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This article considers a model for alternative processes for securities prices and compares this model with actual return data of several securities. The distributions of returns that appear in the model can be Gaussian as well as…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyrylo Shmatov , Mikhail Smirnov

We investigate the limiting distribution of geometric Brownian motion conditional on its running maximum taking large values. We show that the conditional distribution of the geometric Brownian motion converges after a suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Ze-An Ng

This study proposes a reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo method for estimating parameters of lognormal distribution mixtures for income. Using simulated data examples, we examined the proposed algorithm's performance and the accuracy…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Kazuhiko Kakamu

The aim of this paper is to evaluate geometric Asian option by a mixed fractional subdiffusive Black-Scholes model. We derive a pricing formula for geometric Asian option when the underlying stock follows a time changed mixed fractional…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-15 Foad Shokrollahi

This study deals with the problem of pricing compound options when the underlying asset follows a mixed fractional Brownian motion with jumps. An analytic formula for compound options is derived under the risk neutral measure. Then, these…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-09 Foad Shokrollahi

The return distributions of the coherent noise model are studied for the system size independent case. It is shown that, in this case, these distributions are in the shape of q-Gaussians, which are the standard distributions obtained in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-05-30 Ahmet Celikoglu , Ugur Tirnakli , Silvio M. Duarte Queiros

Binomial trees are widely used in the financial sector for valuing securities with early exercise characteristics, such as American stock options. However, while effective in many scenarios, pricing options with CRR binomial trees are…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-28 Yury Lebedev , Arunava Banerjee

A class of discrete distributions can be derived from stationary renewal processes. They have the useful property that the mean is a simple function of the model parameters. Thus regressions of the distribution mean on covariates can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-01 Rose Baker

We prove that Student's t-distribution provides one of the better fits to returns of S&P component stocks and the generalized inverse gamma distribution best fits VIX and VXO volatility data. We further argue that a more accurate measure of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Tao Ma , R. A. Serota

We construct a sequence of functions that uniformly converge (on compact sets) to the price of Asian option, which is written on a stock whose dynamics follows a jump diffusion, exponentially fast. Each of the element in this sequence…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2008-10-29 Erhan Bayraktar , Hao Xing

This paper addresses the challenges of pricing exotic options and structured products, which traditional models often fail to handle due to their inability to capture real-world market phenomena like fat-tailed distributions and volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-18 Helin Zhao , Junchi Shen

Over the last decade, dividends have become a standalone asset class instead of a mere side product of an equity investment. We introduce a framework based on polynomial jump-diffusions to jointly price the term structures of dividends and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-26 Damir Filipović , Sander Willems

We use the theory of normal variance-mean mixtures to derive a data augmentation scheme for models that include gamma functions. Our methodology applies to many situations in statistics and machine learning, including Multinomial-Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-22 Jingyu He , Nicholas Polson , Jianeng Xu

This paper considers options pricing when the assumption of normality is replaced with that of the symmetry of the underlying distribution. Such a market affords many equivalent martingale measures (EMM). However we argue (as in the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-10 Kais Hamza , Fima C. Klebaner , Zinoviy Landsman , Ying-Oon Tan

In this paper we extend the theory of option pricing to take into account and explain the empirical evidence for asset prices such as non-Gaussian returns, long-range dependence, volatility clustering, non-Gaussian copula dependence, as…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-28 Stoyan V. Stoyanov , Yong Shin Kim , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

The principle of absence of arbitrage opportunities allows obtaining the distribution of stock price fluctuations by maximizing its information entropy. This leads to a physical description of the underlying dynamics as a random walk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-31 Rosario Bartiromo

An innovative extension of Geometric Brownian Motion model is developed by incorporating a weighting factor and a stochastic function modelled as a mixture of power and trigonometric functions. Simulations based on this Modified Brownian…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-09 Gurjeet Dhesi , Muhammad Bilal Shakeel , Ling Xiao

We study a variant of the Cont-Bouchaud model which utilizes the perco lation approach of multi-agent simulations of the stock market fluctuations. Here, instead of considering the relative price change as the difference of the total demand…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Anirban Chakraborti

Volatility modelling has become a significant area of research within Financial Mathematics. Wiener process driven stochastic volatility models have become popular due their consistency with theoretical arguments and empirical observations.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-14 Sovan Mitra

We show that our generalization of the Black-Scholes partial differential equation (pde) for nontrivial diffusion coefficients is equivalent to a Martingale in the risk neutral discounted stock price. Previously, this was proven for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 J. L. McCauley , G. H. Gunaratne , K. E. Bassler