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An emerging topic in large language models (LLMs) is their application to time series forecasting, characterizing mainstream and patternable characteristics of time series. A relevant but rarely explored and more challenging question is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Manqing Dong , Hao Huang , Longbing Cao

Autoregressive Recurrent Neural Networks are widely employed in time-series forecasting tasks, demonstrating effectiveness in univariate and certain multivariate scenarios. However, their inherent structure does not readily accommodate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Gareth Davies

Network data has emerged as an active research area in statistics. Much of the focus of ongoing research has been on static networks that represent a single snapshot or aggregated historical data unchanging over time. However, most networks…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-23 Lata Kodali , Srijan Sengupta , Leanna House , William H. Woodall

This paper describes a new method, HMM gauge likelihood analysis, or GLA, of detecting anomalies in discrete time series using Hidden Markov Models and clustering. At the center of the method lies the comparison of subsequences. To achieve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Boris Lorbeer , Tanja Deutsch , Peter Ruppel , Axel Küpper

Given a set of synchronous time series, each associated with a sensor-point in space and characterized by inter-series relationships, the problem of spatiotemporal forecasting consists of predicting future observations for each point.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Ivan Marisca , Cesare Alippi , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Traffic congestion anomaly detection is of paramount importance in intelligent traffic systems. The goals of transportation agencies are two-fold: to monitor the general traffic conditions in the area of interest and to locate road segments…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Zhuangwei Kang , Ayan Mukhopadhyay , Aniruddha Gokhale , Shijie Wen , Abhishek Dubey

Anomalies refer to the departure of systems and devices from their normal behaviour in standard operating conditions. An anomaly in an industrial device can indicate an upcoming failure, often in the temporal direction. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Snehanshu Saha , Jyotirmoy Sarkar , Soma Dhavala , Santonu Sarkar , Preyank Mota

Supporting Go/No-Go decisions prior to launch requires assessing real-time telemetry data against redline limits established during the design qualification phase. Family data from ground testing or previous flights is commonly used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Sean P. Engelstad , Sameul R. Darr , Matthew Taliaferro , Vinay K. Goyal

Time series forecasting predicts future values from past data. In real-world settings, some anomalous events have lasting effects and influence the forecast, while others are short-lived and should be ignored. Standard forecasting models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Joel Ekstrand , Zahra Taghiyarrenani , Slawomir Nowaczyk

Event detection has been an important task in transportation, whose task is to detect points in time when large events disrupts a large portion of the urban traffic network. Travel information {Origin-Destination} (OD) matrix data by map…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Yue Hu , Ao Qu , Dan Work

Internet traffic in the real world is susceptible to various external and internal factors which may abruptly change the normal traffic flow. Those unexpected changes are considered outliers in traffic. However, deep sequence models have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-05 Sajal Saha , Anwar Haque , Greg Sidebottom

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are often used to capture temporal dependency patterns. By stacking multi-layer LSTM networks, it can capture even more complex patterns. This paper explores the effectiveness of applying stacked LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Frank Xiao

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical in applications such as traffic prediction, climate modeling, and environmental monitoring. However, the prevalence of missing data in real-world sensor networks significantly complicates this task. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-20 Muhammad Bilal , Luis Carretero Lopez

In this paper, we propose a novel model for time series prediction in which difference-attention LSTM model and error-correction LSTM model are respectively employed and combined in a cascade way. While difference-attention LSTM model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Yuxuan Liu , Jiangyong Duan , Juan Meng

Time series anomaly detection is crucial for industrial monitoring services that handle a large volume of data, aiming to ensure reliability and optimize system performance. Existing methods often require extensive labeled resources and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Manqing Dong , Zhanxiang Zhao , Yitong Geng , Wentao Li , Wei Wang , Huai Jiang

In this paper, we use variational recurrent neural network to investigate the anomaly detection problem on graph time series. The temporal correlation is modeled by the combination of recurrent neural network (RNN) and variational inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Daniel Hsu

Anomalies often occur in real-world information networks/graphs, such as malevolent users, malicious comments, banned users, and fake news in social graphs. The latest graph anomaly detection methods use a novel mechanism called truncated…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Xiong Zhang , Hong Peng , Zhenli He , Cheng Xie , Xin Jin , Hua Jiang

Traffic state data, such as speed, volume and travel time collected from ubiquitous traffic monitoring sensors require advanced network level analytics for forecasting and identifying significant traffic patterns. This paper leverages…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Tianya Zhang

Time series anomaly detection (TSAD) is becoming increasingly vital due to the rapid growth of time series data across various sectors. Anomalies in web service data, for example, can signal critical incidents such as system failures or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Jiaxin Zhuang , Leon Yan , Zhenwei Zhang , Ruiqi Wang , Jiawei Zhang , Yuantao Gu

With the advent of Big Data, nowadays in many applications databases containing large quantities of similar time series are available. Forecasting time series in these domains with traditional univariate forecasting procedures leaves great…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-13 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl