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Generating video frames that accurately predict future world states is challenging. Existing approaches either fail to capture the full distribution of outcomes, or yield blurry generations, or both. In this paper we introduce an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Remi Denton , Rob Fergus

Uncertainty sampling, a popular active learning algorithm, is used to reduce the amount of data required to learn a classifier, but it has been observed in practice to converge to different parameters depending on the initialization and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-06 Stephen Mussmann , Percy Liang

We consider the problem of uncertainty estimation in the context of (non-Bayesian) deep neural classification. In this context, all known methods are based on extracting uncertainty signals from a trained network optimized to solve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Yonatan Geifman , Guy Uziel , Ran El-Yaniv

We study a class of two-stage stochastic programs in which the second stage includes a set of components with uncertain capacity, and the expression for the distribution function of the uncertain capacity includes first-stage variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-16 Hugh Medal , Samuel Affar

We address a class of backward stochastic differential equations on a bounded interval, where the driving noise is a marked, or multivariate, point process. Assuming that the jump times are totally inaccessible and a technical condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman , Jean Jacod

Two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are proposed for the performance analysis of engineering systems described by expensive-to-evaluate deterministic computer models with parameters defined as interval variables. These…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-15 Alice Cicirello , Filippo Giunta

There exist a number of reinforcement learning algorithms which learnby climbing the gradient of expected reward. Their long-runconvergence has been proved, even in partially observableenvironments with non-deterministic actions, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-14 Lex Weaver , Nigel Tao

The growing interest in complex decision-making and language modeling problems highlights the importance of sample-efficient learning over very long horizons. This work takes a step in this direction by investigating contextual linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Yuzhen Qin , Yingcong Li , Fabio Pasqualetti , Maryam Fazel , Samet Oymak

This article studies the problem of estimating the state variable of non-smooth subdifferential dynamics constrained in a bounded convex domain given some real-time observation. On the one hand, we show that the value function of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-04 Louis-Pierre Chaintron , Laurent Mertz , Philippe Moireau , Hasnaa Zidani

We consider a finite-time stochastic drift control problem with the assumption that the control is bounded and the system is controlled until the state process leaves the half-line. Assuming general conditions, it is proved that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Dariusz Zawisza

In stochastic decision problems, one often wants to estimate the underlying probability measure statistically, and then to use this estimate as a basis for decisions. We shall consider how the uncertainty in this estimation can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Samuel N. Cohen

In this work, we consider the problem of bounding the values of a covariance function corresponding to a continuous-time stationary stochastic process or signal. Specifically, for two signals whose covariance functions agree on a finite…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-07 Filip Elvander , Johan Karlsson , Toon van Waterschoot

Designing provably safe control is a core problem in trustworthy autonomy. However, most prior work in this regard assumes either that the system dynamics are known or deterministic, or that the state and action space are finite,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Xinhang Ma , Junlin Wu , Yiannis Kantaros , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

In this paper, we propose a method for bounding the probability that a stochastic differential equation (SDE) system violates a safety specification over the infinite time horizon. SDEs are mathematical models of stochastic processes that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-06-04 Shenghua Feng , Mingshuai Chen , Bai Xue , Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Naijun Zhan

We consider the problem of minimizing a convex function that is evolving according to unknown and possibly stochastic dynamics, which may depend jointly on time and on the decision variable itself. Such problems abound in the machine…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Joshua Cutler , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Zaid Harchaoui

Increasingly, recommender systems are tasked with improving users' long-term satisfaction. In this context, we study a content exploration task, which we formalize as a bandit problem with delayed rewards. There is an apparent trade-off in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Kelly W. Zhang , Thomas Baldwin-McDonald , Kamil Ciosek , Lucas Maystre , Daniel Russo

This paper considers receding horizon control of finite deterministic systems, which must satisfy a high level, rich specification expressed as a linear temporal logic formula. Under the assumption that time-varying rewards are associated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Xuchu Ding , Mircea Lazar , Calin Belta

In this work, we study a new approach to optimizing the margin distribution realized by binary classifiers. The classical approach to this problem is simply maximization of the expected margin, while more recent proposals consider…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-12 Matthew J. Holland

The win ratio is increasingly used in randomized trials due to its intuitive clinical interpretation, ability to incorporate the relative importance of composite endpoints, and its capacity for combining different types of outcomes (e.g.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Tracy Bergemann , Tim Hanson

We consider the initial boundary value problem to equations of motion of an inextensible hanging string of finite length under the action of the gravity. We also consider the problem in the case without any external forces. In this problem,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Tatsuo Iguchi , Masahiro Takayama