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Although both data availability and the demand for accurate forecasts are increasing, collaboration between stakeholders is often constrained by data ownership and competitive interests. In contrast to recent proposals within cooperative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Michael Vitali , Pierre Pinson

The debate between active and passive investment strategies has been ongoing for many years and is far from being over. In this paper, we show that the choice of an optimal portfolio management strategy depends on an investment climate,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-06 Jarosław Gruszka , Janusz Szwabiński

We introduce three adaptive time series learning methods, called Dynamic Model Selection (DMS), Adaptive Ensemble (AE), and Dynamic Asset Allocation (DAA). The methods respectively handle model selection, ensembling, and contextual…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-06 Parley Ruogu Yang , Ryan Lucas

We introduce an auto-regressive model which captures the growing nature of realistic markets. In our model agents do not trade with other agents, they interact indirectly only through a market. Change of their wealth depends, linearly on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-28 Urna Basu , P. K. Mohanty

In this work, we consider rule-based investment strategies for managing a defined contribution saving scheme under the Dutch pension fund testing model. We found that dynamic rule-based investment can outperform traditional static…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-02 T. R. B. den Haan , K. W. Chau , M. van der Schans , C. W. Oosterlee

We develop novel estimation procedures with supporting econometric theory for a dynamic latent-factor model with high-dimensional asset characteristics, that is, the number of characteristics is on the order of the sample size. Utilizing…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-27 Adam Baybutt

We quantify model risk of a financial portfolio whereby a multi-period mean-standard-deviation criterion is used as a selection criterion. In this work, model risk is defined as the loss due to uncertainty of the underlying distribution of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-06 Spiridon Penev , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Wei Wu

We consider an intermediary's problem of dynamically matching demand and supply of heterogeneous types in a periodic-review fashion. More specifically, there are two disjoint sets of demand and supply types, and a reward associated with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Ming Hu , Yun Zhou

In order to properly manage risk, practitioners must understand the aggregate risks they are exposed to. Additionally, to properly price policies and calculate bonuses the relative riskiness of individual business units must be well…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-22 Andrew Fleck , Edward Furman , Yang Shen

Dynamic decisions are pivotal to economic policy making. We show how existing evidence from randomized control trials can be utilized to guide personalized decisions in challenging dynamic environments with budget and capacity constraints.…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-26 Karun Adusumilli , Friedrich Geiecke , Claudio Schilter

We introduce and study a non-equilibrium continuous-time dynamical model of the price of a single asset traded by a population of heterogeneous interacting agents in the presence of uncertainty and regulatory constraints. The model takes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-04-23 V. I. Yukalov , D. Sornette , E. P. Yukalova

Strategic asset allocation requires an investor to select stocks from a given basket of assets. The perspective of our investor is to maximize risk-adjusted alpha returns relative to a benchmark index. Historical returns are used to provide…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-03 Vadim Sokolov , Michael Polson

We consider the problem of repeatedly allocating multiple shareable public goods that have limited availability in an online setting without the use of money. In our setting, agents have additive values, and the value each agent receives…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Chido Onyeze , David X. Lin , Siddhartha Banerjee , Éva Tardos

Institutional investors have been increasing the allocation of the illiquid alternative assets such as private equity funds in their portfolios, yet there exists a very limited literature on cash flow forecasting of illiquid alternative…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-09 Tugce Karatas , Federico Klinkert , Ali Hirsa

Portfolio management issues have been extensively studied in the field of artificial intelligence in recent years, but existing deep learning-based quantitative trading methods have some areas where they could be improved. First of all, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Qishuo Cheng , Le Yang , Jiajian Zheng , Miao Tian , Duan Xin

Generating asset-specific trading signals based on the financial conditions of the assets is one of the challenging problems in automated trading. Various asset trading rules are proposed experimentally based on different technical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Mehran Taghian , Ahmad Asadi , Reza Safabakhsh

Accurate volatility forecasts are vital in modern finance for risk management, portfolio allocation, and strategic decision-making. However, existing methods face key limitations. Fully multivariate models, while comprehensive, are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Duo Zhang , Jiayu Li , Junyi Mo , Elynn Chen

Factor models characterize the joint behavior of large sets of financial assets through a smaller number of underlying drivers. We develop a network-based framework in which factors emerge naturally from the structure of interactions among…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-15 Jose Negrete , Jaime Joel Ramos

In this work, we consider the optimal portfolio selection problem under hard constraints on trading volume amounts when the dynamics of the risky asset returns are governed by a discrete-time approximation of the Markov-modulated geometric…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-07 Vladimir Dombrovskii , Tatyana Obyedko

We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction. Profit-maximizing agents switch between trading strategies in response to dynamic market conditions. Due to noisy private information…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-02 Zhentao Shi , Huanhuan Zheng
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