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Ensemble forecasting is, so far, the most successful approach to produce relevant forecasts with an estimation of their uncertainty. The main limitations of ensemble forecasting are the high computational cost and the difficulty to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-21 Maximiliano A. Sacco , Juan J. Ruiz , Manuel Pulido , Pierre Tandeo

We introduce a new deep generative model useful for uncertainty quantification: the Morse neural network, which generalizes the unnormalized Gaussian densities to have modes of high-dimensional submanifolds instead of just discrete points.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-04 Benoit Dherin , Huiyi Hu , Jie Ren , Michael W. Dusenberry , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

Bayesian neural networks (BNN) and deep ensembles are principled approaches to estimate the predictive uncertainty of a deep learning model. However their practicality in real-time, industrial-scale applications are limited due to their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , Zi Lin , Shreyas Padhy , Dustin Tran , Tania Bedrax-Weiss , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

In Hezaveh et al. 2017 we showed that deep learning can be used for model parameter estimation and trained convolutional neural networks to determine the parameters of strong gravitational lensing systems. Here we demonstrate a method for…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-29 Laurence Perreault Levasseur , Yashar D. Hezaveh , Risa H. Wechsler

Navigating and localizing in partially observable, stochastic environments with magnetic anomalies presents significant challenges, especially when balancing the accuracy of state estimation and the stability of localization. Traditional…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-17 Aditya Penumarti , Jane Shin

Localisation with Frequency-Modulated Continuous-Wave (FMCW) radar has gained increasing interest due to its inherent resistance to challenging environments. However, complex artefacts of the radar measurement process require appropriate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-06-23 Jianhao Yuan , Paul Newman , Matthew Gadd

Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) is essential for autonomous driving systems, unmanned vehicles, and various location-based technologies, as it provides the precise geospatial information necessary for navigation and situational…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Jianan Lou , Rong Zhang

This paper introduces a novel approach to quantify the uncertainties in fault diagnosis of motor drives using Bayesian neural networks (BNN). Conventional data-driven approaches used for fault diagnosis often rely on point-estimate neural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-16 Subham Sahoo , Huai Wang , Frede Blaabjerg

The accuracy and reliability of vehicle localization on roads are crucial for applications such as self-driving cars, toll systems, and digital tachographs. To achieve accurate positioning, vehicles typically use global navigation satellite…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Lucas Heublein , Nisha L. Raichur , Tobias Feigl , Tobias Brieger , Fin Heuer , Lennart Asbach , Alexander Rügamer , Felix Ott

This work studies the global convergence and implicit bias of Gauss Newton's (GN) when optimizing over-parameterized one-hidden layer networks in the mean-field regime. We first establish a global convergence result for GN in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Michael Arbel , Romain Menegaux , Pierre Wolinski

We present a novel approach for motion planning in mobile robotics under sensing and motion uncertainty based on state lattices with graduated fidelity. The probability of collision is reliably estimated considering the robot shape, and the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-06-03 Adrián González-Sieira , Manuel Mucientes , Alberto Bugarín

Jointly extracting entity pairs and their relations is challenging when working on distantly-supervised data with ambiguous or noisy labels. To mitigate such impact, we propose uncertainty-aware bootstrap learning, which is motivated by the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Yufei Li , Xiao Yu , Yanchi Liu , Haifeng Chen , Cong Liu

We present unsupervised parameter learning in a Gaussian variational inference setting that combines classic trajectory estimation for mobile robots with deep learning for rich sensor data, all under a single learning objective. The…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-23 David J. Yoon , Haowei Zhang , Mona Gridseth , Hugues Thomas , Timothy D. Barfoot

We learn, in an unsupervised way, an embedding from sequences of radar images that is suitable for solving the place recognition problem with complex radar data. Our method is based on invariant instance feature learning but is tailored for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Matthew Gadd , Daniele De Martini , Paul Newman

Uncertainty estimation methods using deep learning approaches strive against separating how uncertain the state of the world manifests to us via measurement (objective end) from the way this gets scrambled with the model specification and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Edgardo Solano-Carrillo

Maps are essential for diverse applications, such as vehicle navigation and autonomous robotics. Both require spatial models for effective route planning and localization. This paper addresses the challenge of road graph construction for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Balázs Opra , Betty Le Dem , Jeffrey M. Walls , Dimitar Lukarski , Cyrill Stachniss

Bringing deep neural networks (DNNs) into safety critical applications such as automated driving, medical imaging and finance, requires a thorough treatment of the model's uncertainties. Training deep neural networks is already resource…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Julian Burghoff , Robin Chan , Hanno Gottschalk , Annika Muetze , Tobias Riedlinger , Matthias Rottmann , Marius Schubert

Weather forecasting is an essential task to tackle global climate change. Weather forecasting requires the analysis of multivariate data generated by heterogeneous meteorological sensors. These sensors comprise of ground-based sensors,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-16 Gaganpreet Singh , Surya Durbha , Shreelakshmi C R

Artificial neural networks will always make a prediction, even when completely uncertain and regardless of the consequences. This obliviousness of uncertainty is a major obstacle towards their adoption in practice. Techniques exist,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-13 Hans Weytjens , Jochen De Weerdt

Neutron noise analysis is a predominant technique for fissile matter identification with passive methods. Quantifying the uncertainties associated with the estimated nuclear parameters is crucial for decision-making. A conservative…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-03 Paul Lartaud , Philippe Humbert , Josselin Garnier
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