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The role of numerical accuracy in training and evaluating neural network-based potential energy surfaces is examined for different experimental observables. For observables that require third- and fourth-order derivatives of the total…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-11-30 Silvan Käser , Markus Meuwly

Uncertainty-quantification methods are applied to estimate the confidence of deep-neural-networks classifiers over their predictions. However, most widely used methods are known to be overconfident. We address this problem by developing an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Luigi Sbailò , Luca M. Ghiringhelli

In image segmentation, there is often more than one plausible solution for a given input. In medical imaging, for example, experts will often disagree about the exact location of object boundaries. Estimating this inherent uncertainty and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-23 Miguel Monteiro , Loïc Le Folgoc , Daniel Coelho de Castro , Nick Pawlowski , Bernardo Marques , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Mark van der Wilk , Ben Glocker

Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are already heavily involved in methods and applications for frequent tasks in the field of computational chemistry such as representation of potential energy surfaces (PES) and spectroscopic predictions.…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2022-12-23 Silvan Käser , Luis Itza Vazquez-Salazar , Markus Meuwly , Kai Töpfer

Accurate estimation of aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty is crucial to build safe and reliable systems. Traditional approaches, such as dropout and ensemble methods, estimate uncertainty by sampling probability predictions from different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Bertrand Charpentier , Daniel Zügner , Stephan Günnemann

Predictive uncertainty estimation is an essential next step for the reliable deployment of deep object detectors in safety-critical tasks. In this work, we focus on estimating predictive distributions for bounding box regression output with…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-15 Ali Harakeh , Steven L. Waslander

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have become ubiquitous thanks to their remarkable ability to model complex patterns across various domains such as computer vision, speech recognition, robotics, etc. While large DNN models are often more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Omkar Shende , Gayathri Ananthanarayanan , Marcello Traiola

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen

This chapter presents deep neural network based methods for enhancing the sensitivity of X-ray telescopic observations with imaging polarimeters. Deep neural networks can be used to determine photoelectron emission directions, photon…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-04-05 Abel L. Peirson

Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

The usual figure of merit characterizing the performance of neural networks applied to problems in the quantum domain is their accuracy, being the probability of a correct answer on a previously unseen input. Here we append this parameter…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-12-29 Jan Wasilewski , Tomasz Paterek , Karol Horodecki

Accurate and uncertainty-aware degradation estimation is essential for predictive maintenance in safety-critical systems like rotating machinery with rolling-element bearings. Many existing uncertainty methods lack confidence calibration,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-19 Waleed Razzaq , Yun-Bo Zhao

Uncertainty estimation is pivotal in machine learning, especially for classification tasks, as it improves the robustness and reliability of models. We introduce a novel `Epistemic Wrapping' methodology aimed at improving uncertainty…

Physics informed neural networks (PINNs) have recently been widely used for robust and accurate approximation of PDEs. We provide rigorous upper bounds on the generalization error of PINNs approximating solutions of the forward problem for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-12-07 Siddhartha Mishra , Roberto Molinaro

Robust machine learning models with accurately calibrated uncertainties are crucial for safety-critical applications. Probabilistic machine learning and especially the Bayesian formalism provide a systematic framework to incorporate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Sumegha Premchandar , Sandeep Madireddy , Sanket Jantre , Prasanna Balaprakash

In this dissertation is provided a comparative analysis that evaluates the performance of several deep learning (DL) architectures on a large number of time series datasets of different nature and for different applications. Two main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-21 Maria Kaselimi

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

Venn Prediction (VP) is a new machine learning framework for producing well-calibrated probabilistic predictions. In particular it provides well-calibrated lower and upper bounds for the conditional probability of an example belonging to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Harris Papadopoulos

Integrated photonic neural networks (IPNNs) are emerging as promising successors to conventional electronic AI accelerators as they offer substantial improvements in computing speed and energy efficiency. In particular, coherent IPNNs use…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2023-03-22 Sanmitra Banerjee , Mahdi Nikdast , Krishnendu Chakrabarty

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) constitute a flexible deep learning approach for solving partial differential equations (PDEs), which model phenomena ranging from heat conduction to quantum mechanical systems. Despite their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Aleksander Krasowski , René P. Klausen , Aycan Celik , Sebastian Lapuschkin , Wojciech Samek , Jonas Naujoks