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Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) has emerged as the quintessential method in a data scientist's toolbox. Using SGD for high-stakes applications requires, however, careful quantification of the associated uncertainty. Towards that end, in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Bhavya Agrawalla , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Promit Ghosal

Functional principal component regression (PCR) can fail to provide good prediction if the response is highly correlated with some excluded functional principal component(s). This situation is common since the construction of functional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Zhiyang Zhou

As neural networks become more popular, the need for accompanying uncertainty estimates increases. There are currently two main approaches to test the quality of these estimates. Most methods output a density. They can be compared by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-05 Laurens Sluijterman , Eric Cator , Tom Heskes

Instance-dependent Partial Label Learning (ID-PLL) aims to learn a multi-class predictive model given training instances annotated with candidate labels related to features, among which correct labels are hidden fixed but unknown. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Congyu Qiao , Ning Xu , Yihao Hu , Xin Geng

Fitting high-dimensional statistical models often requires the use of non-linear parameter estimation procedures. As a consequence, it is generally impossible to obtain an exact characterization of the probability distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-03 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

A literature search shows that robust regression techniques are rarely used in applied econometrics. We list several misconceptions about robustness which lead to this situation. We show that most data sets are not normal, least squares…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-04 Asad Zaman , Peter J. Rousseeuw , Mehmet Orhan

Empirical regression discontinuity (RD) studies often include covariates in their specifications to increase the precision of their estimates. In this paper, we propose a novel class of estimators that use such covariate information more…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-28 Claudia Noack , Tomasz Olma , Christoph Rothe

Traditional regression and prediction tasks often only provide deterministic point estimates. To estimate the distribution or uncertainty of the response variable, traditional methods either assume that the posterior distribution of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Daojun Liang , Haixia Zhang , Dongfeng Yuan

In partial multi-label learning (PML), each data example is equipped with a candidate label set, which consists of multiple ground-truth labels and other false-positive labels. Recently, graph-based methods, which demonstrate a good ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Haobo Wang , Shisong Yang , Gengyu Lyu , Weiwei Liu , Tianlei Hu , Ke Chen , Songhe Feng , Gang Chen

The sparse linear regression problem is difficult to handle with usual sparse optimization models when both predictors and measurements are either quantized or represented in low-precision, due to non-convexity. In this paper, we provide a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-22 Vito Cerone , Sophie M. Fosson , Diego Regruto

Empirical studies using Regression Discontinuity (RD) designs often explore heterogeneous treatment effects based on pretreatment covariates, even though no formal statistical methods exist for such analyses. This has led to the widespread…

Deep learning has enjoyed tremendous success in a variety of applications but its application to quantile regressions remains scarce. A major advantage of the deep learning approach is its flexibility to model complex data in a more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Qixian Zhong , Jane-Ling Wang

In many scientific disciplines, we are interested in inferring the nonlinear dynamical system underlying a set of observed time series, a challenging task in the face of chaotic behavior and noise. Previous deep learning approaches toward…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-07 Manuel Brenner , Florian Hess , Jonas M. Mikhaeil , Leonard Bereska , Zahra Monfared , Po-Chen Kuo , Daniel Durstewitz

Large language models (LLMs) have shown strong results on a range of applications, including regression and scoring tasks. Typically, one obtains outputs from an LLM via autoregressive sampling from the model's output distribution. We show…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-04 Michal Lukasik , Harikrishna Narasimhan , Aditya Krishna Menon , Felix Yu , Sanjiv Kumar

Deep neural networks (DNN) has received increasing attention in machine learning applications in the last several years. Recently, a non-asymptotic error bound has been developed to measure the performance of the fully connected DNN…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-15 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

The advent of pre-trained language models (PLMs) has enabled significant performance gains in the field of natural language processing. However, recent studies have found PLMs to suffer from miscalibration, indicating a lack of accuracy in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Geetanjali Bihani , Julia Rayz

Regressions created from experimental or simulated data enable the construction of metamodels, widely used in a variety of engineering applications. Many engineering problems involve multi-parametric physics whose corresponding…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-03-10 Abel Sancarlos , Victor Champaney , Jean-Louis Duval , Elias Cueto , Francisco Chinesta

It has become critical for deep learning algorithms to quantify their output uncertainties to satisfy reliability constraints and provide accurate results. Uncertainty estimation for regression has received less attention than…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Xuanlong Yu , Gianni Franchi , Emanuel Aldea

Although the Cox proportional hazards model is well established and extensively used in the analysis of survival data, the proportional hazards (PH) assumption may not always hold in practical scenarios. The class of semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Junkai Yin , Yue Zhang , Zhangsheng Yu

The problem of sparse linear regression is relevant in the context of linear system identification from large datasets. When data are collected from real-world experiments, measurements are always affected by perturbations or low-precision…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-01 S. M. Fosson , V. Cerone , D. Regruto