindo Oliveira

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) has been widely used in a variety of fields because of their great potential in representing graph-structured data. However, lacking of rigorous uncertainty estimations limits their application in high-stakes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ting Wang , Zhixin Zhou , Rui Luo

We consider the problem of trajectory planning in an environment comprised of a set of obstacles with uncertain locations. While previous approaches model the uncertainties with a prescribed Gaussian distribution, we consider the realistic…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Vasileios Lefkopoulos , Maryam Kamgarpour

Despite the strong predictive performance of deep learning models for traffic prediction, their widespread deployment in real-world intelligent transportation systems has been restrained by a lack of interpretability. Uncertainty…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-14 Alexander Timans , Nina Wiedemann , Nishant Kumar , Ye Hong , Martin Raubal

Entity Alignment (EA) has attracted widespread attention in both academia and industry, which aims to seek entities with same meanings from different Knowledge Graphs (KGs). There are substantial multi-step relation paths between entities…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Weishan Cai , Wenjun Ma , Jieyu Zhan , Yuncheng Jiang

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer