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Consider the upper tail probability that the homomorphism count of a fixed graph $H$ within a large sparse random graph $G_n$ exceeds its expected value by a fixed factor $1+\delta$. Going beyond the Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi model, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Sohom Bhattacharya , Amir Dembo

Preferential attachment schemes, where the selection mechanism is linear and possibly time-dependent, are considered, and an infinite-dimensional large deviation principle for the sample path evolution of the empirical degree distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-25 Jihyeok Choi , Sunder Sethuraman

We consider stationary configurations of points in Euclidean space which are marked by positive random variables called scores. The scores are allowed to depend on the relative positions of other points and outside sources of randomness.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Bojan Basrak , Ilya Molchanov , Hrvoje Planinić

The upper tail problem for the largest eigenvalue of the Erd\H{o}s--R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ is to estimate the probability that the largest eigenvalue of the adjacency matrix of $\mathcal{G}_{n,p}$ exceeds its typical value…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-01 Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Shirshendu Ganguly

A model of homogeneously driven dissipative system, consisting of a collection of $N$ particles that are characterized by only their velocities, is considered. Adopting a discrete time dynamics, at each time step, a pair of velocities is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-30 V. V. Prasad , Sanjib Sabhapandit , Abhishek Dhar

The large deviations theory for heavy-tailed processes has seen significant advances in the recent past. In particular, Rhee et al. (2019) and Bazhba et al. (2020) established large deviation asymptotics at the sample-path level for L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Zhe Su , Chang-Han Rhee

Using martingale methods, we obtain some upper bounds for large and moderate deviations of products of independent and identically distributed elements of GL d (R). We investigate all the possible moment conditions, from super-exponential…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Christophe Cuny , Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède

We study the factorised steady state of a general class of mass transport models in which mass, a conserved quantity, is transferred stochastically between sites. Condensation in such models is exhibited when above a critical mass density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-09-25 Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

We study the tail behavior for the maximum of discrete Gaussian free field on a 2D box with Dirichlet boundary condition after centering by its expectation. We show that it exhibits an exponential decay for the right tail and a double…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-26 Jian Ding

We consider the supercritical bond percolation on $\mathbb Z^d$ and study the graph distance on the percolation graph called the chemical distance. It is well-known that there exists a deterministic constant $\mu(x)$ such that the chemical…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Barbara Dembin , Shuta Nakajima

Motivated by metastability in the zero-range process, we consider i.i.d.\ random variables with values in $\N_0$ and Weibull-like (stretched exponential) law $\mathbb P(X_i =k) = c \exp( - k^\alpha)$, $\alpha \in (0,1)$. We condition on…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-28 Sabine Jansen

We study large deviation probabilities for a sum of dependent random variables from a heavy-tailed factor model, assuming that the components are regularly varying. We identify conditions where both the factor and the idiosyncratic terms…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-05 Boualem Djehiche , Jens Svensson

Large deviation principles and related results are given for a class of Markov chains associated to the "leaves" in random recursive trees and preferential attachment random graphs, as well as the "cherries" in Yule trees. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-22 W. Bryc , D. Minda , S. Sethuraman

Two of the most popular approximations for the distribution of the steady-state waiting time, $W_{\infty}$, of the M/G/1 queue are the so-called heavy-traffic approximation and heavy-tailed asymptotic, respectively. If the traffic…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-08 Mariana Olvera-Cravioto , Jose Blanchet , Peter Glynn

The approximation of a discrete probability distribution $\mathbf{t}$ by an $M$-type distribution $\mathbf{p}$ is considered. The approximation error is measured by the informational divergence $\mathbb{D}(\mathbf{t}\Vert\mathbf{p})$, which…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-07-28 Bernhard C. Geiger , Georg Böcherer

The greedy walk is a deterministic walk that always moves from its current position to the nearest not yet visited point. In this paper we consider the greedy walk on an inhomogeneous Poisson point process on the real line. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Katja Gabrysch , Erik Thörnblad

We consider the upper tail large deviations of subgraph counts for irregular graphs $\mathrm{H}$ in $\mathbb{G}(n,p)$, the sparse Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi graph on $n$ vertices with edge connectivity probability $p \in (0,1)$. For $n^{-1/\Delta}…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Anirban Basak , Shaibal Karmakar

Consider the partition function of a directed polymer in an IID field. We assume that both tails of the negative and the positive part of the field are at least as light as exponential. It is a well-known fact that the free energy of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-04 Iddo Ben-Ari

Let $G\sim G(n,p)$ be a (hidden) Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph with $p=(1+ \varepsilon)/n$ for some fixed constant $ \varepsilon >0$. Ferber, Krivelevich, Sudakov, and Vieira showed that to reveal a path of length…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-05 Vesna Iršič , Julien Portier , Leo Versteegen

Modelling excesses over a high threshold using the Pareto or generalized Pareto distribution (PD/GPD) is the most popular approach in extreme value statistics. This method typically requires high thresholds in order for the (G)PD to fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-13 Jan Beirlant , Elisabeth Joossens , Johan Segers