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We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

Machine learning on data streams is increasingly more present in multiple domains. However, there is often data distribution shift that can lead machine learning models to make incorrect decisions. While there are automatic methods to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-02 João Palmeiro , Beatriz Malveiro , Rita Costa , David Polido , Ricardo Moreira , Pedro Bizarro

Diffusion models have recently driven significant breakthroughs in generative modeling. While state-of-the-art models produce high-quality samples on average, individual samples can still be low quality. Detecting such samples without human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Metod Jazbec , Eliot Wong-Toi , Guoxuan Xia , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick , Stephan Mandt

Gaussian graphical models provide a powerful framework to reveal the conditional dependency structure between multivariate variables. The process of uncovering the conditional dependency network is known as structure learning. Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Lucas Vogels , Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , S. Ilker Birbil

In this review, we assess the use of Bayesian methods in model predictive control (MPC), focusing on neural-network-based modeling, control design, and uncertainty quantification. We systematically analyze individual studies and how they…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Asli Karacelik

Data visualizations are powerful tools for communicating patterns in quantitative data. Yet understanding any data visualization is no small feat -- succeeding requires jointly making sense of visual, numerical, and linguistic inputs…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Arnav Verma , Kushin Mukherjee , Christopher Potts , Elisa Kreiss , Judith E. Fan

Visual counterfactual explanations are ideal hypothetical images that change the decision-making of the classifier with high confidence toward the desired class while remaining visually plausible and close to the initial image. In this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Tung Luu , Nam Le , Duc Le , Bac Le

Plotting the residuals is a recommended procedure to diagnose deviations from linear model assumptions, such as non-linearity, heteroscedasticity, and non-normality. The presence of structure in residual plots can be tested using the lineup…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Weihao Li , Dianne Cook , Emi Tanaka , Susan VanderPlas , Klaus Ackermann

The two key issues of modern Bayesian statistics are: (i) establishing principled approach for distilling statistical prior that is consistent with the given data from an initial believable scientific prior; and (ii) development of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-18 Subhadeep , Mukhopadhyay , Douglas Fletcher

While decision makers have begun to employ machine learning, machine learning models may make predictions that bias against certain demographic groups. Semi-automated bias detection tools often present reports of automatically-detected…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-05-12 Po-Ming Law , Sana Malik , Fan Du , Moumita Sinha

Despite remarkable progress in recent years, Vision Language Models (VLMs) remain prone to overconfidence and hallucinations on tasks such as Visual Question Answering (VQA) and Visual Reasoning. Bayesian methods can potentially improve…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Tobias Jan Wieczorek , Nathalie Daun , Mohammad Emtiyaz Khan , Marcus Rohrbach

By providing substantial amounts of data and standardized evaluation protocols, datasets in computer vision have helped fuel advances across all areas of visual recognition. But even in light of breakthrough results on recent benchmarks, it…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-06 Brandon RichardWebster , Samuel E. Anthony , Walter J. Scheirer

Varying coefficient models are useful in applications where the effect of the covariate might depend on some other covariate such as time or location. Various applications of these models often give rise to case-specific prior distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-05 Maria Franco-Villoria , Massimo Ventrucci , Håvard Rue

Engineers are often faced with the decision to select the most appropriate model for simulating the behavior of engineered systems, among a candidate set of models. Experimental monitoring data can generate significant value by supporting…

Applications · Statistics 2023-10-17 Antonios Kamariotis , Eleni Chatzi

Visual similarities discovery (VSD) is an important task with broad e-commerce applications. Given an image of a certain object, the goal of VSD is to retrieve images of different objects with high perceptual visual similarity. Although…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Oren Barkan , Tal Reiss , Jonathan Weill , Ori Katz , Roy Hirsch , Itzik Malkiel , Noam Koenigstein

The paper proposes a novel model assessment paradigm aiming to address shortcoming of posterior predictive $p-$values, which provide the default metric of fit for Bayesian structural equation modelling (BSEM). The model framework of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-30 Konstantinos Vamvourellis , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Irini Moustaki

Causal effect estimation is a critical task in statistical learning that aims to find the causal effect on subjects by identifying causal links between a number of predictor (or, explanatory) variables and the outcome of a treatment. In a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Tathagata Basu , Matthias C. M. Troffaes

We propose the use of Bayesian networks, which provide both a mean value and an uncertainty estimate as output, to enhance the safety of learned control policies under circumstances in which a test-time input differs significantly from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-18 Keuntaek Lee , Kamil Saigol , Evangelos A. Theodorou

As machine learning (ML) systems become increasingly widespread, it is necessary to audit these systems for biases prior to their deployment. Recent research has developed algorithms for effectively identifying intersectional bias in the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-06-28 David Munechika , Zijie J. Wang , Jack Reidy , Josh Rubin , Krishna Gade , Krishnaram Kenthapadi , Duen Horng Chau

Probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for robust safety of autonomous driving. Current methods for long-term trajectory prediction cannot guarantee the physical feasibility of predicted distribution. Moreover, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Chen Tang , Jianyu Chen , Masayoshi Tomizuka
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