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The dual crises of the sub-prime mortgage crisis and the global financial crisis has prompted a call for explanations of non-equilibrium market dynamics. Recently a promising approach has been the use of agent based models (ABMs) to…

General Economics · Economics 2018-09-06 Michael S. Harré

Exploration has been a crucial part of reinforcement learning, yet several important questions concerning exploration efficiency are still not answered satisfactorily by existing analytical frameworks. These questions include exploration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Liangpeng Zhang , Ke Tang , Xin Yao

At the core of the Ouroboros Model lies a self-referential recursive process with alternating phases of data acquisition and evaluation. Memory entries are organized in schemata. Activation at a time of part of a schema biases the whole…

General Physics · Physics 2008-05-20 Knud Thomsen

An active hypothesis testing problem is formulated. In this problem, the agent can perform a fixed number of experiments and then decide on one of the hypotheses. The agent is also allowed to declare its experiments inconclusive if needed.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Dhruva Kartik , Ashutosh Nayyar , Urbashi Mitra

Missing data is a common issue in real-world datasets. This paper studies the performance of impute-then-regress pipelines by contrasting theoretical and empirical evidence. We establish the asymptotic consistency of such pipelines for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-08 Dimitris Bertsimas , Arthur Delarue , Jean Pauphilet

When human operators of cyber-physical systems encounter surprising behavior, they often consider multiple hypotheses that might explain it. In some cases, taking information-gathering actions such as additional measurements or control…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Ofer Dagan , Tyler Becker , Zachary N. Sunberg

Modern AI systems increasingly operate inside markets and institutions where data, behavior, and incentives are endogenous. This paper develops an economic foundation for multi-agent learning by studying a principal-agent interaction in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-08 Nassim Helou

This paper combines two studies: a topological semantics for epistemic notions and abstract argumentation theory. In our combined setting, we use a topological semantics to represent the structure of an agent's collection of evidence, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-28 Chenwei Shi , Sonja Smets , Fernando R. Velázquez-Quesada

While belief functions may be seen formally as a generalization of probabilistic distributions, the question of the interactions between belief functions and probability is still an issue in practice. This question is difficult, since the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-10-03 Frederic Dambreville

This article develops the concept of the agentic economy and diagnoses its measurable preconditions: a transition in which economic action is increasingly distributed among humans, AI agents, industrial robots, executable protocols, compute…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Davit Gondauri , Mikheil Batiashvili

The planning domain has experienced increased interest in the formal synthesis of decision-making policies. This formal synthesis typically entails finding a policy which satisfies formal specifications in the form of some well-defined…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-11-30 George K. Atia , Andre Beckus , Ismail Alkhouri , Alvaro Velasquez

We consider a simple model of rational agents competing in a single product market described by simple linear demand curve. Contrary to accepted economic theory, the agents' production levels synchronise in the absence of conscious…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-12-02 Russell K. Standish , Steve Keen

We consider the problem of diagnosis where a set of simple observations are used to infer a potentially complex hidden hypothesis. Finding the optimal subset of observations is intractable in general, thus we focus on the problem of active…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Yewen Pu , Leslie P Kaelbling , Armando Solar-Lezama

The aim of this work is to explore the possible types of phenomena that simple macroeconomic Agent-Based models (ABM) can reproduce. We propose a methodology, inspired by statistical physics, that characterizes a model through its 'phase…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-30 Stanislao Gualdi , Marco Tarzia , Francesco Zamponi , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Contemporary scientific research is a distributed, collaborative endeavor, carried out by teams of researchers, regulatory institutions, funding agencies, commercial partners, and scientific bodies, all interacting with each other and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Stephen Bates , Michael I. Jordan , Michael Sklar , Jake A. Soloff

This paper proposes a multi-day needs-based model for activity and travel demand analysis. The model captures the multi-day dynamics in activity generation, which enables the modeling of activities with increased flexibility in time and…

Predicting future observations plays a central role in machine learning, biology, economics, and many other fields. It lies at the heart of organizational principles such as the variational free energy principle and has even been shown --…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Lukas J. Fiderer , Paul C. Barth , Isaac D. Smith , Hans J. Briegel

In multi-agent systems, the agents may have goals that depend on a social, shared interpretation about the facts occurring in the system. These are the so-called social goals. Artificial institutions provide such a social interpretation by…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-05-04 Rafhael R. Cunha , Jomi Fred Hübner , Maiquel de Brito

Inspired by empirical work in neuroscience for Bayesian approaches to brain function, we give a unified probabilistic account of various types of symbolic reasoning from data. We characterise them in terms of formal logic using the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Hiroyuki Kido

Active perception strategies enable an agent to selectively gather information in a way to improve its performance. In applications in which the agent does not have prior knowledge about the available information sources, it is crucial to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-10-08 Mahsa Ghasemi , Ufuk Topcu
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