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This study presents a probabilistic surrogate model for localized wildfire spread based on a conditional flow matching algorithm. The approach models fire progression as a stochastic process by learning the conditional distribution of fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Bryan Shaddy , Haitong Qin , Brianna Binder , James Haley , Riya Duddalwar , Kyle Hilburn , Assad Oberai

Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Nikolaos Anastasiou , Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Wildfire forecasting is notoriously hard due to the complex interplay of different factors such as weather conditions, vegetation types and human activities. Deep learning models show promise in dealing with this complexity by learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Shan Zhao , Ioannis Prapas , Ilektra Karasante , Zhitong Xiong , Ioannis Papoutsis , Gustau Camps-Valls , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Wildfire events have caused severe losses in many places around the world and are expected to increase with climate change. Throughout the years many technologies have been developed to identify fire events early on and to simulate fire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Eduardo Rodrigues , Bianca Zadrozny , Campbell Watson

High-altitude, multi-spectral, aerial imagery is scarce and expensive to acquire, yet it is necessary for algorithmic advances and application of machine learning models to high-impact problems such as wildfire detection. We introduce a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Yajvan Ravan , Aref Malek , Chester Dolph , Nikhil Behari

Wildfires significantly impact natural ecosystems and human health, leading to biodiversity loss, increased hydrogeological risks, and elevated emissions of toxic substances. Climate change exacerbates these effects, particularly in regions…

Over the past decade, the number of wildfire has increased significantly around the world, especially in the State of California. The high-level concentration of greenhouse gas (GHG) emitted by wildfires aggravates global warming that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-23 Sifat Chowdhury , Kai Zhu , Yu Zhang

Bushfires are among the most destructive natural hazards in Australia, causing significant ecological, economic, and social damage. Accurate prediction of bushfire intensity is therefore essential for effective disaster preparedness and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Tanvi Jois , Hussain Ahmad , Fatima Noor , Faheem Ullah

Recent wildfires in the United States have resulted in loss of life and billions of dollars, destroying countless structures and forests. Fighting wildfires is extremely complex. It is difficult to observe the true state of fires due to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-16 Tina Diao , Samriddhi Singla , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Ahmed Eldawy , Ross Shachter , Mykel Kochenderfer

Wildfires are growing in frequency and intensity, devastating ecosystems and communities while causing billions of dollars in suppression costs and economic damage annually in the U.S. Traditional wildfire management is mostly reactive,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Shaurya Mathur , Shreyas Bellary Manjunath , Nitin Kulkarni , Alina Vereshchaka

Wildfires are increasingly exacerbated as a result of climate change, necessitating advanced proactive measures for effective mitigation. It is important to forecast wildfires weeks and months in advance to plan forest fuel management,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-03 Ioannis Prapas , Nikolaos Ioannis Bountos , Spyros Kondylatos , Dimitrios Michail , Gustau Camps-Valls , Ioannis Papoutsis

One of the impacts of climate change is the difficulty of tree regrowth after wildfires over areas that traditionally were covered by certain tree species. Here a deep learning model is customized to classify land covers from four-band…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Wang Zhou , Levente Klein

A flashover occurs when a fire spreads very rapidly through crevices due to intense heat. Flashovers present one of the most frightening and challenging fire phenomena to those who regularly encounter them: firefighters. Firefighters'…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-01-31 Kyongsik Yun , Jessi Bustos , Thomas Lu

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

Accurate forecasts of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5) from wildfire smoke are crucial to safeguarding cardiopulmonary public health. Existing forecasting systems are trained on sparse and inaccurate ground truths, and do not take…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-25 Renhao Wang , Ashutosh Bhudia , Brandon Dos Remedios , Minnie Teng , Raymond Ng

Wildfires can be devastating, causing significant damage to property, ecosystem disruption, and loss of life. Forecasting the evolution of wildfire boundaries is essential to real-time wildfire management. To this end, substantial attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

The critical need for sophisticated detection techniques has been highlighted by the rising frequency and intensity of wildfires in the US, especially in California. In 2023, wildfires caused 130 deaths nationwide, the highest since 1990.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Gowtham Raj Vuppari , Navarun Gupta , Ahmed El-Sayed , Xingguo Xiong

Due to climate change and the disruption of ecosystems worldwide, wildfires are increasingly impacting environment, infrastructure, and human lives globally. Additionally, an exacerbating climate crisis means that these losses would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Rohan Tan Bhowmik , Youn Soo Jung , Juan Aguilera , Mary Prunicki , Kari Nadeau

Deforestation, as one of the challenging environmental problems in the world, has been recorded the most serious threat to environmental diversity and one of the main components of land-use change. In this paper, we investigate spatial…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-12-27 Vahid Ahmadi

Prescribed burns are currently the most effective method of reducing the risk of widespread wildfires, but a largely missing component in forest management is knowing which fuels one can safely burn to minimize exposure to toxic smoke. Here…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-09 Lorenzo Tomaselli , Coty Jen , Ann B. Lee