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Time series forecasting models are becoming increasingly prevalent due to their critical role in decision-making across various domains. However, most existing approaches represent the coupled temporal patterns, often neglecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Jintao Zhang , Mingyue Cheng , Xiaoyu Tao , Zhiding Liu , Daoyu Wang

Motivated by the recent success of time-series foundation models for zero-shot forecasting, we present a methodology for $\textit{in-context fine-tuning}$ of a time-series foundation model. In particular, we design a pretrained foundation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Abhimanyu Das , Matthew Faw , Rajat Sen , Yichen Zhou

Pretrained models are the standard starting point for training. This approach consistently outperforms the use of a random initialization. However, pretraining is a costly endeavour that few can undertake. In this paper, we create better…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Leshem Choshen , Elad Venezian , Noam Slonim , Yoav Katz

While recent advancements in foundation models have significantly impacted machine learning, rigorous tests on the performance of time series foundation models (TSFMs) remain largely underexplored. This paper presents an empirical study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Syamantak Datta Gupta

Large language models (LLMs) have made impressive strides in mathematical reasoning, often fine-tuned using rejection sampling that retains only correct reasoning trajectories. While effective, this paradigm treats supervision as a binary…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Jie Deng , Hanshuang Tong , Jun Li , Shining Liang , Ning Wu , Hongzhi Li , Yutao Xie

With the blowout development of pre-trained models (PTMs), the efficient tuning of these models for diverse downstream applications has emerged as a pivotal research concern. Although recent investigations into prompt tuning have provided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Zihao Lin , Yan Sun , Yifan Shi , Xueqian Wang , Lifu Huang , Li Shen , Dacheng Tao

Self-supervised Pretrained Models (PTMs) have demonstrated remarkable performance in computer vision and natural language processing tasks. These successes have prompted researchers to design PTMs for time series data. In our experiments,…

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) advance generalization and data efficiency in time series forecasting by unified large-scale pretraining. But TSFMs remain lacking when adapting to specific downstream forecasting tasks for two reasons.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Siyang Li , Yize Chen , Zijie Zhu , Yuxin Pan , Yan Guo , Ming Huang , Hui Xiong

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

Autonomous vehicle safety is crucial for the successful deployment of self-driving cars. However, most existing planning methods rely heavily on imitation learning, which limits their ability to leverage collision data effectively.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Zi Wang , Shiyi Lan , Xinglong Sun , Nadine Chang , Zhenxin Li , Zhiding Yu , Jose M. Alvarez

We consider multi-sensor fusion estimation for clustered sensor networks. Both sequential measurement fusion and state fusion estimation methods are presented. It is shown that the proposed sequential fusion estimation methods achieve the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-01-18 Wen-An Zhang , Ling Shi

The evolution of previous Click-Through Rate (CTR) models has mainly been driven by proposing complex components, whether shallow or deep, that are adept at modeling feature interactions. However, there has been less focus on improving…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Kexin Zhang , Fuyuan Lyu , Xing Tang , Dugang Liu , Chen Ma , Kaize Ding , Xiuqiang He , Xue Liu

Tracking multiple time-varying states based on heterogeneous observations is a key problem in many applications. Here, we develop a statistical model and algorithm for tracking an unknown number of targets based on the probabilistic fusion…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-10 Domenico Gaglione , Paolo Braca , Giovanni Soldi , Florian Meyer , Franz Hlawatsch , Moe Z. Win

Human experts typically integrate numerical and textual multimodal information to analyze time series. However, most traditional deep learning predictors rely solely on unimodal numerical data, using a fixed-length window for training and…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jinming Wu , Lei Zhang , Jianxin Liao

This study explores the potential of zero-shot time series forecasting, an innovative approach leveraging pre-trained foundation models, to forecast mortality rates without task-specific fine-tuning. We evaluate two state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Gabor Petnehazi , Laith Al Shaggah , Jozsef Gall , Bernadett Aradi

Air quality is closely related to public health. Health issues such as cardiovascular diseases and respiratory diseases, may have connection with long exposure to highly polluted environment. Therefore, accurate air quality forecasts are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-17 Haolin Fei , Xiaofeng Wu , Chunbo Luo

Data privacy has increasingly become a daunting challenge because it limits data availability, which is essential in estimating statistical models such as generalized linear mixed models. Access to personal data often involves considerable…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Marie Analiz April Limpoco , Christel Faes , Niel Hens

Sepsis accounts for nearly 20% of global ICU admissions, yet conventional prediction models often fail to effectively integrate heterogeneous data streams, remaining either siloed by modality or reliant on brittle early fusion. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Ryan Cartularo

Pretrained time series models, capable of zero-shot forecasting, have demonstrated significant potential in enhancing both the performance and accessibility of time series forecasting. However, existing pretrained models either do not…

Traditional vision-based autonomous driving systems often face difficulties in navigating complex environments when relying solely on single-image inputs. To overcome this limitation, incorporating temporal data such as past image frames or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Tuong Do , Binh X. Nguyen , Quang D. Tran , Erman Tjiputra , Te-Chuan Chiu , Anh Nguyen