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Accurate traffic flow forecasting is crucial for intelligent transportation services such as navigation and ride-hailing. In such applications, uncertainty estimation in forecasting is important because it helps evaluate traffic risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Haochen Lv , Yan Lin , Shengnan Guo , Xiaowei Mao , Hong Nie , Letian Gong , Youfang Lin , Huaiyu Wan

Simulating potential cascading failures can be useful for avoiding or mitigating such events. Currently, existing steady-state analysis tools are ill-suited for simulating cascading outages as they do not model frequency dependencies, they…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-25 Amritanshu Pandey , Aayushya Agarwal , Marko Jereminov , Martin R. Wagner , David M. Bromberg , Larry Pileggi

In our daily lives, we rely on the proper functioning of supply networks, from power grids to water transmission systems. A single failure in these critical infrastructures can lead to a complete collapse through a cascading failure…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-03 Franz Kaiser , Vito Latora , Dirk Witthaut

Critical infrastructures provide essential services for our modern society. Large-scale natural hazards, such as floods or storms, can disrupt multiple critical infrastructures at once. In addition, a localized failure of one service can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-10 Moritz Schneider , Lukas Halekotte , Andrea Mentges , Frank Fiedrich

In this paper, we introduce a distributed control strategy to prevent dynamically-induced cascading failures in power grids. We model power grids using complex networks and nonlinear dynamics to provide a coarse-grained description of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-08 Mattia Frasca , Lucia Valentina Gambuzza

Under-frequency load shedding (UFLS) prevents system collapse during large disturbances. Increased penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) and reduced system inertia makes it challenging to design a static UFLS scheme, which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-07 Mazen Elsaadany , Muhammad Hamza Ali , Amritanshu Pandey , Mads R. Almassalkhi

In this paper, we propose an AC power flow based cascading failure model that explicitly considers external weather conditions, extreme temperatures in particular, and evaluates the impact of extreme temperature on the initiation and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-30 Seyyed Rashid Khazeiynasab , Junjian Qi

In the context of epidemic spreading, many intricate dynamical patterns can emerge due to the cooperation of different types of pathogens or the interaction between the disease spread and other failure propagation mechanism. To unravel such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-07 Bo Li , David Saad

Information cascades, effectively facilitated by most social network platforms, are recognized as a major factor in almost every social success and disaster in these networks. Can cascades be predicted? While many believe that they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Cheng Li , Jiaqi Ma , Xiaoxiao Guo , Qiaozhu Mei

We study how large functional networks can grow stably under possible cascading overload failures and evaluated the maximum stable network size above which even a small-scale failure would cause a fatal breakdown of the network. Employing a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-01 Shogo Mizutaka , Kousuke Yakubo

Cascades are self-amplifying processes triggered by feedback mechanisms that may cause a substantial part of a macroscopic system to change its phase in response of a relatively small local event. The theoretical background for these…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-07-06 I. Bonamassa , B. Gross , M. Laav , I. Volotsenko , A. Frydman , S. Havlin

Accurate building load forecasting plays a critical role in facilitating demand response aggregation and optimizing energy management. However, the complex temporal dependencies and high volatility of building loads limit the improvement of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Hang Fan , Ying Lu , Weican Liu , Dunnan Liu , Xiaotao Chen , Shengwei Mei

We investigate the emergence of synchronization in a network of coupled chaotic macroeconomic systems. Each node represents an economy characterized by three key variables savings, gross domestic product (GDP), and foreign capital inflows.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-05-26 Thierry Njougouo , Fernando Fagundes Ferreira , Diego Garlaschelli

Long-term urban crowd flow prediction suffers significantly from cumulative sampling errors, due to increased sequence lengths and sampling intervals, which inspired us to leverage Neural Controlled Differential Equations (NCDEs) to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Yuting Liu , Qiang Zhou , Hanzhe Li , Chenqi Gong , Jingjing Gu

Detecting Internet routing instability is a critical yet challenging task, particularly when relying solely on endpoint active measurements. This study introduces TRACE, a MachineLearning (ML)pipeline designed to identify route changes…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Raul Suzuki , Rodrigo Moreira , Pedro Henrique A. Damaso de Melo , Larissa F. Rodrigues Moreira , Flávio de Oliveira Silva

We study the percolation in coupled networks with both inner-dependency and inter-dependency links, where the inner- and inter-dependency links represent the dependencies between nodes in the same or different networks, respectively. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-09 Run-Ran Liu , Ming Li , Chun-Xiao Jia , Bing-Hong Wang

Due to the evolving nature of power systems and the complicated coupling relationship of power devices, it has been a great challenge to identify the contingencies that could trigger cascading blackouts of power systems. This paper provides…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Chao Zhai , Hehong Zhang , Gaoxi Xiao , Tso-Chien Pan

Critical infrastructure networks--including transportation, power grids, and communication systems--exhibit complex interdependencies that can lead to cascading failures with catastrophic consequences. These disasters often originate from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-23 Mary Lai O. Salvaña , Harold Jay M. Bolingot , Gregory L. Tangonan

Many physical, biological, and social phenomena can be described by cascades taking place on a network. Often, the activity can be empirically observed, but not the underlying network of interactions. In this paper we offer three…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-07-24 Sushrut Ghonge , Dervis Can Vural

Robustness of routing policies for networks is a central problem which is gaining increased attention with a growing awareness to safeguard critical infrastructure networks against natural and man-induced disruptions. Routing under limited…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Giacomo Como , Ketan Savla , Daron Acemoglu , Munther A. Dahleh , Emilio Frazzoli
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