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Future prediction is a fundamental principle of intelligence that helps plan actions and avoid possible dangers. As the future is uncertain to a large extent, modeling the uncertainty and multimodality of the future states is of great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Osama Makansi , Eddy Ilg , Özgün Cicek , Thomas Brox

Trajectory prediction plays a crucial role in the autonomous driving stack by enabling autonomous vehicles to anticipate the motion of surrounding agents. Goal-based prediction models have gained traction in recent years for addressing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Sepideh Afshar , Nachiket Deo , Akshay Bhagat , Titas Chakraborty , Yunming Shao , Balarama Raju Buddharaju , Adwait Deshpande , Henggang Cui

Motion forecasting is a key module in an autonomous driving system. Due to the heterogeneous nature of multi-sourced input, multimodality in agent behavior, and low latency required by onboard deployment, this task is notoriously…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-06-30 Xishun Wang , Tong Su , Fang Da , Xiaodong Yang

Accurate reconstruction of environmental scalar fields from sparse onboard observations is essential for autonomous vehicles engaged in aquatic monitoring. Beyond point estimates, principled uncertainty quantification is critical for active…

Deep-learning-based data-driven forecasting methods have produced impressive results for traffic forecasting. A major limitation of these methods, however, is that they provide forecasts without estimates of uncertainty, which are critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-07 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Jane Macfarlane

Trajectory prediction of agents is crucial for the safety of autonomous vehicles, whereas previous approaches usually rely on sufficiently long-observed trajectory to predict the future trajectory of the agents. However, in real-world…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Rongqing Li , Changsheng Li , Yuhang Li , Hanjie Li , Yi Chen , Dongchun Ren , Ye Yuan , Guoren Wang

Reliable localization is critical for robot navigation in complex indoor environments. In this paper, we propose an uncertainty-aware localization method that enhances the reliability of localization outputs without modifying the prediction…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-23 Hye-Min Won , Jieun Lee , Jiyong Oh

We investigate how to utilize predictive models for selecting appropriate motion planning strategies based on perception uncertainty estimation for agile unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) navigation tasks. Although there are variety of motion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-12-14 Onur Akgun , Kamil Canberk Atik , Mustafa Erdem , Mehmetcan Kaymaz , Bugrahan Yamak , N. Kemal Ure

In this paper, we present a novel trajectory prediction model for autonomous driving, combining a Characterized Diffusion Module and a Spatial-Temporal Interaction Network to address the challenges posed by dynamic and heterogeneous traffic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Haoming Li

Multi-agent trajectory forecasting in autonomous driving requires an agent to accurately anticipate the behaviors of the surrounding vehicles and pedestrians, for safe and reliable decision-making. Due to partial observability in these…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Seong Hyeon Park , Gyubok Lee , Manoj Bhat , Jimin Seo , Minseok Kang , Jonathan Francis , Ashwin R. Jadhav , Paul Pu Liang , Louis-Philippe Morency

Evidence-based deep learning represents a burgeoning paradigm for uncertainty estimation, offering reliable predictions with negligible extra computational overheads. Existing methods usually adopt Kullback-Leibler divergence to estimate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Yan Zhang , Ming Li , Chun Li , Zhaoxia Liu , Ye Zhang , Fei Richard Yu

The ability to predict the future movements of other vehicles is a subconscious and effortless skill for humans and key to safe autonomous driving. Therefore, trajectory prediction for autonomous cars has gained a lot of attention in recent…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-16 Benedikt Mersch , Thomas Höllen , Kun Zhao , Cyrill Stachniss , Ribana Roscher

Reliable uncertainty estimation has become a crucial requirement for the industrial deployment of deep learning algorithms, particularly in high-risk applications such as autonomous driving and medical diagnosis. However, mainstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Junyu Gao , Mengyuan Chen , Liangyu Xiang , Changsheng Xu

Predicting pedestrian motion trajectories is critical for path planning and motion control of autonomous vehicles. However, accurately forecasting crowd trajectories remains a challenging task due to the inherently multimodal and uncertain…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-07 Yu Liu , Zhijie Liu , Xiao Ren , You-Fu Li , He Kong

Motion prediction of vehicles is critical but challenging due to the uncertainties in complex environments and the limited visibility caused by occlusions and limited sensor ranges. In this paper, we study a new task, safety-aware motion…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-09-06 Xuanchi Ren , Tao Yang , Li Erran Li , Alexandre Alahi , Qifeng Chen

Representing diverse and plausible future trajectories is critical for motion forecasting in autonomous driving. However, efficiently capturing these trajectories in a compact set remains challenging. This study introduces a novel approach…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Abhishek Vivekanandan , J. Marius Zöllner

Many current autonomous systems are being designed with a strong reliance on black box predictions from deep neural networks (DNNs). However, DNNs tend to be overconfident in predictions on unseen data and can give unpredictable results for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-04 Björn Lütjens , Michael Everett , Jonathan P. How

Deep learning models are being adopted and applied on various critical decision-making tasks, yet they are trained to provide point predictions without providing degrees of confidence. The trustworthiness of deep learning models can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Daniel Nolte , Souparno Ghosh , Ranadip Pal

Trajectory and intention prediction of traffic participants is an important task in automated driving and crucial for safe interaction with the environment. In this paper, we present a new approach to vehicle trajectory prediction based on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-15 Jannik Quehl , Haohao Hu , Sascha Wirges , Martin Lauer

One of the critical challenges in automated driving is ensuring safety of automated vehicles despite the unknown behavior of the other vehicles. Although motion prediction modules are able to generate a probability distribution associated…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-28 Luyao Zhang , George Pantazis , Shaohang Han , Sergio Grammatico