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Non-terminal events can represent a meaningful change in a patient's life. Thus, better understanding and predicting their occurrence can bring valuable information to individuals. In a context where longitudinal markers could inform these…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-16 Juliette Ortholand , Stanley Durrleman , Sophie Tezenas du Montcel

We propose a novel frailty model with change points applying random effects to a Cox proportional hazard model to adjust the heterogeneity between clusters. Because the frailty model includes random effects, the parameters are estimated…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Masahiro Kojima , Shunichiro Orihara

Cardiovascular outcome trials commonly face competing risks when non-CV death prevents observation of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). While Cox proportional hazards models treat competing events as independent censoring,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Tuo Wang , Yu Du

We employ the Hopfield model as a simplified framework to explore both the memory deficits and the biochemical processes characteristic of Alzheimer's disease. By simulating neuronal death and synaptic degradation through increasing the…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-11 Sai Nag Anurag Nangunoori , Akshara Karthic Mahadevan

Structural failure time models are causal models for estimating the effect of time-varying treatments on a survival outcome. G-estimation and artificial censoring have been proposed to estimate the model parameters in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-19 Shu Yang , Karen Pieper , Frank Cools

In this work we provide a simple estimation procedure for a general frailty model for analysis of prospective correlated failure times. Rigorous large-sample theory for the proposed estimators of both the regression coefficient vector and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Malka Gorfine , David M. Zucker , Li Hsu

Causal mediation analysis of observational data is an important tool for investigating the potential causal effects of medications on disease-related risk factors, and on time-to-death (or disease progression) through these risk factors.…

Often in Phase 3 clinical trials measuring a long-term time-to-event endpoint, such as overall survival or progression-free survival, investigators also collect repeated measures on biomarkers which may be predictive of the primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-30 Abigail J. Burdon , Lisa V. Hampson , Christopher Jennison

Alzheimer's disease gradually affects several components including the cerebral dimension with brain atrophies, the cognitive dimension with a decline in various functions and the functional dimension with impairment in the daily living…

Studying the relationship between neuroanatomy and cognitive decline due to Alzheimer's has been a major research focus in the last decade. However, to infer cause-effect relationships rather than simple associations from observational…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-22 Sebastian Pölsterl , Christian Wachinger

Accurate predictions, as with machine learning, may not suffice to provide optimal healthcare for every patient. Indeed, prediction can be driven by shortcuts in the data, such as racial biases. Causal thinking is needed for data-driven…

Alzheimer's disease is characterised by the spreading of misfolded proteins and progressive structural changes in the brain. Despite significant clinical research, understanding how microscopic protein dynamics translate into macroscopic…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-23 A. Vazquez-Palomo , C. Betegón , J. Weickenmeier , E. Martínez-Pañeda

We propose to integrate weapon system features (such as weapon system manufacturer, deployment time and location, storage time and location, etc.) into a parameterized Cox-Weibull [1] reliability model via a neural network, like DeepSurv…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-17 Michael Potter , Benny Cheng

A population-averaged additive subdistribution hazards model is proposed to assess the marginal effects of covariates on the cumulative incidence function and to analyze correlated failure time data subject to competing risks. This approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-23 Xinyuan Chen , Denise Esserman , Fan Li

The Cox regression, a semi-parametric method of survival analysis, is extremely popular in biomedical applications. The proportional hazards assumption is a key requirement in the Cox model. To accommodate non-proportional hazards, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Alexander Begun , Elena Kulinskaya

Stroke remains one of the most critical global health challenges, ranking as the second leading cause of death and the third leading cause of disability worldwide. This study explores the effectiveness of machine learning algorithms in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Anastasija Tashkova , Stefan Eftimov , Bojan Ristov , Slobodan Kalajdziski

In this thesis the aim is to work on optimizing the modern machine learning models for personalized forecasting of Alzheimer Disease (AD) Progression from clinical trial data. The data comes from the TADPOLE challenge, which is one of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-07 Aritra Banerjee

This paper focuses on quantifying and estimating the predictive accuracy of prognostic models for time-to-event outcomes with competing events. We consider the time-dependent discrimination and calibration metrics, including the receiver…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-14 Cai Wu , Liang Li

Modern causal inference methods allow machine learning to be used to weaken parametric modeling assumptions. However, the use of machine learning may result in complications for inference. Doubly-robust cross-fit estimators have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Paul N Zivich , Alexander Breskin

Background: Clinical trials are designed to prove the efficacy of an intervention by means of model-based approaches involving parametric hypothesis testing. Issues arise when no effect is observed in the study population. Indeed, an effect…