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Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin

In route selection problems, the driver's personal preferences will determine whether she prefers a route with a travel time that has a relatively low mean and high variance over one that has relatively high mean and low variance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Rens Kamphuis , Michel Mandjes , Paulo Serra

Accurate travel time estimation is essential for navigation and itinerary planning. While existing research employs probabilistic modeling to assess travel time uncertainty and account for correlations between multiple trips, modeling the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Chen Xu , Qiang Wang , Lijun Sun

We address two shortcomings in online travel time estimation methods for congested urban traffic. The first shortcoming is related to the determination of the number of mixture modes, which can change dynamically, within day and from day to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-14 Saif Eddin Jabari , Nikolaos M. Freris , Deepthi Mary Dilip

Modal split prediction in transportation networks has the potential to support network operators in managing traffic congestion and improving transit service reliability. We focus on the problem of hourly prediction of the fraction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-17 Aron Brenner , Manxi Wu , Saurabh Amin

Because of the complexity of urban transportation networks and the temporal changes in traffic conditions, it is difficult to assess real-time traffic situations. However, the development of information terminals has made it easier to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Tatsuro Mukai , Yuichi Ikeda

In recent years, some traffic information prediction methods have been proposed to provide the precise information of travel time, vehicle speed, and traffic flow for highways. However, big errors may be obtained by these methods for urban…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Chi-Hua Chen

We develop theoretical foundations and practical algorithms for vehicle routing with time-dependent travel times. We also provide new benchmark instances and experimental results. First, we study basic operations on piecewise linear arrival…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Jannis Blauth , Stephan Held , Dirk Müller , Niklas Schlomberg , Vera Traub , Thorben Tröbst , Jens Vygen

Most optimal routing problems focus on minimizing travel time or distance traveled. Oftentimes, a more useful objective is to maximize the probability of on-time arrival, which requires statistical distributions of travel times, rather than…

Predicting travel times of vehicles in urban settings is a useful and tangible quantity of interest in the context of intelligent transportation systems. We address the problem of travel time prediction in arterial roads using data sampled…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-17 Avinash Achar , Venkatesh Sarangan , R Rohith , Anand Sivasubramaniam

We develop a method to estimate from data travel latency cost functions in multi-class transportation networks, which accommodate different types of vehicles with very different characteristics (e.g., cars and trucks). Leveraging our…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-05 Jing Zhang , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Real-time navigation services, such as Google Maps and Waze, are widely used in daily life. These services provide rich data resources in real-time traffic conditions and travel time predictions; however, they have not been fully applied in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Xilei Zhao , James C. Spall

Travel time prediction is central to transport geography and planning's accessibility analyses, sustainable transportation infrastructure provision, and active transportation interventions. However, calculating accurate travel times,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Geoff Boeing , Yuquan Zhou

In transportation, Weigh-in motion (WIM) stations, Electronic Toll Collection (ETC) systems, Closed-circuit Television (CCTV) are widely deployed to collect data at different locations. Vehicle re-identification, by matching the same…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-06 Diyi Liu , Yangsong Gu , Lee D. Han

In this paper, we present a study of a mobility game with uncertainty in the decision-making of travelers and incorporate prospect theory to model travel behavior. We formulate a mobility game that models how travelers distribute their…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-20 Ioannis Vasileios Chremos , Heeseung Bang , Aditya Dave , Viet-Anh Le , Andreas A. Malikopoulos

Understanding travel demand and behavior, particularly route and mode choices, is critical for effective transportation planning and policy design in multi-modal systems with emerging mobility options. Multi-modal system-level data, such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-04 Xiaoyu Ma , Sean Qian

Using the growing volumes of vehicle trajectory data, it becomes increasingly possible to capture time-varying and uncertain travel costs in a road network, including travel time and fuel consumption. The current paradigm represents a road…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-12-07 Jian Dai , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen

To improve the routing decisions of individual drivers and the management policies designed by traffic operators, one needs reliable estimates of travel time distributions. Since congestion caused by both recurrent patterns (e.g., rush…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-13 Nikki Levering , Marko Boon , Michel Mandjes

Travel time estimation is a critical task, useful to many urban applications at the individual citizen and the stakeholder level. This paper presents a novel hybrid algorithm for travel time estimation that leverages historical and sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nikolaos Zygouras , Nikolaos Panagiotou , Yang Li , Dimitrios Gunopulos , Leonidas Guibas

The increased availability of large-scale trajectory data around the world provides rich information for the study of urban dynamics. For example, New York City Taxi Limousine Commission regularly releases source-destination information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-12-31 Hongjian Wang , Zhenhui Li , Yu-Hsuan Kuo , Dan Kifer
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