English
Related papers

Related papers: Quantitative Resilience Modeling for Autonomous Cy…

200 papers

Given the success of reinforcement learning (RL) in various domains, it is promising to explore the application of its methods to the development of intelligent and autonomous cyber agents. Enabling this development requires a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-09-09 Li Li , Raed Fayad , Adrian Taylor

Proactive cyber-risk assessment is gaining momentum due to the wide range of sectors that can benefit from the prevention of cyber-incidents by preserving integrity, confidentiality, and the availability of data. The rising attention to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Mario Angelelli , Serena Arima , Christian Catalano , Enrico Ciavolino

Resilient cyber-physical systems comprise computing systems able to continuously interact with the physical environment in which they operate, despite runtime errors. The term resilience refers to the ability to cope with unexpected inputs…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Ricardo D. Caldas

Power distribution systems (PDS) serve as the backbone of our modern society, ensuring electricity reaches homes, businesses, and critical infrastructure. However, the increasing digitization and interconnectivity of these systems have…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Mitikiri Sagar Babu , Victor Sam Moses Babu , Vedantham Lakshmi Srinivas , Pratyush Chakraborty , Mayukha Pal

Based on classical contagion models we introduce an artificial cyber lab: the digital twin of a complex cyber system in which possible cyber resilience measures may be implemented and tested. Using the lab, in numerical case studies, we…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Kerstin Awiszus , Yannick Bell , Jan Lüttringhaus , Gregor Svindland , Alexander Voß , Stefan Weber

We introduce a decision-making framework tailored for the management of systemic risk in networks. This framework is constructed upon three fundamental components: (1) a set of acceptable network configurations, (2) a set of interventions…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-28 Gregor Svindland , Alexander Voß

Understanding and quantifying human cognitive biases from empirical data has long posed a formidable challenge, particularly in cybersecurity, where defending against unknown adversaries is paramount. Traditional cyber defense strategies…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Soham Hans , Nikolos Gurney , Stacy Marsella , Sofia Hirschmann

Resilience denotes the capacity of a system to withstand shocks and its ability to recover from them. We develop a framework to quantify the resilience of highly volatile, non-equilibrium social organizations, such as collectives or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Frank Schweitzer , Georges Andres , Giona Casiraghi , Christoph Gote , Ramona Roller , Ingo Scholtes , Giacomo Vaccario , Christian Zingg

Computer network defence is a complicated task that has necessitated a high degree of human involvement. However, with recent advancements in machine learning, fully autonomous network defence is becoming increasingly plausible. This paper…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-06-16 Myles Foley , Mia Wang , Zoe M , Chris Hicks , Vasilios Mavroudis

Wide-area control is an effective mean to reduce inter-area oscillations of large power systems. Its dependence on communication of remote measurement signals makes the closed-loop system vulnerable to cyber attacks. This paper develops a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-04-20 Yueyun Lu , Chin-Yao Chang , Wei Zhang , Laurentiu D. Marinovici , Antonio J. Conejo

Considering the increasing frequency of cyberattacks affecting multiple hospitals simultaneously, improving resilience at a network level is essential. Various countermeasures exist to improve resilience against cyberattacks, such as…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Stephan Helfrich , Emilia Grass

In the face of an increasingly broad cyberattack surface, cyberattack-resilient load forecasting for electric utilities is both more necessary and more challenging than ever. In this paper, we propose an adversarial machine learning (AML)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-09 Zefan Tang , Jieying Jiao , Peng Zhang , Meng Yue , Chen Chen , Jun Yan

In cyberspace, evolutionary strategies are commonly used by both attackers and defenders. For example, an attacker's strategy often changes over the course of time, as new vulnerabilities are discovered and/or mitigated. Similarly, a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Jose David Mireles , Eric Ficke , Jin-Hee Cho , Patrick Hurley , Shouhuai Xu

In November 2025, the authors ran a workshop on the topic of what makes a good reinforcement learning (RL) environment for autonomous cyber defence (ACD). This paper details the knowledge shared by participants both during the workshop and…

We address a fundamental challenge in cybersecurity operations of translating governance frameworks into actionable mitigation decisions under realistic resource constraints. Frameworks such as the NIST Cybersecurity Framework (CSF) provide…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Philip Huff , Dakota Dale , Harshith Guduru , Rohan Singh , Qinghua Li

We develop a queueing-theoretic framework to model the temporal evolution of cyber-attack surfaces, where the number of active vulnerabilities is represented as the backlog of a queue. Vulnerabilities arrive as they are discovered or…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Jihyeon Yun , Abdullah Yasin Etcibasi , Ming Shi , C. Emre Koksal

Designing rewards for autonomous cyber attack and defense learning agents in a complex, dynamic environment is a challenging task for subject matter experts. We propose a large language model (LLM)-based reward design approach to generate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Sayak Mukherjee , Samrat Chatterjee , Emilie Purvine , Ted Fujimoto , Tegan Emerson

Autonomous Cyber Defence is required to respond to high-tempo cyber-attacks. To facilitate the research in this challenging area, we explore the utility of the autonomous cyber operation environments presented as part of the Cyber Autonomy…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Mitchell Kiely , David Bowman , Maxwell Standen , Christopher Moir

This paper is devoted to measuring the security of cyber networks under advanced persistent threats (APTs). First, an APT-based cyber attack-defense process is modeled as an individual-level dynamical system. Second, the dynamic model is…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-07-13 Lu-Xing Yang , Pengdeng Li , Xiaofan Yang , Luosheng Wen , Yingbo Wu , Yuan Yan Tang

Reinforcement Learning (RL) and Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) have emerged as promising methodologies for addressing challenges in automated cyber defence (ACD). These techniques offer adaptive decision-making capabilities in…