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Determining subgroups that respond especially well (or poorly) to specific interventions (medical or policy) requires new supervised learning methods tailored specifically for causal inference. Bayesian Causal Forest (BCF) is a recent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-16 Nikolay Krantsevich , Jingyu He , P. Richard Hahn

Systematic sampling is often used to select plot locations for forest inventory estimation. However, it is not possible to derive a design-unbiased variance estimator for a systematic sample using one random start. As a result, many forest…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-22 Chad Babcock , Andrew O. Finley , Timothy G. Gregoire , Hans-Erik Andersen

We derive ensembles of decision trees through a nonparametric Bayesian model, allowing us to view random forests as samples from a posterior distribution. This insight provides large gains in interpretability, and motivates a class of…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-19 Matt Taddy , Chun-Sheng Chen , Jun Yu , Mitch Wyle

Random forests are one of the most popular machine learning methods due to their accuracy and variable importance assessment. However, random forests only provide variable importance in a global sense. There is an increasing need for such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-25 Joshua Daniel Loyal , Ruoqing Zhu , Yifan Cui , Xin Zhang

Monitoring and controlling invasive tree species across large forests, parks, and trail networks is challenging due to limited accessibility, reliance on manual scouting, and degraded under-canopy GNSS. We present MapForest, a modular field…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Sandeep Zachariah , Francisco Yandun , Sachet Korada , Abhisesh Silwal

Gathering information about forest variables is an expensive and arduous activity. As such, directly collecting the data required to produce high-resolution maps over large spatial domains is infeasible. Next generation collection…

Forest transitions, characterized by dynamic shifts between forest, agricultural, and abandoned lands, are complex phenomena. This study developed a stochastic differential equation model to capture the intricate dynamics of these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-30 Satoshi Kumabe , Tianyu Song , Ton Viet Ta

It is becoming increasingly important for machine learning methods to make predictions that are interpretable as well as accurate. In many practical applications, it is of interest which features and feature interactions are relevant to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-09 Viktoriya Krakovna , Jiong Du , Jun S. Liu

Feature and Interaction Importance (FII) methods are essential in supervised learning for assessing the relevance of input variables and their interactions in complex prediction models. In many domains, such as personalized medicine, local…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-15 Kata Vuk , Nicolas Alexander Ihlo , Merle Behr

The Fay-Herriot model is a standard model for direct survey estimators in which the true quantity of interest, the superpopulation mean, is latent and its estimation is improved through the use of auxiliary covariates. In the context of…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-29 Aaron T. Porter , Christopher K. Wikle , Scott H. Holan

Wildfires pose a severe threat to the ecosystem and economy, and risk assessment is typically based on fire danger indices such as the McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) used in Australia. Studying the joint tail dependence structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-09 Daniela Cisneros , Arnab Hazra , Raphaël Huser

Recent advancements in remote sensing technology, specifically Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) sensors, provide the data needed to quantify forest characteristics at a fine spatial resolution over large geographic domains. From an…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-07 Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee , Yuzhen Zhou , Bruce D. Cook , Chad Babcock

Accurately identifying spatial patterns of species distribution is crucial for scientific insight and societal benefit, aiding our understanding of species fluctuations. The increasing quantity and quality of ecological datasets present…

We discuss estimation and inference of conditional treatment effects in regression discontinuity (RD) designs with multiple scores. In addition to local linear regressions and the minimax-optimal estimator more recently proposed by Imbens…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-10 Yiqi Liu , Yuan Qi

The age of forest stands is critical information for many aspects of forest management and conservation but area-wide information about forest stand age often does not exist. In this study, we developed regression models for large-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-29 Johannes Schumacher , Marius Hauglin , Rasmus Astrup , Johannes Breidenbach

Fine-resolution maps of forest aboveground biomass (AGB) effectively represent spatial patterns and can be flexibly aggregated to map subregions by computing spatial averages or totals of pixel-level predictions. However, generalized…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-15 Lucas K. Johnson , Grant M Domke , Stephen V Stehman , Michael J Mahoney , Colin M Beier

There is a rising interest in mapping trees using satellite or aerial imagery, but there is no standardized evaluation protocol for comparing and enhancing methods. In dense canopy areas, the high variability of tree sizes and their spatial…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Dimitri Gominski , Ankit Kariryaa , Martin Brandt , Christian Igel , Sizhuo Li , Maurice Mugabowindekwe , Rasmus Fensholt

Nonparametric estimation of the conditional distribution of a response given high-dimensional features is a challenging problem. It is important to allow not only the mean but also the variance and shape of the response density to change…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-05 Francesca Petralia , Joshua Vogelstein , David B. Dunson

We develop a Bayesian model-based approach to finite population estimation accounting for spatial dependence. Our innovation here is a framework that achieves inference for finite population quantities in spatial process settings. A key…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-22 Alec M. Chan-Golston , Sudipto Banerjee , Mark S. Handcock

National Forest Inventory serves as the primary source of forest information, however, maintaining these inventories requires labor-intensive on-site campaigns by forestry experts to identify and document tree species. Embeddings from deep…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Takayuki Ishikawa , Carmelo Bonannella , Bas J. W. Lerink , Marc Rußwurm