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Air transportation is a complex system characterised by a plethora of interactions at multiple temporal and spatial scales; as a consequence, even simple dynamics like sequencing aircraft for landing can lead to the appearance of emergent…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-04-12 Felipe Olivares , Luciano Zunino , Massimiliano Zanin

We examine the problem of controlling divergences for latent space regularisation in variational autoencoders. Specifically, when aiming to reconstruct example $x\in\mathbb{R}^{m}$ via latent space $z\in\mathbb{R}^{n}$ ($n\leq m$), while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Jacob Deasy , Nikola Simidjievski , Pietro Liò

We present an efficient approach, based on a number-conditioned master equation, for large-deviation analysis in mesoscopic transports. Beyond the conventional full-counting-statistics study, the large-deviation approach encodes complete…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2011-09-30 Jun Li , Yu Liu , Jing Ping , Shu-Shen Li , Xin-Qi Li , YiJing Yan

We generalize the Jensen-Shannon divergence by considering a variational definition with respect to a generic mean extending thereby the notion of Sibson's information radius. The variational definition applies to any arbitrary distance and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-04-16 Frank Nielsen

In this paper we examine the deviations from Gaussianity for two types of random variable converging to a normal distribution, namely sums of random variables generated by a deterministic discrete time map and a linearly damped variable…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-02-19 Jeroen Wouters

We investigate the factors contributing to departure and arrival delays at a major international airport and develop predictive models to estimate both the likelihood and duration of delays. Using logistic regression, random forest, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-01-06 Xavier Lemay , Fabian Bastin

The paper contains results in three areas: First we present a general estimate for tail probabilities of Gaussian quadratic forms with known expectation and variance. Thereafter we analyze the distribution of norms of complex Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Georg Berschneider , Björn Böttcher

We propose a new skewness test statistic for normality based on the Pearson measure of skewness. We obtain asymptotic first four moments of the null distribution for this statistic by using a computer algebra system and its normalizing…

Computation · Statistics 2012-02-24 Shigekazu Nakagawa , Hiroki Hashiguchi , Naoto Niki

The Jensen-Shannon divergence is a renown bounded symmetrization of the Kullback-Leibler divergence which does not require probability densities to have matching supports. In this paper, we introduce a vector-skew generalization of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-10-01 Frank Nielsen

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

Quantifying the difference between probability distributions is crucial in machine learning. However, estimating statistical divergences from empirical samples is challenging due to unknown underlying distributions. This work proposes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-25 Jhoan K. Hoyos-Osorio , Luis G. Sanchez-Giraldo

In this paper we study the large deviations of time averaged mean square displacement (TAMSD) for Gaussian processes. The theory of large deviations is related to the exponential decay of probabilities of large fluctuations in random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-29 J. Gajda , A. Wylomanska , H. Kantz , A. V. Chechkin , G. Sikora

Constant-stepsize stochastic approximation (SA) is widely used in learning for computational efficiency. For a fixed stepsize, the iterates typically admit a stationary distribution that is rarely tractable. Prior work shows that as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Zedong Wang , Yuyang Wang , Ijay Narang , Felix Wang , Yuzhou Wang , Siva Theja Maguluri

We consider the FCFS $GI/GI/n$ queue in the Halfin-Whitt heavy traffic regime, and prove bounds for the steady-state probability of delay (s.s.p.d.) for generally distributed processing times. We prove that there exist $\epsilon_1,…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-02 David A. Goldberg

We introduce a modified Benamou-Brenier type approach leading to a Wasserstein type distance that allows global invariance, specifically, isometries, and we show that the problem can be summarized to orthogonal transformations. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-24 Kevine Meugang Toukam

We introduce a new estimator of the peculiar velocity of a galaxy or group of galaxies from redshift and distance estimates. This estimator results in peculiar velocity estimates which are statistically unbiased and that have errors that…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Richard Watkins , Hume A. Feldman

We establish inequalities for assessing the distance between the distribution of errors of partially observed high-frequency statistics of multidimensional L\'evy processes and that of a mixed Gaussian random variable. Furthermore, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-14 Chiara Amorino , Arturo Jaramillo , Mark Podolskij

High resolution numerical simulations of stationary inverse energy cascade in two-dimensional turbulence are presented. Deviations from Gaussianity of velocity differences statistics are quantitatively investigated. The level of statistical…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 G. Boffetta , A. Celani , M. Vergassola

Complex networks provide a suitable framework to characterize air traffic. Previous works described the world air transport network as a graph where direct flights are edges and commercial airports are vertices. In this work, we focus…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-28 Pablo Fleurquin , José J. Ramasco , Victor M. Eguíluz

We propose a new model for regression and dependence analysis when addressing spatial data with possibly heavy tails and an asymmetric marginal distribution. We first propose a stationary process with $t$ marginals obtained through scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-20 M. Bevilacqua , C. Caamaño , R. B. Arellano Valle , V. Morales-Onñate