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Interval-valued data receives much attention due to its wide applications in the fields of finance, econometrics, meteorology and medicine. However, most regression models developed for interval-valued data assume observations are mutually…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-31 Tingting Huang

The autologistic model and related auto-models, commonly applied as autocovariate regression, offer distinct advantages for analysing spatially autocorrelated ecological data. However, comparative studies by Carl and K\"uhn (Ecol. Model.,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-28 David C. Bardos , Gurutzeta Guillera-Arroita , Brendan A. Wintle

Scientists continue to develop increasingly complex mechanistic models to reflect their knowledge more realistically. Statistical inference using these models can be challenging since the corresponding likelihood function is often…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-07 Joshua J Bon , David J Warne , David J Nott , Christopher Drovandi

The problem of identifying the most discriminating features when performing supervised learning has been extensively investigated. In particular, several methods for variable selection in model-based classification have been proposed.…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-16 Andrea Cappozzo , Francesca Greselin , Thomas Brendan Murphy

We formulate a forward inflation index model with multi-factor volatility structure featuring a parametric form that allows calibration to correlations between indices of different tenors observed in the market. Assuming the nominal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-09 Orcan Ogetbil , Bernhard Hientzsch

It is common in machine learning to estimate a response $y$ given covariate information $x$. However, these predictions alone do not quantify any uncertainty associated with said predictions. One way to overcome this deficiency is with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-25 Chancellor Johnstone , Eugene Ndiaye

We focus on improving the accuracy of an approximate model of a multiscale dynamical system that uses a set of parameter-dependent terms to account for the effects of unresolved or neglected dynamics on resolved scales. We start by…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-06-26 Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Chiyu Jiang , Daniel Livescu

Variable selection, also known as feature selection in machine learning, plays an important role in modeling high dimensional data and is key to data-driven scientific discoveries. We consider here the problem of detecting influential…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-24 Bo Jiang , Jun S. Liu

We consider inference in linear regression models that is robust to heteroskedasticity and the presence of many control variables. When the number of control variables increases at the same rate as the sample size the usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Koen Jochmans

The problem of individualized prediction can be addressed using variants of conformal prediction, obtaining the intervals to which the actual values of the variables of interest belong. Here we present a method based on detecting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-12 Fernando Delbianco , Fernando Tohmé

Economic and financial models -- such as vector autoregressions, local projections, and multivariate volatility models -- feature complex dynamic interactions and spillovers across many time series. These models can be integrated into a…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-10 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Zhentao Shi , Jia Zhang

The most widely used method for finding relationships between several quantities is multiple regression. This however is restricted to a single dependent variable. We present a more general method which allows models to be constructed with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-06 Chris Tofallis

To what extent can agents with misspecified subjective models predict false correlations? We study an "analyst" who utilizes models that take the form of a recursive system of linear regression equations. The analyst fits each equation to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-11-05 Kfir Eliaz , Ran Spiegler , Yair Weiss

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

This article considers a linear model in a high dimensional data scenario. We propose a process which uses multiple loss functions both to select relevant predictors and to estimate parameters, and study its asymptotic properties. Variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-01 Guorong Dai , Ursula U. Müller

Blockwise missing data occurs frequently when we integrate multisource or multimodality data where different sources or modalities contain complementary information. In this paper, we consider a high-dimensional linear regression model with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Fei Xue , Rong Ma , Hongzhe Li

Valid statistical inference is challenging when the sample is subject to unknown selection bias. Data integration can be used to correct for selection bias when we have a parallel probability sample from the same population with some common…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Zhonglei Wang , Shu Yang , Jae Kwang Kim

The paper analyzes how the enlarging of the sample affects to the mitigation of collinearity concluding that it may mitigate the consequences of collinearity related to statistical analysis but not necessarily the numerical instability. The…

The modal factor model represents a new factor model for dimension reduction in high dimensional panel data. Unlike the approximate factor model that targets for the mean factors, it captures factors that influence the conditional mode of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-01 Zhe Sun , Yundong Tu

The role of multiplicative and additive covariance inflation on ensemble dynamics under the presence of model errors is examined. We show that multiplicative inflation significantly impacts the alignment of ensemble anomalies onto the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-18 Scheffler Guillermo , Carrassi Alberto , Ruiz Juan , Pulido Manuel