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We develop new higher-order asymptotic techniques for the Gaussian maximum likelihood estimator in a spatial panel data model, with fixed effects, time-varying covariates, and spatially correlated errors. Our saddlepoint density and tail…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-14 Chaonan Jiang , Davide La Vecchia , Elvezio Ronchetti , Olivier Scaillet

For first passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$ with i.i.d. bounded edge weights, we consider the upper tail large deviation event; i.e., the rare situation where the first passage time between two points at distance $n$, is macroscopically…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Riddhipratim Basu , Shirshendu Ganguly , Allan Sly

We study the so-called pinning model, which describes the behavior of a Markov chain interacting with a distinguished state. The interaction depends on an external source of randomness, called disorder, which can attract or repel the Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Niccolo Torri

The result provided in this paper helps complete a unified picture of the scaling behavior in heavy-tailed stochastic models for transmission of packet traffic on high-speed communication links. Popular models include infinite source…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-17 Clément Dombry , Ingemar Kaj

We prove a large deviation principle for the sum of n independent heavy-tailed random variables, which are subject to a moving cut-off boundary at location n. Conditional on the sum being large at scale n, we show that a finite number of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Céline Kerriou , Peter Mörters

We obtain large and moderate deviation estimates, as well as concentration inequalities, for a class of nonuniformly expanding maps with stretched exponential decay of correlations. In the large deviation regime, we also exhibit examples…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-26 C Cuny , J Dedecker , F Merlevède

In this paper we study the joint distributional convergence of the largest eigenvalues of the sample covariance matrix of a $p$-dimensional time series with iid entries when $p$ converges to infinity together with the sample size $n$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-26 Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch

In this paper we prove a large deviation principle for the empirical drift of a one-dimensional Brownian motion with self-repellence called the Edwards model. Our results extend earlier work in which a law of large numbers, respectively, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. van der Hofstad , F. den Hollander , W. Koenig

We prove precise deviations results in the sense of Cram\'er and Petrov for the upper tail of the distribution of the maximal value for a special class of determinantal point processes that play an important role in random matrix theory.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-22 Peter Eichelsbacher , Thomas Kriecherbauer , Katharina Schüler

We study the Taylor expansion for the solutions of differential equations driven by $p$-rough paths with $p>2$. We prove a general theorem concerning the convergence of the Taylor expansion on a nonempty interval provided that the vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Qi Feng , Xuejing Zhang

This paper investigates the large deviation problem in the sample path space of the nearest-neighbor random walks on regular trees. We establish the sample path large deviation principle for the law of the distance from a nearest random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Jie Jiang , Shuwen Lai

We establish a large deviation principle for a reflected Poisson driven SDE. Our motivation is to study in a forthcoming paper the problem of exit of such a process from the basin of attraction of a locally stable equilibrium associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Etienne Pardoux , Brice Samegni-Kepgnou

We consider (annealed) large deviation principles for component empirical measures of several families of marked sparse random graphs, including (i) uniform graphs on $n$ vertices with a fixed degree distribution; (ii) uniform graphs on $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-27 Kavita Ramanan , Sarath Yasodharan

Motivated by Kleinberg's (2000) and subsequent work, we consider the performance of greedy routing on a directed ring of $n$ nodes augmented with long-range contacts. In this model, each node $u$ is given an additional $D_u$ edges, a degree…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2010-08-05 R. Seth Terashima , James D. Fix

Given a graph $G$ and a bijection $f : E(G)\rightarrow \{1, 2, \ldots,e(G)\}$, we say that a trail/path in $G$ is $f$-\emph{increasing} if the labels of consecutive edges of this trail/path form an increasing sequence. More than 40 years…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Omer Angel , Asaf Ferber , Benny Sudakov , Vincent Tassion

We study an agent-based model of animals marking their territory and evading adversarial territory in one dimension, with respect to the distribution of the size of the resulting territories. In particular, we use sophisticated sampling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-04 Hendrik Schawe , Alexander K. Hartmann

Extreme economic outcomes are not shaped by tails alone. They are also shaped by unequal access to opportunities. This paper develops a theory of heterogeneous extremes by taking the distribution of opportunity access as the object of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 I. Sebastian Buhai

Let (X_n,Y_n) be i.i.d. random vectors. Let W(x) be the partial sum of Y_n just before that of X_n exceeds x>0. Motivated by stochastic models for neural activity, uniform convergence of the form $\sup_{c\in I}|a(c,x)\operatorname…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Zhiyi Chi

For the basic case of $L_2$ optimal transport between two probability measures on a Euclidean space, the regularity of the coupling measure and the transport map in the tail regions of these measures is studied. For this purpose, Robert…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-06 Cees de Valk , Johan Segers

We consider a two-speed branching random walk, which consists of two macroscopic stages with different reproduction laws. We prove that the centered maximum converges in law to a Gumbel variable with a random shift and the extremal process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Lianghui Luo
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