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Traffic flow prediction is a critical component of intelligent transportation systems, yet accurately forecasting traffic remains challenging due to the interaction between long-term trends and short-term fluctuations. Standard deep…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Adway Das , Agnimitra Sengupta , S. Ilgin Guler

This study proposes a deep learning model based on the combination of convolutional neural network (CNN) and bidirectional long short-term memory network (BiLSTM) for discriminant analysis of financial systemic risk. The model first uses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Yu Cheng , Zhen Xu , Yuan Chen , Yuhan Wang , Zhenghao Lin , Jinsong Liu

Artificial Intelligence algorithms have been steadily increasing in popularity and usage. Deep Learning, allows neural networks to be trained using huge datasets and also removes the need for human extracted features, as it automates the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Vasco Lopes , Paulo Fazendeiro

This review systematically examines deep learning applications in financial asset management. Unlike prior reviews, this study focuses on identifying emerging trends, such as the integration of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-04 Pedro Reis , Ana Paula Serra , João Gama

We propose a novel method to improve estimation of asset returns for portfolio optimization. This approach first performs a monthly directional market forecast using an online decision tree. The decision tree is trained on a novel set of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-07 Nolan Alexander , William Scherer

Prognostic models in survival analysis are aimed at understanding the relationship between patients' covariates and the distribution of survival time. Traditionally, semi-parametric models, such as the Cox model, have been assumed. These…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-06 Denise Rava , Jelena Bradic

Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

Stock return predictability is an important research theme as it reflects our economic and social organization, and significant efforts are made to explain the dynamism therein. Statistics of strong explanative power, called "factor" have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-26 Kei Nakagawa , Masaya Abe , Junpei Komiyama

Deep learning has proven to be a highly effective tool for a wide range of applications, significantly when leveraging the power of multi-loss functions to optimize performance on multiple criteria simultaneously. However, optimal selection…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Amin Golnari , Mostafa Diba

Accurate forecasting in the e-commerce finance domain is particularly challenging due to irregular invoice schedules, payment deferrals, and user-specific behavioral variability. These factors, combined with sparse datasets and short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-25 Abhishek Sharma , Anat Parush , Sumit Wadhwa , Amihai Savir , Anne Guinard , Prateek Srivastava

Accurate crude oil price forecasting is crucial for various economic activities, including energy trading, risk management, and investment planning. Although deep learning models have emerged as powerful tools for crude oil price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

We consider the use of deep learning for covariance estimation. We propose to globally learn a neural network that will then be applied locally at inference time. Leveraging recent advancements in self-supervised foundational models, we…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-14 Tzvi Diskin , Ami Wiesel

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

Most state-of-the-art works in trajectory forecasting for automotive target predicting the pose and orientation of the agents in the scene. This represents a particularly useful problem, for instance in autonomous driving, but it does not…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Luca Paparusso , Stefano Melzi , Francesco Braghin

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Accurate short range weather forecasting has significant implications for various sectors. Machine learning based approaches, e.g., deep learning, have gained popularity in this domain where the existing numerical weather prediction (NWP)…

The domain of hedge fund investments is undergoing significant transformation, influenced by the rapid expansion of data availability and the advancement of analytical technologies. This study explores the enhancement of hedge fund…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-17 Siqiao Zhao , Dan Wang , Raphael Douady

We present a systematic trading framework that forecasts short-horizon market risk, identifies its underlying drivers, and generates alpha using a hybrid machine learning ensemble built to trade on the resulting signal. The framework…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-28 Aryan Ranjan

Limited datasets and complex nonlinear relationships are among the challenges that may emerge when applying econometrics to macroeconomic problems. This research proposes deep learning as an approach to transfer learning in the former case…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-01 Rafael R. S. Guimaraes

Mutual learning is an ensemble training strategy to improve generalization by transferring individual knowledge to each other while simultaneously training multiple models. In this work, we propose an effective mutual learning method for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-10 Wonpyo Park , Wonjae Kim , Kihyun You , Minsu Cho