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Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

There has been a great deal of recent interest in learning and approximation of functions that can be expressed as expectations of a given nonlinearity with respect to its random internal parameters. Examples of such representations include…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Tanya Veeravalli , Maxim Raginsky

This work proposes a general framework for capturing noise-driven transitions in spatially extended non-equilibrium systems and explains the emergence of coherent patterns beyond the instability onset. The framework relies on stochastic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-16 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , James C. McWilliams

In a Networked Dynamical System (NDS), each node is a system whose dynamics are coupled with the dynamics of neighboring nodes. The global dynamics naturally builds on this network of couplings and it is often excited by a noise input with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Augusto Santos , Diogo Rente , Rui Seabra , José M. F. Moura

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

We propose a new approach to learning the subgrid-scale model when simulating partial differential equations (PDEs) solved by the method of lines and their representation in chaotic ordinary differential equations, based on neural ordinary…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-04-14 Shinhoo Kang , Emil M. Constantinescu

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are increasingly used in longitudinal data analysis, compartmental models, growth modelling, and other applications in a number of disciplines. Parameter estimation, however, currently requires…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-12 Oscar García

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

We study a new class of McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (SDEs), possibly with common noise, applying the theory of time-inhomogeneous polynomial processes. The drift and volatility coefficients of these SDEs depend on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Christa Cuchiero , Janka Möller

This work is concerned with existence of weak solutions to discon- tinuous stochastic differential equations driven by multiplicative Gaus- sian noise and sliding mode control dynamics generated by stochastic differential equations with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Viorel Barbu , Stefano Bonaccorsi , Luciano Tubaro

Learning models of dynamical systems with external inputs, which may be, for example, nonsmooth or piecewise, is crucial for studying complex phenomena and predicting future state evolution, which is essential for applications such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Zhaoyi Li , Wenjie Mei , Ke Yu , Yang Bai , Shihua Li

The Bismut formula is a crucial tool characterizing regularities of stochastic systems, and has been extensively studied for various models. However it is not yet available for SDEs with distribution dependent noise. In this paper, we first…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Xiaochen Ma , Panpan Ren

Dosing models often use differential equations to model biological dynamics. Neural differential equations in particular can learn to predict the derivative of a process, which permits predictions at irregular points of time. However, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Stav Belogolovsky , Ido Greenberg , Danny Eytan , Shie Mannor

We present an algorithm for the efficient sampling of conditional paths of stochastic differential equations (SDEs). While unconditional path sampling of SDEs is straightforward, albeit expensive for high dimensional systems of SDEs,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-02-11 Panagiotis Stinis

This paper aims to investigate the numerical approximation of a general second order parabolic stochastic partial differential equation(SPDE) driven by multiplicative and additive noise. Our main interest is on such SPDEs where the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Jean Daniel Mukam , Antoine Tambue

A critical challenge in the data-driven modeling of dynamical systems is producing methods robust to measurement error, particularly when data is limited. Many leading methods either rely on denoising prior to learning or on access to large…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Samuel H. Rudy , J. Nathan Kutz , Steven L. Brunton

Understanding the behavior of stochastic gradient methods is a central problem in modern machine learning. Recent work has highlighted diagonal linear networks as a simplified yet expressive setting for analyzing the optimization and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Begoña García Malaxechebarría , Courtney Paquette , Maryam Fazel , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy

We propose a novel framework for adaptively learning the time-evolving solutions of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) using score-based diffusion models within a recursive Bayesian inference setting. SPDEs play a central…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-12 Toan Huynh , Ruth Lopez Fajardo , Guannan Zhang , Lili Ju , Feng Bao

We study distribution dependent stochastic differential equation driven by a continuous process, without any specification on its law, following the approach initiated in [16]. We provide several criteria for existence and uniqueness of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-07 Lucio Galeati , Fabian A. Harang , Avi Mayorcas

Stochastic resonance (SR) is a prominent phenomenon in many natural and engineered noisy system, whereby the response to a periodic forcing is greatly amplified when the intensity of the noise is tuned to within a specific range of values.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-25 Valerio Lucarini