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In causal inference, interference occurs when the treatment of one unit may affect the outcomes of other units. The goal of this work is to serve as a guide to the use of linear outcome modeling for estimating causal effects in settings…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Eric Tong , Salvador V. Balkus

Stepwise regression building procedures are commonly used applied statistical tools, despite their well-known drawbacks. While many of their limitations have been widely discussed in the literature, other aspects of the use of individual…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-07-16 Sherri Rose , Thomas G. McGuire

We consider a flexible semiparametric quantile regression model for analyzing high dimensional heterogeneous data. This model has several appealing features: (1) By considering different conditional quantiles, we may obtain a more complete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Ben Sherwood , Lan Wang

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

We study the connection between multicalibration and boosting for squared error regression. First we prove a useful characterization of multicalibration in terms of a ``swap regret'' like condition on squared error. Using this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-01 Ira Globus-Harris , Declan Harrison , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth , Jessica Sorrell

Causal discovery from data affected by unobserved variables is an important but difficult problem to solve. The effects that unobserved variables have on the relationships between observed variables are more complex in nonlinear cases than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Takashi Nicholas Maeda , Shohei Shimizu

In the current insurance literature, prediction of insurance claims in the regression problem is often performed with a statistical model. This model-based approach may potentially suffer from several drawbacks: (i) model misspecification,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-30 Liang Hong

Compounding error, where small prediction mistakes accumulate over time, presents a major challenge in learning-based control. For example, this issue often limits the performance of model-based reinforcement learning and imitation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-03 Anne Somalwar , Bruce D. Lee , George J. Pappas , Nikolai Matni

In variable selection, most existing screening methods focus on marginal effects and ignore dependence between covariates. To improve the performance of selection, we incorporate pairwise effects in covariates for screening and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Siliang Gong , Kai Zhang , Yufeng Liu

Seemingly unrelated models of inflation that originate from different physical setups yield, in some cases, identical predictions for the currently constrained inflationary observables. In order to classify the available models, we propose…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-04-19 Laur Järv , Kristjan Kannike , Luca Marzola , Antonio Racioppi , Martti Raidal , Mihkel Rünkla , Margus Saal , Hardi Veermäe

The notion that an independent central bank reduces a country's inflation is a controversial hypothesis. To date, it has not been possible to satisfactorily answer this question because the complex macroeconomic structure that gives rise to…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-17 Philipp F. M. Baumann , Michael Schomaker , Enzo Rossi

We study linear panel regression models in which the unobserved error term is an unknown smooth function of two-way unobserved fixed effects. In standard additive or interactive fixed effect models the individual specific and time specific…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-08-15 Hugo Freeman , Martin Weidner

Factor analysis for high-dimensional data is a canonical problem in statistics and has a wide range of applications. However, there is currently no factor model tailored to effectively analyze high-dimensional count responses with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Wei Liu , Qingzhi Zhong

This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Giulia Iori

Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious representation of multivariate stochastic volatility. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

We propose a new approach to investigate inflation in a model-independent way, and in particular to elaborate the involved observables, through the introduction of the "scale factor potential". Through its use one can immediately determine…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2020-06-02 David Benisty , Eduardo I. Guendelman , Emmanuel N. Saridakis

We consider a variant of regression problem, where the correspondence between input and output data is not available. Such shuffled data is commonly observed in many real world problems. Taking flow cytometry as an example, the measuring…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Yujia Xie , Yixiu Mao , Simiao Zuo , Hongteng Xu , Xiaojing Ye , Tuo Zhao , Hongyuan Zha

Forward regression is a statistical model selection and estimation procedure which inductively selects covariates that add predictive power into a working statistical regression model. Once a model is selected, unknown regression parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-12 Damian Kozbur

We introduce a new family of one factor distributions for high-dimensional binary data. The model provides an explicit probability for each event, thus avoiding the numeric approximations often made by existing methods. Model interpretation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-05 Matthieu Marbac , Mohammed Sedki

Missing values are prevalent across various fields, posing challenges for training and deploying predictive models. In this context, imputation is a common practice, driven by the hope that accurate imputations will enhance predictions.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-21 Marine Le Morvan , Gaël Varoquaux