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Related papers: A primer on optimal transport for causal inference…

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Causal inference is capable of estimating the treatment effect (i.e., the causal effect of treatment on the outcome) to benefit the decision making in various domains. One fundamental challenge in this research is that the treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Qian Li , Zhichao Wang , Shaowu Liu , Gang Li , Guandong Xu

Causal discovery aims to automatically uncover causal relationships from data, a capability with significant potential across many scientific disciplines. However, its real-world applications remain limited. Current methods often rely on…

Quantum optimal transportation seeks an operator which minimizes the total cost of transporting a quantum state to another state, under some constraints that should be satisfied during transportation. We formulate this issue by extending…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-28 Kazuki Ikeda

This book is about conformal prediction and related inferential techniques that build on permutation tests and exchangeability. These techniques are useful in a diverse array of tasks, including hypothesis testing and providing uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Rina Foygel Barber , Stephen Bates

We study the problem of estimating a function $T$ given independent samples from a distribution $P$ and from the pushforward distribution $T_\sharp P$. This setting is motivated by applications in the sciences, where $T$ represents the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Vincent Divol , Jonathan Niles-Weed , Aram-Alexandre Pooladian

When estimating causal effects using observational data, it is desirable to replicate a randomized experiment as closely as possible by obtaining treated and control groups with similar covariate distributions. This goal can often be…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-28 Elizabeth A. Stuart

Recent methodological research in causal inference has focused on effects of stochastic interventions, which assign treatment randomly, often according to subject-specific covariates. In this work, we demonstrate that the usual notion of…

The presentation covers prerequisite results from Topology and Measure Theory. This is then followed by an introduction into couplings and basic definitions for optimal transport. The Kantrorovich problem is then introduced and an existence…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Austin Vandegriffe

Optimal transport is the problem of designing a joint distribution for two random variables with fixed marginals. In virtually the entire literature on this topic, the objective is to minimize expected cost. This paper is the first to study…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-13 Yinchu Zhu , Ilya O. Ryzhov

For obtaining causal inferences that are objective, and therefore have the best chance of revealing scientific truths, carefully designed and executed randomized experiments are generally considered to be the gold standard. Observational…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-12 Donald B. Rubin

Conditional risk minimization arises in high-stakes decisions where risk must be assessed in light of side information, such as stressed economic conditions, specific customer profiles, or other contextual covariates. Constructing reliable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Xinqiao Xie , Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

Optimal transport (OT) is a powerful geometric and probabilistic tool for finding correspondences and measuring similarity between two distributions. Yet, its original formulation relies on the existence of a cost function between the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Ievgen Redko , Titouan Vayer , Rémi Flamary , Nicolas Courty

Information transfer between coupled stochastic dynamics, measured by transfer entropy and information flow, is suggested as a physical process underlying the causal relation of systems. While information transfer analysis has booming…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-04-29 Yang Tian , Hedong Hou , Yaoyuan Wang , Ziyang Zhang , Pei Sun

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a principled framework for quantifying uncertainty in blackbox learning models, by constructing prediction sets with finite-sample coverage guarantees. Traditional approaches rely on scalar nonconformity scores,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Gauthier Thurin , Kimia Nadjahi , Claire Boyer

Neuroscientists have worked on the problem of estimating synaptic properties, such as connectivity and strength, from simultaneously recorded spike trains since the 1960s. Recent years have seen renewed interest in the problem, coinciding…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-07 Zach Saccomano , Sam Mckenzie , Horacio Rotstein , Asohan Amarasingham

Many results in probability (most famously, Strassen's theorem on stochastic domination), characterize some relationship between probability distributions in terms of the existence of a particular structured coupling between them. Optimal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-23 Adam Quinn Jaffe , Daniel Raban

We consider optimal transportation of measures on metric and topological spaces in the case where the cost function and marginal distributions depend on a parameter with values in a metric space. The Hausdorff distance between the sets of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-29 Vladimir Bogachev , Svetlana Popova

Causal inference is perhaps one of the most fundamental concepts in science, beginning originally from the works of some of the ancient philosophers, through today, but also weaved strongly in current work from statisticians, machine…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Sudam Surasinghe , Erik M. Bollt

We propose an abductive diagnosis theory that integrates probabilistic, causal and taxonomic knowledge. Probabilistic knowledge allows us to select the most likely explanation; causal knowledge allows us to make reasonable independence…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Dekang Lin , Randy Goebel

We take steps towards causally interpretable meta-analysis by describing methods for transporting causal inferences from a collection of randomized trials to a new target population, one-trial-at-a-time and pooling all trials. We discuss…