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We study the performance of machine learning binary classification techniques in terms of error probabilities. The statistical test is based on the Data-Driven Decision Function (D3F), learned in the training phase, i.e., what is…
The large deviation properties of equilibrium (reversible) lattice gases are mathematically reasonably well understood. Much less is known in non--equilibrium, namely for non reversible systems. In this paper we consider a simple example of…
We propose multiloop vacuum amplitudes as the optimal building blocks for efficiently assembling theoretical predictions at high-energy colliders. This hypothesis is strongly supported by the manifestly causal properties of the loop-tree…
We investigate the large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood estimators for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with shift. We estimate simultaneously the drift and shift parameters. On the one hand, we establish a large deviation…
We prove large deviations principles (LDPs) for the perimeter and the area of the convex hull of a planar random walk with finite Laplace transform of its increments. We give explicit upper and lower bounds for the rate function of the…
Particle approximations for certain nonlinear and nonlocal reaction-diffusion equations are studied using a system of Brownian motions with killing. The system is described by a collection of i.i.d. Brownian particles where each particle is…
We study large deviations for the current of one-dimensional stochastic particle systems with periodic boundary conditions. Following a recent approach based on an earlier result by Jensen and Varadhan, we compare several candidates for…
We consider the Hastings--Levitov HL(0) model in the small particle scaling limit and prove a large deviation principle. The rate function is given by the relative entropy of the driving measure $\rho$ for the Loewner--Kufarev equation: \[…
We prove quenched versions of (i) a large deviations principle (LDP), (ii) a central limit theorem (CLT), and (iii) a local central limit theorem (LCLT) for non-autonomous dynamical systems. A key advance is the extension of the spectral…
Study of the KPZ universality class has seen the emergence of universal objects over the past decade which arise as the scaling limit of the member models. One such object is the directed landscape, and it is known that exactly solvable…
In this short note we consider semi-Markov processes satisfying the condition of direction-time independence (Markov renewal processes). We derive large deviation principles and fluctuation theorems for the empirical current and the…
We obtain the large deviation functional of a density profile for the asymmetric exclusion process of L sites with open boundary conditions when the asymmetry scales like 1/L. We recover as limiting cases the expressions derived recently…
We establish a large deviation principle (LDP) for a class of stochastic porous media equations driven by L\'{e}vy-type noise on a $\sigma$-finite measure space $(E,\mathcal{B}(E),\mu)$, with the Laplacian replaced by a negative definite…
We derive large deviations type (LDT) estimates for linear cocycles over an ergodic multifrequency torus translation. These models are called quasi-periodic cocycles. We make the following assumptions on the model: the translation vector…
We study a system of N particles with logarithmic, Coulomb or Riesz pairwise interactions, confined by an external potential. We examine a microscopic quantity, the tagged empirical field, for which we prove a large deviation principle at…
In this paper, we present a probabilistic study of rare phenomena of the cubic nonlinear Schr\"odinger equation on the torus in a weakly nonlinear setting. This equation has been used as a model to numerically study the formation of rogue…
Reliability-based topology optimization (RBTO) requires repeated estimation of small failure probabilities and their gradients, making conventional nested Monte Carlo approaches computationally prohibitive for large scale structural…
We consider collections of $N$ chordal random curves obtained from a critical lattice model on a planar graph, in the limit when a fine-mesh graph approximates a simply-connected domain. We define and study candidates for such limits in…
A pathwise large deviation result is proved for the pure jump models of $k$-nary interacting particle system introduced by Kolokoltsov that generalize classical Boltzmann's collision model, Smoluchovski's coagulation model and many others.…
Given a sequence of Borel probability measures on a Hausdorff space which satisfy a large deviation principle, we consider the corresponding sequence of measures formed by conditioning on a set $B$. If the large deviation rate function $I$…