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We study the strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient in complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes driven by fractional Brownian motion, extending the results of Chen, Hu, Wang…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-27 Fares Alazemi , Abdulaziz Alsenafi , Yong Chen , Hongjuan Zhou

Fractional Brownian motion is a non-Markovian Gaussian process $X_t$, indexed by the Hurst exponent $H$. It generalises standard Brownian motion (corresponding to $H=1/2$). We study the probability distribution of the maximum $m$ of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-25 Mathieu Delorme , Kay Joerg Wiese

The linear fractional stable motion (LFSM) extends the fractional Brownian motion (fBm) by considering $\alpha$-stable increments. We propose a method to forecast future increments of the LFSM from past discrete-time observations, using the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Matthieu Garcin , Karl Sawaya , Thomas Valade

This paper presents a new estimator of the global regularity index of a multifractional Brownian motion. Our estimation method is based upon a ratio statistic, which compares the realized global quadratic variation of a multifractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-11 Joachim Lebovits , Mark Podolskij

Stochastic process exhibiting power-law slopes in the frequency domain are frequently well modeled by fractional Brownian motion (fBm). In particular, the spectral slope at high frequencies is associated with the degree of small-scale…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-13 J. M. Lilly , A. M. Sykulski , J. J Early , S. C. Olhede

We examine two stochastic processes with random parameters, which in their basic versions (i.e., when the parameters are fixed) are Gaussian and display long range dependence and anomalous diffusion behavior, characterized by the Hurst…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Hubert Woszczek , Agnieszka Wylomanska , Aleksei Chechkin

We introduce fractional Brownian motion processes (fBm) as an alternative model for the turbulent index of refraction. These processes allow to reconstruct most of the refractive index properties, but they are not differentiable. We…

Optics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dario G. Perez

Denote by $H(t)=(H_1(t),...,H_N(t))$ a function in $t\in{\mathbb{R}}_+^N$ with values in $(0,1)^N$. Let $\{B^{H(t)}(t)\}=\{B^{H(t)}(t),t\in{\mathbb{R}}^N_+\}$ be an $(N,d)$-multifractional Brownian sheet (mfBs) with Hurst functional $H(t)$.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-27 Mark Meerschaert , Dongsheng Wu , Yimin Xiao

In [Han \& Schied, 2023, \textit{arXiv 2307.02582}], an easily computable scale-invariant estimator $\widehat{\mathscr{R}}^s_n$ was constructed to estimate the Hurst parameter of the drifted fractional Brownian motion $X$ from its…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-09 Xiyue Han , Alexander Schied

Bifractional Brownian motion on $\mathbb{R}_+$ is a two parameter centered Gaussian process with covariance function: \[ R_{H,K} (t,s)=\frac 1{2^K}\left(\left(t^{2H}+s^{2H}\right)^K-\ |{t-s}\ |^{2HK}\right), \qquad s,t\ge 0. \] This process…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Anna Talarczyk

We construct fractional Brownian motion (fBm), sub-fractional Brownian motion (sub-fBm), negative sub-fractional Brownian motion (nsfBm) and the odd part of fBm in the sense of Dzhaparidze and van Zanten (2004) by means of limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Tomasz Bojdecki , Anna Talarczyk

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

We propose and test a method to interpolate sparsely sampled signals by a stochastic process with a broad range of spatial and/or temporal scales. To this end, we extend the notion of a fractional Brownian bridge, defined as fractional…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-01-05 J. Friedrich , S. Gallon , A. Pumir , R. Grauer

For a fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst parameter $H\in]{1/4},{1/2}[\cup]{1/2},1[$, multiple indefinite integrals on a simplex are constructed and the regularity of their sample paths are studied. Then, it is proved that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Marta Sanz-Solé , Iván Torrecilla-Tarantino

Despite the widespread utilization of Gaussian process models for versatile nonparametric modeling, they exhibit limitations in effectively capturing abrupt changes in function smoothness and accommodating relationships with heteroscedastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-01 Taehee Lee , Jun S. Liu

We provide an alternative method for analysis of multifractal properties of time series. The new approach takes into account the behaviour of the whole multifractal profile of the generalized Hurst exponent $h(q)$ for all moment orders $q$,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-24 Dariusz Grech , Grzegorz Pamuła

We study the first-passage time, the distribution of the maximum, and the absorption probability of fractional Brownian motion of Hurst parameter $H$ with both a linear and a non-linear drift. The latter appears naturally when applying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-12 Maxence Arutkin , Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

A number of phenomena in various fields such as geology, atmospheric sciences, economics, to list a few, can be modeled as a fractional Brownian motion indexed by Hurst exponent $H$. This exponent is related to the degree of regularity and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-05 Minkyoung Kang , Brani Vidakovic

Sensitivity analysis w.r.t. the long-range/memory noise parameter for probability distributions of functionals of solutions to stochastic differential equations is an important stochastic modeling issue in many applications. In this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-30 Alexandre Richard , Denis Talay

In this paper, we show how concentration inequalities for Gaussian quadratic form can be used to propose exact confidence intervals of the Hurst index parametrizing a fractional Brownian motion. Both cases where the scaling parameter of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Jean-Christophe Breton , Jean-François Coeurjolly
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