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Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require proper uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. In this light, we introduce a family of measures for total, aleatoric, and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

We propose a probabilistic enhancement of standard kernel Support Vector Machines for binary classification, in order to address the case when, along with given data sets, a description of uncertainty (e.g., error bounds) may be available…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Yongxin Chen , Tryphon T. Georgiou , Allen R. Tannenbaum

Kernel techniques are among the most popular and flexible approaches in data science allowing to represent probability measures without loss of information under mild conditions. The resulting mapping called mean embedding gives rise to a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Linda Chamakh , Zoltan Szabo

This paper studies the identifiability and stability of drifting fields within the framework of Generative Modeling via Drifting. The motivating question is whether a zero-drift equilibrium identifies the target distribution, and whether an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 HakGeun Lee , Hyonho Chun

Model misspecification can create significant challenges for the implementation of probabilistic models, and this has led to development of a range of robust methods which directly account for this issue. However, whether these more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-22 Oscar Key , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol , Tamara Fernandez

Decision Trees and Random Forests are among the most widely used machine learning models, and often achieve state-of-the-art performance in tabular, domain-agnostic datasets. Nonetheless, being primarily discriminative models they lack…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-14 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Robert Peharz , Cassio de Campos

We derive and analyze a generic, recursive algorithm for estimating all splits in a finite cluster tree as well as the corresponding clusters. We further investigate statistical properties of this generic clustering algorithm when it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Ingo Steinwart , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Philipp Thomann

Variational methods are widely used for approximate posterior inference. However, their use is typically limited to families of distributions that enjoy particular conjugacy properties. To circumvent this limitation, we propose a family of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Samuel Gershman , Matt Hoffman , David Blei

Next-generation sequencing technologies now constitute a method of choice to measure gene expression. Data to analyze are read counts, commonly modeled using Negative Binomial distributions. A relevant issue associated with this…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Elisabetta Bonafede , Franck Picard , Stéphane Robin , Cinzia Viroli

Modern datasets across many disciplines increasingly consist of time-evolving, potentially infinite-dimensional random objects, such as dynamic functional data, which are naturally modeled in Hilbert spaces. In these settings,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Daniel López-Montero , Antonio Álvarez-López , Marcos Matabuena

We extend previously proposed measures of complexity, emergence, and self-organization to continuous distributions using differential entropy. This allows us to calculate the complexity of phenomena for which distributions are known. We…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2016-04-01 Guillermo Santamaría-Bonfil , Nelson Fernández , Carlos Gershenson

When observations are organized into groups where commonalties exist amongst them, the dependent random measures can be an ideal choice for modeling. One of the propositions of the dependent random measures is that the atoms of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-28 Cheng Luo , Richard Yi Da Xu , Yang Xiang

Graph kernels are usually defined in terms of simpler kernels over local substructures of the original graphs. Different kernels consider different types of substructures. However, in some cases they have similar predictive performances,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-22 Nicolò Navarin , Alessandro Sperduti , Riccardo Tesselli

Probabilistic models based on continuous latent spaces, such as variational autoencoders, can be understood as uncountable mixture models where components depend continuously on the latent code. They have proven to be expressive tools for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Gennaro Gala , Erik Quaeghebeur , Cassio de Campos , Robert Peharz

Several formulations have long existed in the literature in the form of continuous mixtures of normal variables where a mixing variable operates on the mean or on the variance or on both the mean and the variance of a multivariate normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-31 Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle , Adelchi Azzalini

The analysis of large-scale datasets, especially in biomedical contexts, frequently involves a principled screening of multiple hypotheses. The celebrated two-group model jointly models the distribution of the test statistics with mixtures…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-10 Francesco Denti , Stefano Peluso , Michele Guindani , Antonietta Mira

Recent work has shown that finite mixture models with $m$ components are identifiable, while making no assumptions on the mixture components, so long as one has access to groups of samples of size $2m-1$ which are known to come from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-25 Robert A. Vandermeulen , René Saitenmacher

Variational inference is a popular method for estimating model parameters and conditional distributions in hierarchical and mixed models, which arise frequently in many settings in the health, social, and biological sciences. Variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-10 Ted Westling , Tyler H. McCormick

Mixture distributions are extensively used as a modeling tool in diverse areas from machine learning to communications engineering to physics, and obtaining bounds on the entropy of probability distributions is of fundamental importance in…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-12-05 James Melbourne , Saurav Talukdar , Shreyas Bhaban , Mokshay Madiman , Murti V. Salapaka

The problem of establishing out-of-sample bounds for the values of an unkonwn ground-truth function is considered. Kernels and their associated Hilbert spaces are the main formalism employed herein along with an observational model where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Paul Scharnhorst , Emilio T. Maddalena , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones
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