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We use the mean exit time to quantify macroscopic dynamical behaviors of stochastic dynamical systems driven by tempered L\'evy fluctuations, which are solutions of nonlocal elliptic equations. Firstly, we construct a new numerical scheme…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Yanjie Zhang , Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan

In this paper, we derive a parabolic partial differential equation for the expected exit time of non-autonomous time-periodic non-degenerate stochastic differential equations. This establishes a Feynman-Kac duality between expected exit…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-12 Chunrong Feng , Huaizhong Zhao , Johnny Zhong

We analyze the finite sample regret of a decreasing step size stochastic gradient algorithm. We assume correlated noise and use a perturbed Lyapunov function as a systematic approach for the analysis. Finally we analyze the escape time of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 George Yin , Vikram Krishnamurthy

For non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems, mean exit time and escape probability are important deterministic quantities, which can be obtained from integro-differential (nonlocal) equations. We develop an efficient and convergent…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Xiao Wang , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

A novel method is presented to compute the exit time for the stochastic simulation algorithm. The method is based on the addition of a series of random variables and is derived using the convolution theorem. The final distribution is…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-15 Basil S. Bayati

We solve the escape problem for the Heston random diffusion model. We obtain exact expressions for the survival probability (which ammounts to solving the complete escape problem) as well as for the mean exit time. We also average the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-22 Jaume Masoliver , Josep Perello

The mean first exit time and escape probability are utilized to quantify dynamical behaviors of stochastic differential equations with non-Gaussian alpha-stable type Levy motions. Both deterministic quantities are characterized by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-01-31 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Renming Song

Physical notions of stochastic resonance for potential diffusions in periodically changing double-well potentials such as the spectral power amplification have proved to be defective. They are not robust for the passage to their effective…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Samuel Herrmann , Peter Imkeller

We consider the exit problem for a one-dimensional system with random switching near an unstable equilibrium point of the averaged drift. In the infinite switching rate limit, we show that the exit time satisfies a limit theorem with a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-12 Yuri Bakhtin , Alexisz Gaál

We study exit times from a set for a family of multivariate autoregressive processes with normally distributed noise. By using the large deviation principle, and other methods, we show that the asymptotic behavior of the exit time depends…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-12 Brita Jung

Stochastic mathematical models are essential tools for understanding and predicting complex phenomena. The purpose of this work is to study the exit times of a stochastic dynamical system-specifically, the mean exit time and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Eric José Ávila-Vales , José Villa-Morales

An analytical study of the return time distribution of extreme events for stochastic processes with power-law correlation has been carried on. The calculation is based on an epsilon-expansion in the correlation exponent:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Piero Olla

Stochastic biochemical and transport processes have various final outcomes, and they can be viewed as dynamic systems with multiple exits. Many current theoretical studies, however, typically consider only a single time scale for each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-08-26 Golan Bel , Anton Zilman , Anatoly B. Kolomeisky

This paper presents new sufficient conditions for convergence and asymptotic or exponential stability of a stochastic discrete-time system, under which the constructed Lyapunov function always decreases in expectation along the system's…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Yuzhen Qin , Ming Cao , Brian D. O. Anderson

The purpose of this paper is to consider the exit-time problem for a finite-range Markov jump process, i.e, the distance the particle can jump is bounded independent of its location. Such jump diffusions are expedient models for anomalous…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Nathanial Burch , Marta D'Elia , R. B. Lehoucq

The {\alpha}-stable L\'evy process, commonly used to describe L\'evy flight, is characterized by discontinuous jumps and is widely used to model anomalous transport phenomena. In this study, we investigate the associated exit problem and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Minglei Yang , Diego del-Castillo-Negrete , Guannan Zhang

We study stochastic extinction for a class of Markov processes motivated by models in ecology and epidemiology. Extinction is often characterized by a boundedness condition and a condition on boundary Lyapunov exponents (invasion rates).…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nhu Nguyen , Dang H. Nguyen

In this paper we prove large deviations results for partial sums constructed from the solution to a stochastic recurrence equation. We assume Kesten's condition [Acta Math. 131 (1973) 207-248] under which the solution of the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 D. Buraczewski , E. Damek , T. Mikosch , J. Zienkiewicz

Effects of non-Gaussian $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise on the Gompertz tumor growth model are quantified by considering the mean exit time and escape probability of the cancer cell density from inside a safe or benign domain. The mean exit…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-12-21 Jian Ren , Chujin Li , Ting Gao , Xingye Kan , Jinqiao Duan

The aims of this paper are twofold. Firstly, we derive some probabilistic representation for the constant which appears in the one-dimensional case of Kesten's renewal theorem. Secondly, we estimate the tail of some related random variable…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-10 Nathanaël Enriquez , Christophe Sabot , Olivier Zindy
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