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The atmosphere is chaotic. This fundamental property of the climate system makes forecasting weather incredibly challenging: it's impossible to expect weather models to ever provide perfect predictions of the Earth system beyond timescales…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Kirsten Mayer , Benjamin Toms , Zane Martin , Emily Gordon

A typical problem in air pollution epidemiology is exposure assessment for individuals for which health data are available. Due to the sparsity of monitoring sites and the limited temporal frequency with which measurements of air pollutants…

Air pollution constitutes the highest environmental risk factor in relation to heath. In order to provide the evidence required for health impact analyses, to inform policy and to develop potential mitigation strategies comprehensive…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-23 Matthew L. Thomas , Gavin Shaddick , Daniel Simpson , Kees de Hoogh , James V. Zidek

Atmospheric modeling has recently experienced a surge with the advent of deep learning. Most of these models, however, predict concentrations of pollutants following a data-driven approach in which the physical laws that govern their…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-08 Javier Rubio-Herrero , Carlos Ortiz Marrero , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

As social changes accelerate, the incidence of psychosomatic disorders has significantly increased, becoming a major challenge in global health issues. This necessitates an innovative knowledge system and analytical methods to aid in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Zihan Zhou , Ziyi Zeng , Wenhao Jiang , Yihui Zhu , Jiaxin Mao , Yonggui Yuan , Min Xia , Shubin Zhao , Mengyu Yao , Yunqian Chen

Dynamics of complex social systems has often been described in the framework of temporal networks, where links are considered to exist only at the moment of interaction between nodes. Such interaction patterns are not only driven by…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-09 Hyewon Kim , Hang-Hyun Jo , Hawoong Jeong

To understand the contact patterns of a population -- who is in contact with whom, and when the contacts happen -- is crucial for modeling outbreaks of infectious disease. Traditional theoretical epidemiology assumes that any individual can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-22 Petter Holme

This paper investigates causal influences between agents linked by a social graph and interacting over time. In particular, the work examines the dynamics of social learning models and distributed decision-making protocols, and derives…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Mert Kayaalp , Ali H. Sayed

Face-to-face social interactions are an important aspect of peoples' social lives. A lack of interactions can explain how individuals develop depressive symptoms, but depressive symptoms can also explain how individuals engage in social…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-20 Timon Elmer , Christoph Stadtfeld

Acute respiratory diseases are transmitted over networks of social contacts. Large-scale simulation models are used to predict epidemic dynamics and evaluate the impact of various interventions, but the contact behavior in these models is…

Applications · Statistics 2012-08-27 Gail E. Potter , Mark S. Handcock , Ira M. Longini, , M. Elizabeth Halloran

The use of multiple drugs accounts for almost 30% of all hospital admission and is the 5th leading cause of death in America. Since over 30% of all adverse drug events (ADEs) are thought to be caused by drug-drug interactions (DDI), better…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-02 Ricky Wang

Phenotypes are the observable characteristics of an organism arising from its response to the environment. Phenotypes associated with engineered and natural genetic variation are widely recorded using phenotype ontologies in model…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-26 Robert Hoehndorf , Paul N Schofield , Georgios V Gkoutos

The risk of conflict is exasperated by a multitude of internal and external factors. Current multivariate analysis paints diverse causal risk profiles that vary with time. However, these profiles evolve and a universal model to understand…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-09-30 Gerardo Aquino , Weisi Guo , Alan Wilson

Predicting the presence of major depressive disorder (MDD) using behavioural and cognitive signals is a highly non-trivial task. The heterogeneous clinical profile of MDD means that any given speech, facial expression and/or observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-26 Salvatore Fara , Orlaith Hickey , Alexandra Georgescu , Stefano Goria , Emilia Molimpakis , Nicholas Cummins

Network--based epidemic models that account for heterogeneous contact patterns are extensively used to predict and control the diffusion of infectious diseases. We use census and survey data to reconstruct a geo--referenced and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Alessandro Celestini , Francesca Colaiori , Stefano Guarino , Enrico Mastrostefano , Lena Rebecca Zastrow

There is a rich history of models for the interaction of a biological contagion like influenza with the spread of related information such as an influenza vaccination campaign. Recent work on the spread of interacting contagions on networks…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-09-02 Laurent Hébert-Dufresne , Dina Mistry , Benjamin M. Althouse

Dermatological conditions affect 1.9 billion people globally, yet accurate diagnosis remains challenging due to limited specialist availability and complex clinical presentations. Family history significantly influences skin disease…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Satya Narayana Panda , Vaishnavi Kukkala , Spandana Iyer

We consider a causal inference model in which individuals interact in a social network and they may not comply with the assigned treatments. In particular, we suppose that the form of network interference is unknown to researchers. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-24 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

Intensive longitudinal data, characterized by frequent measurements across numerous time points, are increasingly common due to advances in wearable devices and mobile health technologies. We consider evaluating causal mediation pathways…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-26 Tianchen Qian

An estimate of the net direction of climate interactions in different geographical regions is made by constructing a directed climate network from a regular latitude-longitude grid of nodes, using a directionality index (DI) based on…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-23 J. Ignacio Deza , Cristina Masoller , Marcelo Barreiro