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Atmospheric Carbon Monoxide (CO) provides a window on the chemistry of the atmosphere since it is one of few chemical constituents that can be remotely sensed, and it can be used to determine budgets of other greenhouse gases such as ozone…

The large underlying assumption of climate models today relies on the basis of a "confident" initial condition, a reasonably plausible snapshot of the Earth for which all future predictions depend on. However, given the inherently chaotic…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-03 Valerie Tsao , Nathaniel W. Chaney , Manolis Veveakis

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting, which predicts climate conditions from several weeks to months in advance, represents a critical frontier for agricultural planning, energy management, and disaster preparedness. However, it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-12 Tengfei Lyu , Weijia Zhang , Hao Liu

This document describes in detail a new hybrid ensemble-variational algorithm that generalizes existing ensemble or variational data assimilation approaches and would enable joint state/parameter estimations in ECMWF's Integrated…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-10-28 Nicolas Bousserez

The FORUM (Far-infrared Outgoing Radiation Understanding and Monitoring) mission will provide, for the first time, systematic far-infrared spectral measurements of Earth's outgoing radiation, enabling improved understanding of atmospheric…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-01 Cristina Sgattoni , Luca Sgheri , Matthias Chung , Michele Martinazzo

The weather and climate domains are undergoing a significant transformation thanks to advances in AI-based foundation models such as FourCastNet, GraphCast, ClimaX and Pangu-Weather. While these models show considerable potential, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Junqi Yin , Siming Liang , Siyan Liu , Feng Bao , Hristo G. Chipilski , Dan Lu , Guannan Zhang

The advent of a new generation of Adaptive Optics systems called Wide Field AO (WFAO) mark the beginning of a new era. By using multiple Guide Stars (GSs), either Laser Guide Stars (LGSs) or Natural Guide Stars (NGSs), WFAO significantly…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 Benoit Neichel , Elena Masciadri , Andrés R. Guesalaga , Franck Lascaux , Clémentine Béchet

Quantitative monitoring of subsurface changes is essential for ensuring the safety of geological CO2 sequestration. Full-waveform monitoring (FWM) can resolve these changes at high spatial resolution, but conventional deterministic…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-12-16 Haipeng Li , Nanzhe Wang , Louis J. Durlofsky , Biondo L. Biondi

Uncertainties of snowpack models and of their meteorological forcings limit their use by avalanche hazard forecasters, or for glaciological and hydrological studies. The spatialized simulations currently available for avalanche hazard…

We provide the first method allowing to retrieve spaceborne SIF maps at 30 m ground resolution with a strong correlation ($r^2=0.6$) to high-quality airborne estimates of sun-induced fluorescence (SIF). SIF estimates can provide explanatory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Jim Buffat , Miguel Pato , Kevin Alonso , Stefan Auer , Emiliano Carmona , Stefan Maier , Rupert Müller , Patrick Rademske , Uwe Rascher , Hanno Scharr

Terrestrial carbon fluxes provide vital information about our biosphere's health and its capacity to absorb anthropogenic CO$_2$ emissions. The importance of predicting carbon fluxes has led to the emerging field of data-driven carbon flux…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Matthew Fortier , Mats L. Richter , Oliver Sonnentag , Chris Pal

Quantifying uncertainty in future climate projections is hindered by the prohibitive computational cost of running physical climate models, which severely limits the availability of training data. We propose a data-efficient framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Johannes Brachem , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

There is a growing urgency to track greenhouse gasses with the resolution, precision and accuracy needed to support independent verification of $CO_2$ fluxes at local to global scales. The current generation of space-based sensors, however,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-27 Aaron Sonabend-W , Sean Campbell , John Platt , Christopher Van Arsdale , Anna M. Michalak

CO2 emissions from power plants, as significant super emitters, contribute substantially to global warming. Accurate quantification of these emissions is crucial for effective climate mitigation strategies. While satellite-based plume…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Dibyabha Deb , Kamal Das

The El Ni\~{n}o Modoki in 2010 lead to historic droughts in Brazil. We quantify the global and Brazilian carbon response to this event using the NASA Carbon Monitoring System Flux (CMS-Flux) framework. Satellite observations of CO$_2$, CO,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-20 K. W. Bowman , J. Liu , A. A. Bloom , N. C. Parazoo , M. Lee , Z. Jiang , D. Menemenlis , M. M. Gierach , G. J. Collatz , K. R. Gurney , D. Wunch

The aim of this paper is to provide geoscientists with the most accurate set of the Earth's astro-climatic parameters and daily insolation quantities, able to describe the Short-Term Orbital Forcing (STOF) as represented by the…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2017-04-20 Rodolfo G. Cionco , Willie W. -H Soon

Satellite-based estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) properties from observations of reflected solar spectra are integral for understanding and monitoring complex terrestrial systems and their impact on the carbon cycle due to their near…

The magnetic fields in the solar polar region are important to our understanding of the internal dynamo process, the global coronal structure, and the origin of the solar wind. The inference of polar fields based on spectropolarimetric…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-16 Bryan Yamashiro , Xudong Sun , Ivan Milić , Carlos Quintero Noda , Adur Pastor Yabar , Rebecca Centeno , Jiayi Liu , Milan Gošić , Kai Yang

Accurate Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) forecasting is vital for decision-making in agriculture, energy production, and emergency management. However, it remains a challenging and underexplored problem due to the chaotic nature of the…

To meet climate targets, the IPCC underscores the necessity of technologies capable of removing gigatonnes of CO2 annually, with Geological Carbon Storage (GCS) playing a central role. GCS involves capturing CO2 and injecting it into deep…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-02-12 Abhinav Prakash Gahlot , Felix J. Herrmann