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A multifidelity method for the nonlinear propagation of uncertainties in the presence of stochastic accelerations is presented. The proposed algorithm treats the uncertainty propagation (UP) problem by separating the propagation of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alberto Fossà , Roberto Armellin , Emmanuel Delande , Francesco Sanfedino

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

This paper develops an asymptotic expansion technique in momentum space for stochastic filtering. It is shown that Fourier transformation combined with a polynomial-function approximation of the nonlinear terms gives a closed recursive…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-26 Masaaki Fujii

Dynamic power system models are instrumental in real-time stability, monitoring, and control. Such models are traditionally posed as systems of nonlinear differential algebraic equations (DAEs): the dynamical part models generator…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-02 Mohamad H. Kazma , Ahmad F. Taha

Mechanistic dynamic models of biochemical networks such as Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) contain unknown parameters like the reaction rate constants and the initial concentrations of the compounds. The large number of parameters as…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-14 Clemens Kreutz , Andreas Raue , Jens Timmer

In recent years, deep neural networks have defined the state-of-the-art in semantic segmentation where their predictions are constrained to a predefined set of semantic classes. They are to be deployed in applications such as automated…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Kira Maag , Tobias Riedlinger

The study gives a brief overview of existing modifications of the method of functional separation of variables for nonlinear PDEs. It proposes a more general approach to the construction of exact solutions to nonlinear equations of applied…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-01-07 Andrei D. Polyanin

Neural networks have the ability to serve as universal function approximators, but they are not interpretable and don't generalize well outside of their training region. Both of these issues are problematic when trying to apply standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Colby Fronk , Linda Petzold

In this study, we present and validate the predictive capability of the Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) methodology for solving a variety of engineering and biological dynamical systems governed by ordinary differential equations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Tyrus Whitman , Andrew Particka , Christopher Diers , Ian Griffin , Charuka Wickramasinghe , Pradeep Ranaweera

Many real-world systems modeled using partial differential equations (PDEs) involve unknown parameters that must be estimated from limited, noisy system observations. While typically assumed to be constants, some of these unobserved…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Andrea Arnold

Statistical learning algorithms provide a generally-applicable framework to sidestep time-consuming experiments, or accurate physics-based modeling, but they introduce a further source of error on top of the intrinsic limitations of the…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2024-05-17 Matthias Kellner , Michele Ceriotti

Optimal control problems naturally arise in many scientific applications where one wishes to steer a dynamical system from a certain initial state $\mathbf{x}_0$ to a desired target state $\mathbf{x}^*$ in finite time $T$. Recent advances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Lucas Böttcher , Thomas Asikis

Posterior distributions on parameters computed from experimental data using Bayesian techniques are only as accurate as the models used to construct them. In many applications these models are incomplete, which both reduces the prospects of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-06-23 Christopher J. Moore , Jonathan R. Gair

Estimation of Distribution Algorithms (EDAs) and Innovation Method are recognized methods for solving global optimization problems and for the estimation of parameters in diffusion processes, respectively. Well known is also that the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Zochil González Arenas , Juan Carlos Jimenez , Li-Vang Lozada-Chang , Roberto Santana

Optimization under uncertainty deals with the problem of optimizing stochastic cost functions given some partial information on their inputs. These problems are extremely difficult to solve and yet pervade all areas of technological and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-03-13 Fabrizio Altarelli , Alfredo Braunstein , Abolfazl Ramezanpour , Riccardo Zecchina

Predicting the behaviors of pedestrian crowds is of critical importance for a variety of real-world problems. Data driven modeling, which aims to learn the mathematical models from observed data, is a promising tool to construct models that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Chen Cheng , Jinglai Li

This paper aims to provide a practical example on the assessment and propagation of input uncertainty for option pricing when using tree-based methods. Input uncertainty is propagated into output uncertainty, reflecting that option prices…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Henryk Gzyl , German Molina , Enrique ter Horst

We introduce a provably stable variant of neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODEs) whose trajectories evolve on an energy functional parametrised by a neural network. Stable neural flows provide an implicit guarantee on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Stefano Massaroli , Michael Poli , Michelangelo Bin , Jinkyoo Park , Atsushi Yamashita , Hajime Asama

Numerically solving ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is a naturally serial process and as a result the vast majority of ODE solver software are serial. In this manuscript we developed a set of parallelized ODE solvers using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Utkarsh , Chris Elrod , Yingbo Ma , Christopher Rackauckas

We present a new approach for estimating parameters in rational ODE models from given (measured) time series data. In typical existing approaches, an initial guess for the parameter values is made from a given search interval. Then, in a…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Oren Bassik , Yosef Berman , Soo Go , Hoon Hong , Ilia Ilmer , Alexey Ovchinnikov , Chris Rackauckas , Pedro Soto , Chee Yap
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