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Timely prediction of students at high risk of dropout is critical for early intervention and improving educational outcomes. However, in offline educational settings, poor data quality, limited scale, and high heterogeneity often hinder the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Jiabei Cheng , Zhen-Qun Yang , Jiannong Cao , Yu Yang , Xinzhe Zheng

With the rapid emergence of K-12 online learning platforms, a new era of education has been opened up. It is crucial to have a dropout warning framework to preemptively identify K-12 students who are at risk of dropping out of the online…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Hang Li , Wenbiao Ding , Zitao Liu

Student dropout is a global issue influenced by personal, familial, and academic factors, with varying rates across countries. This paper introduces an AI-driven predictive modeling approach to identify students at risk of dropping out…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Ismail Elbouknify , Ismail Berrada , Loubna Mekouar , Youssef Iraqi , El Houcine Bergou , Hind Belhabib , Younes Nail , Souhail Wardi

School dropout is a serious problem in distance learning, where early detection is crucial for effective intervention and student perseverance. Predicting student dropout using available educational data is a widely researched topic in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Meriem Zerkouk , Miloud Mihoubi , Belkacem Chikhaoui

Education plays a pivotal role in alleviating poverty, driving economic growth, and empowering individuals, thereby significantly influencing societal and personal development. However, the persistent issue of school dropout poses a…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Maria Psyridou , Fabi Prezja , Minna Torppa , Marja-Kristiina Lerkkanen , Anna-Maija Poikkeus , Kati Vasalampi

With the rise of online eTextbooks and Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs), a huge amount of data has been collected related to students' learning. With the careful analysis of this data, educators can gain useful insights into the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-03-09 Ahmed Abd Elrahman , Taysir Hassan A Soliman , Ahmed I. Taloba , Mohammed F. Farghally

The importance of retention rate for higher education institutions has encouraged data analysts to present various methods to predict at-risk students. The present study, motivated by the same encouragement, proposes a deep learning model…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Sahar Voghoei , James M. Byars , Scott Jackson King , Soheil Shapouri , Hamed Yaghoobian , Khaled M. Rasheed , Hamid R. Arabnia

The high level of attrition and low rate of certification in Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) has prompted a great deal of research. Prior researchers have focused on predicting dropout based upon behavioral features such as student…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-09-05 Niki Gitinabard , Farzaneh Khoshnevisan , Collin F. Lynch , Elle Yuan Wang

Supporting student success requires collaboration among multiple stakeholders. Researchers have explored machine learning models for academic performance prediction; yet key challenges remain in ensuring these models are interpretable,…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-05-12 Han Zhang , Yiyi Ren , Paula S. Nurius , Jennifer Mankoff , Anind K. Dey

The ability to sustain engagement and recover from setbacks (i.e., resilience) -- is fundamental for learning. When resilience weakens, students are at risk of disengagement and may drop out and miss on opportunities. Therefore, predicting…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Mohammed Saqr , Sonsoles López-Pernas , Santtu Tikka , Markus Wolfgang Hermann Spitzer

Educational data mining (EDM) is a part of applied computing that focuses on automatically analyzing data from learning contexts. Early prediction for identifying at-risk students is a crucial and widely researched topic in EDM research. It…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-20 Sukrit Leelaluk , Cheng Tang , Valdemar Švábenský , Atsushi Shimada

Research on Knowledge Tracing (KT) models traditionally focuses on improving predictive accuracy. However, responsible real-world deployment requires models to know when to defer uncertain predictions to a human teacher. We introduce an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Joshua Mitton , Prarthana Bhattacharyya , Ralph Abboud , Simon Woodhead

This study aims to determine a predictive model to learn students probability to pass their courses taken at the earliest stage of the semester. To successfully discover a good predictive model with high acceptability, accurate, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Anabella C. Doctor

Student dropout in distance learning remains a critical challenge, with profound societal and economic consequences. While classical machine learning models leverage structured socio-demographic and behavioral data, they often fail to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Miloud Mihoubi , Meriem Zerkouk , Belkacem Chikhaoui

This research presents preliminary work to address the challenge of identifying at-risk students using supervised machine learning and three unique data categories: engagement, demographics, and performance data collected from Fall 2023…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Azucena L. Jimenez Martinez , Kanika Sood , Rakeshkumar Mahto

While Massive Open Online Course (MOOCs) platforms provide knowledge in a new and unique way, the very high number of dropouts is a significant drawback. Several features are considered to contribute towards learner attrition or lack of…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Ahmed Alamri , Mohammad Alshehri , Alexandra I. Cristea , Filipe D. Pereira , Elaine Oliveira , Lei Shi , Craig Stewart

Student's academic performance prediction empowers educational technologies including academic trajectory and degree planning, course recommender systems, early warning and advising systems. Given a student's past data (such as grades in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-06 Qian Hu , Huzefa Rangwala

Interactive online learning environments, represented by Massive AI-empowered Courses (MAIC), leverage LLM-driven multi-agent systems to transform passive MOOCs into dynamic, text-based platforms, enhancing interactivity through LLMs. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Yuanchun Wang , Yiyang Fu , Jifan Yu , Daniel Zhang-Li , Zheyuan Zhang , Joy Lim Jia Yin , Yucheng Wang , Peng Zhou , Jing Zhang , Huiqin Liu

A change point detection (CPD) framework assisted by a predictive machine learning model called "Predict and Compare" is introduced and characterised in relation to other state-of-the-art online CPD routines which it outperforms in terms of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Anna-Christina Glock , Florian Sobieczky , Johannes Fürnkranz , Peter Filzmoser , Martin Jech

A change points detection aims to catch an abrupt disorder in data distribution. Common approaches assume that there are only two fixed distributions for data: one before and another after a change point. Real-world data are richer than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-18 Alexander Stepikin , Evgenia Romanenkova , Alexey Zaytsev
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