English
Related papers

Related papers: Uncertainty quantification and posterior sampling …

200 papers

Bayesian deep learning counts on the quality of posterior distribution estimation. However, the posterior of deep neural networks is highly multi-modal in nature, with local modes exhibiting varying generalization performance. Given a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Bolian Li , Ruqi Zhang

Bayesian modelling allows for the quantification of predictive uncertainty which is crucial in safety-critical applications. Yet for many machine learning (ML) algorithms, it is difficult to construct or implement their Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-22 Ziyu Wang , Chris Holmes

We explore the problem of inferring the graph Laplacian of a weighted, undirected network from snapshots of a single or multiple discrete-time consensus dynamics, subject to parameter uncertainty, taking place on the network. Specifically,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-08 Yu Zhu , Michael T. Schaub , Ali Jadbabaie , Santiago Segarra

Many dynamical processes of complex systems can be understood as the dynamics of a group of nodes interacting on a given network structure. However, finding such interaction structure and node dynamics from time series of node behaviours is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-28 Yan Zhang , Yu Guo , Zhang Zhang , Mengyuan Chen , Shuo Wang , Jiang Zhang

Bayesian inference can quantify uncertainty in the predictions of neural networks using posterior distributions for model parameters and network output. By looking at these posterior distributions, one can separate the origin of uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 H. Linander , O. Balabanov , H. Yang , B. Mehlig

We propose and investigate new complementary methodologies for estimating predictive variance networks in regression neural networks. We derive a locally aware mini-batching scheme that result in sparse robust gradients, and show how to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Nicki S. Detlefsen , Martin Jørgensen , Søren Hauberg

We address the inverse problem of reconstructing both the structure and dynamics of a network from mean-field measurements, which are linear combinations of node states. This setting arises in applications where only a few aggregated…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Narcicegi Kiran , Tiago Pereira

With an increasing amount of observations on the dynamics of many complex systems, it is required to reveal the underlying mechanisms behind these complex dynamics, which is fundamentally important in many scientific fields such as climate,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Zhendong Yu , Haiping Huang

We consider the problem of accurately recovering a matrix B of size M by M , which represents a probability distribution over M2 outcomes, given access to an observed matrix of "counts" generated by taking independent samples from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-07 Qingqing Huang , Sham M. Kakade , Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant

Network graphs have become a popular tool to represent complex systems composed of many interacting subunits; especially in neuroscience, network graphs are increasingly used to represent and analyze functional interactions between neural…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-24 Patricia Wollstadt , Ulrich Meyer , Michael Wibral

This paper focuses on the problem of 3D human reconstruction from 2D evidence. Although this is an inherently ambiguous problem, the majority of recent works avoid the uncertainty modeling and typically regress a single estimate for a given…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Nikos Kolotouros , Georgios Pavlakos , Dinesh Jayaraman , Kostas Daniilidis

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a promising framework for modeling predictive uncertainty and enhancing out-of-distribution robustness (OOD) by estimating the posterior distribution of network parameters. Stochastic Gradient Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Hyunsu Kim , Giung Nam , Chulhee Yun , Hongseok Yang , Juho Lee

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

We develop a generative model-based approach to Bayesian inverse problems, such as image reconstruction from noisy and incomplete images. Our framework addresses two common challenges of Bayesian reconstructions: 1) It makes use of complex,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-24 Vanessa Böhm , François Lanusse , Uroš Seljak

Probabilistic databases play a crucial role in the management and understanding of uncertain data. However, incorporating probabilities into the semantics of incomplete databases has posed many challenges, forcing systems to sacrifice…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-03-17 Michael Wick , Andrew McCallum , Gerome Miklau

The paper considers the problem of performing a task defined on a model parameter that is only observed indirectly through noisy data in an ill-posed inverse problem. A key aspect is to formalize the steps of reconstruction and task as…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jonas Adler , Sebastian Lunz , Olivier Verdier , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb , Ozan Öktem

Reconstructing an image from noisy and incomplete measurements is a central task in several image processing applications. In recent years, state-of-the-art reconstruction methods have been developed based on recent advances in deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Christoph Angermann , Simon Göppel , Markus Haltmeier

Exploring statistics of locally connected subgraph patterns (also known as network motifs) has helped researchers better understand the structure and function of biological and online social networks (OSNs). Nowadays the massive size of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Pinghui Wang , John C. S. Lui , Bruno Ribeiro , Don Towsley , Junzhou Zhao , Xiaohong Guan

Multiplex networks are collections of networks with identical nodes but distinct layers of edges. They are genuine representations for a large variety of real systems whose elements interact in multiple fashions or flavors. However,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-02-27 Daniel Kaiser , Siddharth Patwardhan , Minsuk Kim , Filippo Radicchi

This paper presents an improved implicit sampling method for hierarchical Bayesian inverse problems. A widely used approach for sampling posterior distribution is based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). However, the samples generated by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Xiaoyan Song , Lijian Jiang , Guanghui Zheng