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Robotic tasks which involve uncertainty--due to variation in goal, environment configuration, or confidence in task model--may require human input to instruct or adapt the robot. In tasks with physical contact, several existing methods for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Kevin Haninger , Christian Hegeler , Luka Peternel

Quantifying predictive uncertainty is essential for real world machine learning applications, especially in scenarios requiring reliable and interpretable predictions. Many common parametric approaches rely on neural networks to estimate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-31 Yang Yang , Chunlin Ji , Haoyang Li , Ke Deng

In this paper we propose a constrained guaranteed cost robust model predictive controller (GCMPC) for uncertain discrete time systems. This controller was developed based on a quadratic cost functional and guarantee robustness with respect…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-21 Carlos M. Massera , Marco H. Terra , Denis F. Wolf

Autonomous systems, like vehicles or robots, require reliable, accurate, fast, resource-efficient, scalable, and low-latency trajectory predictions to get initial knowledge about future locations and movements of surrounding objects for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Manuel Hetzel , Hannes Reichert , Konrad Doll , Bernhard Sick

Autonomous agents must be able to safely interact with other vehicles to integrate into urban environments. The safety of these agents is dependent on their ability to predict collisions with other vehicles' future trajectories for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-02-07 Andrew Patterson , Aditya Gahlawat , Naira Hovakimyan

To be applicable to real world scenarios trajectory planning schemes for mobile autonomous systems must be able to efficiently deal with obstacles in the area of operation. In the context of optimization based trajectory planning and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-27 Max Lutz , Thomas Meurer

This work addresses the problem of predicting the motion trajectories of dynamic objects in the environment. Recent advances in predicting motion patterns often rely on machine learning techniques to extrapolate motion patterns from…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-12 Weiming Zhi , Lionel Ott , Fabio Ramos

We define a novel class of distances between statistical multivariate distributions by modeling an optimal transport problem on their marginals with respect to a ground distance defined on their conditionals. These new distances are metrics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Frank Nielsen , Ke Sun

The problem of optimizing affine feedback laws that explicitly steer the mean and covariance of an uncertain system state in the presence of a Gaussian random field is considered. Spatially-dependent disturbances are successively…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-19 Jack Ridderhof , Panagiotis Tsiotras

In this paper we develop a novel, discrete-time optimal control framework for mechanical systems with uncertain model parameters. We consider finite-horizon problems where the performance index depends on the statistical moments of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-17 George I. Boutselis , Yunpeng Pan , Gerardo De La Tore , Evangelos A. Theodorou

This work proposes an algorithm to bound the minimum distance between points on trajectories of a dynamical system and points on an unsafe set. Prior work on certifying safety of trajectories includes barrier and density methods, which do…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Jared Miller , Mario Sznaier

Predicting multiple trajectories for road users is important for automated driving systems: ego-vehicle motion planning indeed requires a clear view of the possible motions of the surrounding agents. However, the generative models used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-08 Laura Calem , Hedi Ben-Younes , Patrick Pérez , Nicolas Thome

Motion planning involves decision making among combinatorial maneuver variants in urban driving. A planner must consider uncertainties and associated risks of the maneuver variants, and subsequently select a maneuver alternative. In this…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Ömer Şahin Taş , Felix Hauser , Christoph Stiller

We derive an asymptotic expansion for the log likelihood of Gaussian mixture models (GMMs) with equal covariance matrices in the low signal-to-noise regime. The expansion reveals an intimate connection between two types of algorithms for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-30 Anya Katsevich , Afonso Bandeira

This article presents a novel approach, named MCMP (Monte Carlo Motion Planning), to the problem of motion planning under uncertainty, i.e., to the problem of computing a low-cost path that fulfills probabilistic collision avoidance…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-06-01 Lucas Janson , Edward Schmerling , Marco Pavone

Path planning in dynamic environments is essential to high-risk applications such as unmanned aerial vehicles, self-driving cars, and autonomous underwater vehicles. In this paper, we generate collision-free trajectories for a robot within…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Sourav Dutta , Tuan Tran , Banafsheh Rekabdar , Chinwe Ekenna

Trajectory planning under uncertainty is an active research topic. Previous works predict state and state estimation uncertainties along trajectories to check for collision safety. They assume either stochastic or bounded sensing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Akshay Shetty , Grace Xingxin Gao

In coverage control problems that involve time-varying density functions, the coverage control law depends on spatial integrals of the time evolution of the density function. The latter is often neglected, replaced with an upper bound or…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-28 Behzad Zamani , James Kennedy , Airlie Chapman , Peter Dower , Chris Manzie , Simon Crase

Adaptive controllers on quadrotors typically rely on estimation of disturbances to ensure robust trajectory tracking. Estimating disturbances across diverse environmental contexts is challenging due to the inherent variability and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Kasra Torshizi , Chak Lam Shek , Khuzema Habib , Guangyao Shi , Pratap Tokekar , Troi Williams

Trajectory optimization under uncertainty underpins a wide range of applications in robotics. However, existing methods are limited in terms of reasoning about sources of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty, space and time correlations,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Thomas Lew , Riccardo Bonalli , Marco Pavone