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High complexity models are notorious in machine learning for overfitting, a phenomenon in which models well represent data but fail to generalize an underlying data generating process. A typical procedure for circumventing overfitting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-11 James Schmidt

When estimating a proportion and only a sample of triplets is given, dependencies within the triplets are to be accounted for. Without assuming a distribution for the success count of the triplet, together with the proportion, as second and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-11 Rafael Weissbach , Eric Scholz

This study proposes a method for imbalanced data classification based on deep probabilistic graphical models (DPGMs) to solve the problem that traditional methods have insufficient learning ability for minority class samples. To address the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Yujia Lou , Jie Liu , Yuan Sheng , Jiawei Wang , Yiwei Zhang , Yaokun Ren

Class imbalance remains a critical challenge in semi-supervised learning (SSL), especially when distributional mismatches between labeled and unlabeled data lead to biased classification. Although existing methods address this issue by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Senmao Tian , Xiang Wei , Shunli Zhang

Ensuring that classifiers are well-calibrated, i.e., their predictions align with observed frequencies, is a minimal and fundamental requirement for classifiers to be viewed as trustworthy. Existing methods for assessing multiclass…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Mahmoud Hegazy , Michael I. Jordan , Aymeric Dieuleveut

Model learning from class imbalanced training data is a long-standing and significant challenge for machine learning. In particular, existing deep learning methods consider mostly either class balanced data or moderately imbalanced data in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Qi Dong , Shaogang Gong , Xiatian Zhu

In safety-critical applications data-driven models must not only be accurate but also provide reliable uncertainty estimates. This property, commonly referred to as calibration, is essential for risk-aware decision-making. In regression a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Jelke Wibbeke , Nico Schönfisch , Sebastian Rohjans , Andreas Rauh

Rating procedure is crucial in many applied fields (e.g., educational, clinical, emergency). It implies that a rater (e.g., teacher, doctor) rates a subject (e.g., student, doctor) on a rating scale. Given raters variability, several…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Giuseppe Mignemi , Ioanna Manolopoulou

Classification models are expected to perform equally well for different classes, yet in practice, there are often large gaps in their performance. This issue of class bias is widely studied in cases of datasets with sample imbalance, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Chiraag Kaushik , Ran Liu , Chi-Heng Lin , Amrit Khera , Matthew Y Jin , Wenrui Ma , Vidya Muthukumar , Eva L Dyer

Class imbalance poses a major challenge for machine learning as most supervised learning models might exhibit bias towards the majority class and under-perform in the minority class. Cost-sensitive learning tackles this problem by treating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Vasileios Iosifidis , Symeon Papadopoulos , Bodo Rosenhahn , Eirini Ntoutsi

The model interpretation is essential in many application scenarios and to build a classification model with a ease of model interpretation may provide useful information for further studies and improvement. It is common to encounter with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-07 Wan-Ping Nicole Chen , Yuan-chin Ivan Chang

When the competing classes in a classification problem are not of comparable size, many popular classifiers exhibit a bias towards larger classes, and the nearest neighbor classifier is no exception. To take care of this problem, we develop…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-02 Anvit Garg , Anil K. Ghosh , Soham Sarkar

Multi-task learning (MTL) has emerged as a promising approach for deploying deep learning models in real-life applications. Recent studies have proposed optimization-based learning paradigms to establish task-shared representations in MTL.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Zhipeng Zhou , Liu Liu , Peilin Zhao , Wei Gong

While in-context learning with large language models (LLMs) has shown impressive performance, we have discovered a unique miscalibration behavior where both correct and incorrect predictions are assigned the same level of confidence. We…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Wei Cheng , Tianlu Wang , Yanmin Ji , Fan Yang , Keren Tan , Yiyu Zheng

Multinomial processing tree (MPT) models are tools for disentangling the contributions of latent cognitive processes in a given experimental paradigm. The present note analyzes MPT models subject to order constraints on subsets of its…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-11 Karl Christoph Klauer , Henrik Singmann , David Kellen

The gold standard for identifying causal relationships is a randomized controlled experiment. In many applications in the social sciences and medicine, the researcher does not control the assignment mechanism and instead may rely upon…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-22 Johann Gagnon-Bartsch , Yotam Shem-Tov

Class imbalance poses a fundamental challenge in machine learning, frequently leading to unreliable classification performance. While prior methods focus on data- or loss-reweighting schemes, we view imbalance as a data condition that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-03 Jakob Hackstein , Sidney Bender

Reliable uncertainty estimation is one of the major challenges for medical classification tasks. While many approaches have been proposed, recently the statistical framework of conformal predictions has gained a lot of attention, due to its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Hendrik Mehrtens , Tabea Bucher , Titus J. Brinker

Claeskens and Hjort (2003) constructed the focused information criterion (FIC) and developed frequentist model averaging methods using maximum likelihood estimators assuming the observations to be independent and identically distributed.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-24 S. C. Pandhare , T. V. Ramanathan

Differing from traditional semi-supervised learning, class-imbalanced semi-supervised learning presents two distinct challenges: (1) The imbalanced distribution of training samples leads to model bias towards certain classes, and (2) the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Lan Li , Bowen Tao , Lu Han , De-chuan Zhan , Han-jia Ye