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I study partial identification of distributional parameters in triangular systems. This model consists of a nonparametric outcome equation and a selection equation. This allows for general unobserved heterogeneity and selection on…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-11 Ju Hyun Kim

The point process of vertices of an iteration infinitely divisible or more specifically of an iteration stable random tessellation in the Euclidean plane is considered. We explicitly determine its covariance measure and its pair-correlation…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-05 Tomasz Schreiber , Christoph Thaele

In this article, recent results about point processes are used in sampling theory. Precisely, we define and study a new class of sampling designs: determinantal sampling designs. The law of such designs is known, and there exists a simple…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-27 Vincent Loonis , Xavier Mary

In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the point process of exceedances in a spatio-temporal setting whose points are given by the rescaled occurrence times, the sites and the rescaled values of exceedances. Here, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Carolin Forster , Marco Oesting

We develop and generalize the theory of extreme value for non-stationary stochastic processes, mostly by weakening the uniform mixing condition that was previously used in this setting. We apply our results to non-autonomous dynamical…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Sandro Vaienti

The goal of this paper is to analyze distributional Markov Decision Processes as a class of control problems in which the objective is to learn policies that steer the distribution of a cumulative reward toward a prescribed target law,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Nicole Bäuerle , Athanasios Vasileiadis

We investigate the limit behavior of supercritical multitype branching processes in random environments with linear fractional offspring distributions and show that there exists a phase transition in the behavior of local probabilites of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-25 Wenming Hong , Minzhi Liu , Vladimir Vatutin

One problem of wide interest involves estimating expected crossing-times. Several tools have been developed to solve this problem beginning with the works of Wald and the theory of sequential analysis. An extension of his approach is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Mark Brown , Victor de la Pena , Tony Sit

We establish functional limit theorems for ergodic sums of observables with power singularities for expanding circle maps. In the regime where the observables have infinite variance, we show that when rescaled by $N^{1/s}(\ln N)^\alpha$,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Dmitry Dolgopyat , Sixu Liu

In statistical problems, a set of parameterized probability distributions is used to estimate the true probability distribution. If Fisher information matrix at the true distribution is singular, then it has been left unknown what we can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-01-19 Sumio Watanabe

Solving a decision theory problem usually involves finding the actions, among a set of possible ones, which optimize the expected reward, possibly accounting for the uncertainty of the environment. In this paper, we introduce the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Damiano Azzolini , Elena Bellodi , Rafael Kiesel , Fabrizio Riguzzi

This paper studies the limit of a kinetic evolution equation involving a small parameter and driven by a random process which also scales with the small parameter. In order to prove the convergence in distribution to the solution of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-28 Shmuel Rakotonirina-Ricquebourg

We consider a renewal process that is conditioned on the number of events in a fixed time horizon. We prove that a centered and scaled version of this process converges to a Brownian bridge, as the number of events grows large, which relies…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-08 Harsha Honnappa , Rahul Jain , Amy R. Ward

We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Dariusz Buraczewski , Ewa Damek

This paper investigates the random horizon optimal stopping problem for measure-valued piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs). This is motivated by population dynamics applications, when one wants to monitor some characteristics…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-14 Bertrand Cloez , Benoîte de Saporta , Maud Joubaud

In this article, we merge celebrated results of Kesten and Spitzer [Z. Wahrsch. Verw. Gebiete 50 (1979) 5-25] and Kawazu and Kesten [J. Stat. Phys. 37 (1984) 561-575]. A random walk performs a motion in an i.i.d. environment and observes an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-28 Brice Franke , Tatsuhiko Saigo

To consider a high-dimensional random process, we propose a notion about stochastic tensor-valued random process (TRP). In this work, we first attempt to apply a generic chaining method to derive tail bounds for all p-th moments of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Shih-Yu Chang

The Hawkes process is a self-exciting sample point process. It has wide applications in finance, social networks, criminology, seismology, and many other fields. With the development of storage technology, data-driven models are attracting…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Haixu Wang

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

We consider the edge-triangle model, a two-parameter family of exponential random graphs in which dependence between edges is introduced through triangles. In the so-called replica symmetric regime, the limiting free energy exists together…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-31 Alessandra Bianchi , Francesca Collet , Elena Magnanini
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