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Recent advances have clarified theoretical learning accuracy in Bayesian inference, revealing that the asymptotic behavior of metrics such as generalization loss and free energy, assessing predictive accuracy, is dictated by a rational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Yuki Kurumadani

The multivariate normal linear model is one of the most widely employed models for statistical inference in applied research. Special cases include (multivariate) t testing, (M)AN(C)OVA, (multivariate) multiple regression, and repeated…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-15 J. Mulder , H. Hoijtink , X. Gu

Mandelbrot multiplicative cascades provide a construction of a dynamical system on a set of probability measures defined by inequalities on moments. To be more specific, beyond the first iteration, the trajectories take values in the set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-11 Julien Barral , Jacques Peyriere , Zhi-Ying Wen

While scale invariance is commonly observed in each component of real world multivariate signals, it is also often the case that the inter-component correlation structure is not fractally connected, i.e., its scaling behavior is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Herwig Wendt , Gustavo Didier , Sébastien Combrexelle , Patrice Abry

We study the polygons governing the convex hull of a point set created by the steps of $n$ independent two-dimensional random walkers. Each such walk consists of $T$ discrete time steps, where $x$ and $y$ increments are i.i.d. Gaussian. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-11-23 Timo Dewenter , Gunnar Claussen , Alexander K. Hartmann , Satya N. Majumdar

We study the asymptotic behavior of estimators of a two-valued, discontinuous diffusion coefficient in a Stochastic Differential Equation, called an Oscillating Brownian Motion. Using the relation of the latter process with the Skew…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-10 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

A recent model to analyze the Center of Pressure trajectories is based on the fractional Brownian motion. By doing so, one note that standing still is describe by different mechanisms following the frequency. Previous studies exhibit the…

Medical Physics · Physics 2025-03-31 Pierre R. Bertrand , Jean-Marc Bardet , Michel Dabonneville , A. Mouzat , Philippe Vaslin

Science students must deal with the errors inherent to all physical measurements and be conscious of the need to expressvthem as a best estimate and a range of uncertainty. Errors are routinely classified as statistical or systematic.…

Physics Education · Physics 2021-05-05 Martin Monteiro , Cecilia Stari , Cecilia Cabeza , Arturo C. Marti

We introduce a simulation-based, amortised Bayesian inference scheme to infer the parameters of random walks. Our approach learns the posterior distribution of the walks' parameters with a likelihood-free method. In the first step a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Hippolyte Verdier , François Laurent , Alhassan Cassé , Christian Vestergaard , Jean-Baptiste Masson

This paper describes joint work with Oded Schramm and Wendelin Werner establishing the values of the planar Brownian intersection exponents from which one derives the Hausdorff dimension of certain exceptional sets of planar Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Gregory Lawler

Fluctuations from a hydrodynamic limit of a one-dimensional asymmetric system come at two levels. On the central limit scale n^{1/2} one sees initial fluctuations transported along characteristics and no dynamical noise. The second order of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Timo Seppalainen

In this review paper, we first discuss some open problems related to two-dimensional self-avoiding paths and critical percolation. We then review some closely related results (joint work with Greg Lawler and Oded Schramm) on critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wendelin Werner

In this paper the multi-dimensional random walk models governed by distributed fractional order differential equations and multi-term fractional order differential equations are constructed. The scaling limits of these random walks to a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Erik Andries , Sabir Umarov , Stanly Steinberg

The purpose of this note is to collect in one place a few results about simple random walk and Brownian motion which are often useful. These include standard results such as Beurling estimates, large deviation estimates, and a method for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Christian Benes

A 3D copepod trajectory is recorded in the laboratory, using 2 digital cameras. The copepod undergoes a very structured type of trajectory, with successive moves displaying intermittent amplitudes. We perform a statistical analysis of this…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Francois G. Schmitt , Laurent Seuront

The normalized turbulent dissipation rate $C_\epsilon$ is studied in decaying and forced turbulence by direct numerical simulations, large-eddy simulations, and closure calculations. A large difference in the values of $C_\epsilon$ is…

Classical Physics · Physics 2007-12-18 Wouter J. T. Bos , L. Shao , Jean-Pierre Bertoglio

We study a likelihood ratio test for the location of the mode of a log-concave density. Our test is based on comparison of the log-likelihoods corresponding to the unconstrained maximum likelihood estimator of a log-concave density and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Charles R. Doss , Jon A. Wellner

The Boltzmann-Gibbs probability distributions generated by logarithmically correlated random potentials provide a simple yet nontrivial example of disorder-induced multifractal measures. We introduce and discuss two analytically tractable…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-14 Yan V Fyodorov

Various methods have been developed independently to study the multifractality of measures in many different contexts. Although they all convey the same intuitive idea of giving a "dimension" to sets where a quantity scales similarly within…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-08 Hadrien Salat , Roberto Murcio , Elsa Arcaute

Many-body stochastic processes with weighted multiplicative interactions are investigated analytically and numerically. An interaction rate between particles with quantities $x, y$ is controlled by a homogeneous symmetric kernel $K(x, y)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Akihiro Fujihara , Satoshi Tanimoto , Toshiya Ohtsuki , Hiroshi Yamamoto