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The objective of this study is to develop a robust deep learning-based framework to distinguish COVID-19, Community-Acquired Pneumonia (CAP), and Normal cases based on chest CT scans acquired in different imaging centers using various…

The COVID-19 pandemic has brought forth the importance of epidemic forecasting for decision makers in multiple domains, ranging from public health to the economy as a whole. While forecasting epidemic progression is frequently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Alexander Rodríguez , Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Pulak Agarwal , Javen Ho , Mira Patel , Suchet Sapre , B. Aditya Prakash

Using the notion of effective distance proposed by Brockmann and Helbing, complex spatiotemporal processes of epidemic spreading can be reduced to circular wave propagation patterns with well-defined wavefronts. This hidden homogeneity of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-02-13 Yifan Chen , Yu Zhou , Ross Murch , Tadashi Nakano

The outbreak of COVID-19 in 2020 has led to a surge in interest in the mathematical modeling of infectious diseases. Such models are usually defined as compartmental models, in which the population under study is divided into compartments…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-16 Malú Grave , Alex Viguerie , Gabriel F. Barros , Alessandro Reali , Alvaro L. G. A. Coutinho

Some patients with COVID-19 show changes in signs and symptoms such as temperature and oxygen saturation days before being positively tested for SARS-CoV-2, while others remain asymptomatic. It is important to identify these subgroups and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Xiaoran Ma , Wensheng Guo , Mengyang Gu , Len Usvyat , Peter Kotanko , Yuedong Wang

In this study, we construct a series of evolving epidemic networks by measuring the correlations of daily COVID-19 cases time series among 3,105 counties in the United States. Remarkably, through quantitative analysis of the spatial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-01-24 Jiarui Dong , Guanghao Ran

The COVID-19 (Coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic has become a major global threat to human health and well-being. Thus, the development of computer-aided detection (CAD) systems that are capable to accurately distinguish COVID-19 from other…

The early and reliable detection of COVID-19 infected patients is essential to prevent and limit its outbreak. The PCR tests for COVID-19 detection are not available in many countries and also there are genuine concerns about their…

COVID-19 is a new pathogen that first appeared in the human population at the end of 2019, and it can lead to novel variants of pneumonia after infection. COVID-19 is a rapidly spreading infectious disease that infects humans faster.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-07 Saddam Hussain Khan

Many countries have passed their first COVID-19 epidemic peak. Traditional epidemiological models describe this as a result of non-pharmaceutical interventions that pushed the growth rate below the recovery rate. In this new phase of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-31 Stefan Thurner , Peter Klimek , Rudolf Hanel

The SARS-CoV-2 infectious outbreak has rapidly spread across the globe and precipitated varying policies to effectuate physical distancing to ameliorate its impact. In this study, we propose a new hybrid machine learning model, SIRNet, for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-23 Nicholas Soures , David Chambers , Zachariah Carmichael , Anurag Daram , Dimpy P. Shah , Kal Clark , Lloyd Potter , Dhireesha Kudithipudi

SARS-CoV2, which causes coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is continuing to spread globally and has become a pandemic. People have lost their lives due to the virus and the lack of counter measures in place. Given the increasing caseload and…

Epidemic spread in a population is traditionally modeled via compartmentalized models which represent the free evolution of disease in absence of any intervention policies. In addition, these models assume full observability of disease…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-16 Nitin Kamra , Yizhou Zhang , Sirisha Rambhatla , Chuizheng Meng , Yan Liu

The Covid-19 pandemic has two key properties: (i) asymptomatic cases (both detected and undetected) that can result in new infections, and (ii) time-varying characteristics due to new variants, Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions etc. We…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-26 Manindra Agrawal , Madhuri Kanitkar , Deepu Phillip , Tanima Hajra , Arti Singh , Avaneesh Singh , Prabal Pratap Singh , Mathukumalli Vidyasagar

The COVID-19 pandemic has severely impacted health systems and economies worldwide. Significant global efforts are therefore ongoing to improve vaccine efficacies, optimize vaccine deployment, and develop new antiviral therapies to combat…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-21 Rajat Desikan , Pranesh Padmanabhan , Andrzej M. Kierzek , Piet H. van der Graaf

Compartmental models are an important quantitative tool in epidemiology, enabling us to forecast the course of a communicable disease. However, the model parameters, such as the infectivity rate of the disease, are riddled with…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-12 Konstantinos Mamis , Mohammad Farazmand

The COVID-19 pandemic has plagued the world for months. The U.S. has taken measures to counter it. On a daily basis, newly confirmed cases have been reported. In the early days, these numbers showed an increasing trend. Recently, the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-21 Xiubin Bruce Wang , Chaolun Ma

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

This work constructs, analyzes, and simulates a new compartmental SEIR-type model for the dynamics and potential control of the current COVID-19 pandemic. The novelty in this work is two-fold. First, the population is divided according to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-14 Aycil Cesmelioglu , Kenneth L. Kuttler , Meir Shillor , Anna M. Spagnuolo

Agent-based model (ABM) has been widely used to study infectious disease transmission by simulating behaviors and interactions of autonomous individuals called agents. In the ABM, agent states, for example infected or susceptible, are…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-09 Seungha Um , Samrachana Adhikari