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Discovering causal relationships from time series data is significant in fields such as finance, climate science, and neuroscience. However, contemporary techniques rely on the simplifying assumption that data originates from the same…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Sumanth Varambally , Yi-An Ma , Rose Yu

Matching is an important tool in causal inference. The method provides a conceptually straightforward way to make groups of units comparable on observed characteristics. The use of the method is, however, limited to situations where the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-18 Fredrik Sävje , Michael J. Higgins , Jasjeet S. Sekhon

Public health surveillance aims at lessening disease burden, e.g., in case of infectious diseases by timely recognizing emerging outbreaks. Seen from a statistical perspective, this implies the use of appropriate methods for monitoring time…

Computation · Statistics 2017-01-26 Salmon Maëlle , Schumacher Dirk , Höhle Michael

Statistical matching methods are widely used in the social and health sciences to estimate causal effects using observational data. Often the objective is to find comparable groups with similar covariate distributions in a dataset, with the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-19 Felix Bestehorn , Maike Bestehorn , Christian Kirches

Crossover designs are widely applied in medicine, agriculture, and other biological sciences, yet their analysis remains challenging due to longitudinal observations within each unit and the presence of carry-over effects. Despite their…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-18 N. A. Cruz , O. O. Melo , C. A. Martinez , R. Alberich

Pooled testing (also known as group testing), where diagnostic tests are performed on pooled samples, has broad applications in the surveillance of diseases in animals and humans. An increasingly common use case is molecular xenomonitoring…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-21 Angus McLure , Ben O'Neill , Helen Mayfield , Colleen Lau , Brady McPherson

Policy evaluation is central to economic data analysis, but economists mostly work with observational data in view of limited opportunities to carry out controlled experiments. In the potential outcome framework, the panel data approach…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-04-30 Zhentao Shi , Jingyi Huang

Conformal prediction is a statistical tool for producing prediction regions of machine learning models that are valid with high probability. However, applying conformal prediction to time series data leads to conservative prediction…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-10 Matthew Cleaveland , Insup Lee , George J. Pappas , Lars Lindemann

In many scenarios, the observational data needed for causal inferences are spread over two data files. In particular, we consider scenarios where one file includes covariates and the treatment measured on one set of individuals, and a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Sharmistha Guha , Jerome P. Reiter , Andrea Mercatanti

Many benchmarks for automated causal inference evaluate a system's performance based on a single numerical output, such as an Average Treatment Effect (ATE). This approach conflates two distinct steps in causal analysis: identification -…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ayush Sawarni , Jiyuan Tan , Vasilis Syrgkanis

This work proposes to put up a tool for diagnosing multi faults based on model using techniques of detection and localization inspired from the community of artificial intelligence and that of automatic. The diagnostic procedure to be…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-03-27 Imtiez Fliss , Moncef Tagina

Clinical decision-making relies on the integration of information across various data modalities, such as clinical time-series, medical images and textual reports. Compared to other domains, real-world medical data is heterogeneous in…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-14 Baraa Al Jorf , Farah Shamout

Matching is a widely used causal inference design that aims to approximate a randomized experiment using observational data by forming matched sets of treated and control units based on similarities in their covariates. Ideally, treated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Jianan Zhu , Jeffrey Zhang , Zijian Guo , Siyu Heng

We propose a new perspective for the evaluation of matching procedures by considering the complexity of the function class they belong to. Under this perspective we provide theoretical guarantees on post-matching covariate balance through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Efrén Cruz Cortés , Kevin Josey , Fan Yang , Debashis Ghosh

Going beyond correlations, the understanding and identification of causal relationships in observational time series, an important subfield of Causal Discovery, poses a major challenge. The lack of access to a well-defined ground truth for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-19 Andrew R. Lawrence , Marcus Kaiser , Rui Sampaio , Maksim Sipos

Causal discovery between collections of time-series data can help diagnose causes of symptoms and hopefully prevent faults before they occur. However, reliable causal discovery can be very challenging, especially when the data acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Haonan Chen , Bo Yuan Chang , Mohamed A. Naiel , Georges Younes , Steven Wardell , Stan Kleinikkink , John S. Zelek

Traditional panel-data causal inference frameworks, such as difference-in-differences and synthetic control methods, rely on pre-intervention data to estimate counterfactual means. However, such data may be unavailable in real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Zou Yang , Seung Hee Lee , Julia R. Köhler , AmirEmad Ghassami

We introduce a novel framework to financial time series forecasting that leverages causality-inspired models to balance the trade-off between invariance to distributional changes and minimization of prediction errors. To the best of our…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-20 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Yutong Lu , Xi Lin , Mihai Cucuringu , Andre Fujita

We describe how the target trial framework can be used to plan and report analyses that attempt to answer causal questions by combining information from multiple, diverse sources. Such analyses may involve comparisons of treatments…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lawson Ung , Miguel A. Hernán , Issa J. Dahabreh

Matching is a popular approach in causal inference to estimate treatment effects by pairing treated and control units that are most similar in terms of their covariate information. However, classic matching methods completely ignore the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Melanie F. Pradier , Javier González
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