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The Galton-Watson process is a model for population growth which assumes that individuals reproduce independently according to the same offspring distribution. Inference usually focuses on the offspring average as it allows to classify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Massimo Cannas , Michele Guindani , Nicola Piras

We propose a new way to condition random trees, that is, condition random trees to have large maximal out-degree. Under this new conditioning, we show that conditioned critical Galton-Watson trees converge locally to size-biased trees with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-08 Xin He

We investigate the inhomogeneous Galton--Watson processes with immigration, where $\rho_n$ the offspring means in the $n^\textrm{th}$ generation tends to 1. We show that if the second derivatives of the offspring generating functions go to…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-19 Peter Kevei

Under reasonable algebraic assumptions and under an infinite second order moment assumption, we show that the logarithm of the norm (log-norm) of a product of random i.i.d. matrices with entries in $\mathbb{R}$ or in any other local field…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Axel Péneau

Begin continuous time random walks from every vertex of a graph and have particles coalesce when they collide. We use a duality relation with the voter model to prove the process is site recurrent on bounded degree graphs, and for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Itai Benjamini , Eric Foxall , Ori Gurel-Gurevich , Matthew Junge , Harry Kesten

We investigate the quasi-limiting behaviour of bisexual subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes. While classical subcritical Galton-Watson processes have been extensively analyzed, bisexual Galton-Watson branching processes present…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Coralie Fritsch , Denis Villemonais , Nicolás Zalduendo

We are interested in the structure of multitype Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson (BGW) trees conditioned on integer linear combinations of the numbers of vertices of given types. We show that, under regularity assumptions on the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Rémy Poudevigne , Paul Thévenin

We consider a supercritical Galton-Watson process $Z_n$ whose offspring distribution has mean $m>1$ and is bounded by some $d\in \{2,3,\ldots\}$. As well-known, the associated martingale $W_n=Z_n/m^n$ converges a.s. to some nonnegative…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-12 John Fernley , Emmanuel Jacob

Cheek and Johnston (Journal of Mathematical Biology, 2023) consider a continuous-time Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson tree conditioned on being alive at time $T$. They study the reproduction events along the ancestral lineage of an individual…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Jan Lukas Igelbrink , Jasper Ischebeck

L\'evy-type perpetuities being the a.s. limits of particular generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes are a natural continuous-time generalization of discrete-time perpetuities. These are random variables of the form…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Alexander Iksanov , Bastien Mallein

An $\al$-permanental process $\{X_{ t},t\in T \}$ is a stochastic process determined by a kernel $K=\{K(s,t),s,t\in T \}$, with the property that for all $t_{1},\ldots,t_{n}\in T $, $ |I+K( t_{1},\ldots,t_{n}) S|^{- \al} $ is the Laplace…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen

In a reinforced Galton-Watson process with reproduction law $\boldsymbol{\nu}$ and memory parameter $q\in(0,1)$, the number of children of a typical individual either, with probability $q$, repeats that of one of its forebears picked…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

Multivariate Hawkes processes are a widely used class of self-exciting point processes, but maximum likelihood estimation naively scales as $O(N^2)$ in the number of events. The canonical linear exponential Hawkes process admits a faster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Ahmer Raza , Hudson Smith

We give a unified treatment of the limit, as the size tends to infinity, of simply generated random trees, including both the well-known result in the standard case of critical Galton--Watson trees and similar but less well-known results in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Svante Janson

We are interested in the asymptotic behavior of critical Galton-Watson trees whose offspring distribution may have infinite variance, which are conditioned on having a large fixed number of leaves. We first find an asymptotic estimate for…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-14 Igor Kortchemski

Let $\mm_n, n=0,1,...$ be the supercritical branching random walk, in which the number of direct descendants of one individual may be infinite with positive probability. Assume that the standard martingale $W_n$ related to $\mm_n$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Aleksander Iksanov

Let X_1,X_2, . . . be a sequence of i.i.d. mean zero random variables and let S_n the sum of the first n random variables. We show that whenever lim sup_n |S_n|/c_n is finite with probability one and the normalizing sequence {c_n} is…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Uwe Einmahl

We introduce a point process regression model that is applicable to price models and limit order book models. Hawkes type autoregression in the intensity process is generalized to a stochastic regression to covariate processes. We establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Teppei Ogihara , Nakahiro Yoshida

The members of Martin-L\"of random closed sets under a distribution studied by Barmpalias et al. are exactly the infinite paths through Martin-L\"of random Galton--Watson trees with survival parameter $\frac{2}{3}$. To be such a member, a…

Logic · Mathematics 2014-08-14 David Diamondstone , Bjørn Kjos-Hanssen

Reinforced Galton-Watson processes have been introduced in arxiv:2306.02476 as population models with non-overlapping generations, such that reproduction events along genealogical lines can be repeated at random. We investigate here some of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein